SLV Trent Follower's Analysis
2024-01-12 14:30:00+00 to 2026-09-24 19:55:00+00 • 54 trades executed
+28.27%
2 Years Return
$12,728.81
Current Value
49%
Win Rate
$9,923.34
Period Start
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
38.5 neutral
20d Trend
-12.5%
5d Trend
-40.4%
EMA20 Dist
-22.1%
ATR%
14.8%
Range Pos
32%
Bounce Ratio
0.3×
Green/Red 10d
6/4
Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026
35
Lifetime
Confidence: 87%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
16.5/35
Total Return
12.1/25
Win Rate
2.4/15
Profit Factor
5.1/15
Consistency
4.0/10
Raw Quality
40.0/100
× Confidence 0.87
= 34.8
30-Day Momentum
Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (87%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
73,674
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-09-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
536 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)
Market Closed (21 days)
2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed) ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary
Starting Capital
$9,923.34
Current Value
$12,728.81
Total P&L
$2,805.47
Max Drawdown
-5.8%
Sharpe Ratio
0.20
Trade Statistics
Total Trades
47
Winners / Losers
23 /
24
Best Trade
+15.07%
Worst Trade
-2.99%
Avg Trade Return
+0.57%
Avg Hold Time
13.6h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,122,435.70
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$2,805.47
Net P&L (after fees)
$2,805.47
Gross Return
+28.27%
Net Return (after fees)
+28.27%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 SLV Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 536 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Complete Trade History
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Trent Follower had $9,923.34 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 9, 2024 9:30am ET | $29.21 | 339 | $9,902.19 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 9, 2024 1:05pm ET | $29.13 | 339 | $9,875.10 | $9,896.25 |
$-27.09 (-0.3%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.6h held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 2, 2025 9:30am ET | $30.87 | 320 | $9,876.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 3, 2025 9:30am ET | $31.24 | 320 | $9,996.32 | $10,015.77 |
+$119.52 (+1.2%) |
TREND_BREAK
1d held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 5, 2025 9:30am ET | $32.73 | 305 | $9,983.66 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 5, 2025 1:30pm ET | $32.41 | 305 | $9,884.10 | $9,916.21 |
$-99.56 (-1.0%) |
TREND_BREAK
4h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 10, 2025 9:40am ET | $45.58 | 217 | $9,891.29 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 10, 2025 12:15pm ET | $45.02 | 217 | $9,769.34 | $9,794.25 |
$-121.95 (-1.2%) |
TREND_BREAK
2.6h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 10, 2025 9:55am ET | $45.35 | 215 | $9,749.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 11, 2025 10:25am ET | $45.68 | 215 | $9,821.20 | $9,866.28 |
+$72.03 (+0.7%) |
TREND_BREAK
1d held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 12, 2025 10:45am ET | $48.15 | 204 | $9,822.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 12, 2025 3:45pm ET | $48.45 | 204 | $9,883.80 | $9,927.48 |
+$61.20 (+0.6%) |
TREND_BREAK
5h held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 28, 2025 9:30am ET | $49.86 | 199 | $9,921.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 1, 2025 2:40pm ET | $52.67 | 199 | $10,481.33 | $10,487.37 |
+$559.89 (+5.6%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.2d held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 5, 2025 10:35am ET | $53.72 | 195 | $10,474.43 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 5, 2025 1:20pm ET | $53.02 | 195 | $10,338.90 | $10,351.84 |
$-135.53 (-1.3%) |
TREND_BREAK
2.8h held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 9, 2025 11:00am ET | $54.85 | 188 | $10,310.86 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 10, 2025 9:30am ET | $54.86 | 188 | $10,313.68 | $10,354.66 |
+$2.82 (+0.0%) |
TREND_BREAK
22.5h held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 17, 2025 9:50am ET | $59.72 | 173 | $10,331.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 17, 2025 1:45pm ET | $59.97 | 173 | $10,374.81 | $10,397.91 |
+$43.25 (+0.4%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.9h held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 26, 2025 9:30am ET | $68.02 | 152 | $10,339.27 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 29, 2025 9:30am ET | $65.99 | 152 | $10,029.72 | $10,088.36 |
$-309.55 (-3.0%) |
TREND_BREAK
