Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:44:26

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
62.8 neutral
20d Trend
+12.6%
5d Trend
+8.3%
EMA20 Dist
+8.3%
ATR%
4.8%
Range Pos
29%
Bounce Ratio
1.8×
Green/Red 10d
7/3

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

33
Lifetime
Confidence: 77%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
23.4/35
Total Return
12.8/25
Win Rate
0.6/15
Profit Factor
1.5/15
Consistency
5.0/10
Raw Quality 43.2/100
× Confidence 0.77 = 33.3

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (77%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Year)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
27,209
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-09-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
265 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)

Market Closed (10 days)

2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Year)

Period Start Capital
$14,011.51
Current Value
$13,337.88
Period P&L
$-673.63
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.02

Trade Statistics (Last Year)

Trades in Period
15
Winners / Losers
5 / 10
Best Trade
+8.75%
Worst Trade
-8.32%
Avg Trade Return
-0.15%
Avg Hold Time
9.1d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$466,537.97
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-673.63
Net P&L (after fees)
$-673.63
Gross Return
-4.81%
Net Return (after fees)
-4.81%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 VXX Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 265 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Year - 15 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Victor Calm Spike had $14,011.51 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Sep 11, 2025 3:10pm ET $33.86 415 $14,051.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 2, 2025 3:10pm ET $33.20 415 $13,775.93 $13,801.93 $-275.98
(-2.0%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
2 🟢 BUY Oct 3, 2025 3:50pm ET $33.17 416 $13,796.64 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 10, 2025 11:25am ET $35.85 416 $14,913.60 $14,918.89 +$1,116.96
(+8.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
6.8d held
3 🟢 BUY Oct 27, 2025 9:30am ET $32.10 464 $14,892.08 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 3, 2025 10:30am ET $34.67 464 $16,086.88 $16,113.69 +$1,194.80
(+8.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
7.1d held
4 🟢 BUY Dec 23, 2025 12:00pm ET $27.08 595 $16,112.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 5, 2026 9:30am ET $25.91 595 $15,416.45 $15,417.54 $-696.15
(-4.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
12.9d held
5 🟢 BUY Jan 6, 2026 2:15pm ET $26.13 590 $15,416.29 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 20, 2026 9:45am ET $28.26 590 $16,673.40 $16,674.65 +$1,257.11
(+8.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
13.8d held
6 🟢 BUY Jan 22, 2026 2:35pm ET $26.13 638 $16,667.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 29, 2026 9:55am ET $28.41 638 $18,125.58 $18,132.48 +$1,457.83
(+8.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
6.8d held
7 🟢 BUY Jan 30, 2026 3:50pm ET $27.45 660 $18,117.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 2, 2026 11:15am ET $26.31 660 $17,361.30 $17,376.78 $-755.70
(-4.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held
8 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 3:25pm ET $24.52 708 $17,360.16 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 3:55pm ET $23.53 708 $16,659.24