3d held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 30, 2025 9:30am ET | $68.72 | 146 | $10,033.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 30, 2025 2:45pm ET | $69.44 | 146 | $10,138.88 | $10,194.13 |
+$105.76 (+1.1%) |
TREND_BREAK
5.3h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $66.82 | 152 | $10,155.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 2, 2026 11:10am ET | $65.10 | 152 | $9,894.44 | $9,932.69 |
$-261.44 (-2.6%) |
TREND_BREAK
1.7h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 5, 2026 11:10am ET | $69.65 | 142 | $9,890.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 5, 2026 1:30pm ET | $69.29 | 142 | $9,838.47 | $9,880.86 |
$-51.83 (-0.5%) |
TREND_BREAK
2.3h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $71.31 | 138 | $9,840.78 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 9, 2026 1:15pm ET | $72.10 | 138 | $9,949.11 | $9,989.19 |
+$108.33 (+1.1%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.8h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 13, 2026 9:40am ET | $80.36 | 124 | $9,964.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 13, 2026 12:45pm ET | $79.59 | 124 | $9,869.15 | $9,893.69 |
$-95.49 (-1.0%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.1h held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $85.55 | 115 | $9,837.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 20, 2026 3:00pm ET | $85.45 | 115 | $9,826.74 | $9,882.76 |
$-10.94 (-0.1%) |
TREND_BREAK
5.5h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $90.01 | 109 | $9,810.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 26, 2026 11:55am ET | $103.57 | 109 | $11,288.59 | $11,360.80 |
+$1,478.04 (+15.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.1d held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 27, 2026 3:45pm ET | $100.99 | 112 | $11,310.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 28, 2026 1:00pm ET | $102.78 | 112 | $11,511.37 | $11,561.85 |
+$201.05 (+1.8%) |
TREND_BREAK
21.3h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 2, 2026 2:45pm ET | $73.60 | 157 | $11,555.78 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 3, 2026 12:25pm ET | $77.36 | 157 | $12,146.04 | $12,152.10 |
+$590.26 (+5.1%) |
TREND_BREAK
21.7h held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $73.40 | 165 | $12,111.82 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 10, 2026 9:30am ET | $75.20 | 165 | $12,408.00 | $12,448.28 |
+$296.17 (+2.5%) |
TREND_BREAK
1d held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 11, 2026 9:30am ET | $76.58 | 162 | $12,406.77 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 11, 2026 3:00pm ET | $76.11 | 162 | $12,330.63 | $12,372.14 |
$-76.14 (-0.6%) |
TREND_BREAK
5.5h held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 18, 2026 9:30am ET | $69.49 | 178 | $12,369.22 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 18, 2026 1:25pm ET | $70.13 | 178 | $12,483.16 | $12,486.08 |
+$113.94 (+0.9%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.9h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $73.05 | 170 | $12,418.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 23, 2026 1:20pm ET | $78.66 | 170 | $13,372.20 | $13,439.78 |
+$953.70 (+7.7%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.2d held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 25, 2026 9:30am ET | $81.83 | 164 | $13,420.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 25, 2026 3:20pm ET | $82.08 | 164 | $13,461.12 | $13,480.78 |
+$41.00 (+0.3%) |
TREND_BREAK
5.8h held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $83.13 | 162 | $13,467.06 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 27, 2026 1:25pm ET | $83.76 | 162 | $13,569.93 | $13,583.65 |
+$102.87 (+0.8%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.9h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 6, 2026 10:25am ET | $76.68 | 177 | $13,571.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 6, 2026 3:20pm ET | $76.27 | 177 | $13,499.84 | $13,512.02 |
$-71.63 (-0.5%) |
TREND_BREAK
4.9h held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 10, 2026 9:30am ET | $80.67 | 167 | $13,471.91 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 10, 2026 1:45pm ET | $80.77 | 167 | $13,489.41 | $13,529.52 |
+$17.50 (+0.1%) |
TREND_BREAK
4.3h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 25, 2026 9:30am ET | $66.14 | 204 | $13,492.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 25, 2026 1:10pm ET | $65.49 | 204 | $13,358.94 | $13,395.90 |
$-133.62 (-1.0%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.7h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 27, 2026 11:00am ET | $63.68 | 210 | $13,372.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 27, 2026 1:25pm ET | $63.01 | 210 | $13,232.12 | $13,255.22 |
$-140.68 (-1.1%) |
TREND_BREAK
2.4h held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 31, 2026 9:30am ET | $65.91 | 201 | $13,247.91 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 1, 2026 9:50am ET | $67.65 | 201 | $13,598.65 | $13,605.96 |
+$350.74 (+2.6%) |
TREND_BREAK
1d held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $69.81 | 194 | $13,543.14 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 8, 2026 1:20pm ET | $68.29 | 194 | $13,249.23 | $13,312.05 |
$-293.91 (-2.2%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.8h held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 14, 2026 9:30am ET | $70.61 | 188 | $13,274.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 14, 2026 2:20pm ET | $71.57 | 188 | $13,456.10 | $13,493.47 |
+$181.42 (+1.4%) |
TREND_BREAK
4.8h held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $73.87 | 182 | $13,444.34 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 17, 2026 1:10pm ET | $74.19 | 182 | $13,502.58 | $13,551.71 |
+$58.24 (+0.4%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.7h held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | May 1, 2026 9:55am ET | $69.00 | 196 | $13,523.02 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 1, 2026 1:35pm ET | $68.66 | 196 | $13,457.34 | $13,486.03 |
$-65.68 (-0.5%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.7h held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | May 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $69.50 | 194 | $13,483.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 6, 2026 1:20pm ET | $69.49 | 194 | $13,481.72 | $13,484.75 |
$-1.28 (-0.0%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.8h held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | May 11, 2026 9:30am ET | $76.95 | 175 | $13,466.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 12, 2026 9:30am ET | $76.46 | 175 | $13,380.52 | $13,399.02 |
$-85.73 (-0.6%) |
TREND_BREAK
1d held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 11, 2026 1:35pm ET | $59.69 | 224 | $13,369.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 12, 2026 3:25pm ET | $61.33 | 224 | $13,736.80 | $13,766.38 |
+$367.36 (+2.7%) |
TREND_BREAK
1.1d held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 30, 2026 10:20am ET | $54.54 | 252 | $13,743.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 30, 2026 1:00pm ET | $53.78 | 252 | $13,552.56 | $13,575.19 |
$-191.19 (-1.4%) |
TREND_BREAK
2.7h held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 2, 2026 9:40am ET | $55.88 | 242 | $13,521.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 2, 2026 12:25pm ET | $54.96 | 242 | $13,299.11 | $13,352.55 |
$-222.64 (-1.6%) |
TREND_BREAK
2.8h held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 9, 2026 9:45am ET | $54.41 | 245 | $13,330.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 9, 2026 2:05pm ET | $54.49 | 245 | $13,351.27 | $13,373.37 |
+$20.82 (+0.2%) |
TREND_BREAK
4.3h held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 14, 2026 9:40am ET | $53.81 | 248 | $13,343.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 14, 2026 12:45pm ET | $53.06 | 248 | $13,160.12 | $13,189.85 |
$-183.52 (-1.4%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.1h held |
|
| 43 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $52.93 | 249 | $13,179.57 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 21, 2026 1:35pm ET | $53.17 | 249 | $13,239.33 | $13,249.61 |
+$59.76 (+0.5%) |
TREND_BREAK
4.1h held |
|
| 44 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $54.01 | 245 | $13,233.67 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 4, 2026 2:35pm ET | $53.92 | 245 | $13,209.18 | $13,225.11 |
$-24.50 (-0.2%) |
TREND_BREAK
5.1h held |
|
| 45 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 7, 2026 9:30am ET | $57.98 | 228 | $13,219.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 7, 2026 12:55pm ET | $57.08 | 228 | $13,015.38 | $13,021.05 |
$-204.06 (-1.5%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.4h held |
|
| 46 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 20, 2026 11:20am ET | $62.29 | 209 | $13,018.19 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 20, 2026 2:10pm ET | $61.33 | 209 | $12,817.97 | $12,820.83 |
$-200.22 (-1.5%) |
TREND_BREAK
2.8h held |
|
| 47 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 17, 2026 10:10am ET | $59.67 | 214 | $12,768.31 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 17, 2026 1:30pm ET | $59.24 | 214 | $12,676.29 | $12,728.81 |
$-92.02 (-0.7%) |
TREND_BREAK
3.3h held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$12,728.81
Net Profit/Loss:
+$2,728.81
Total Return:
+27.29%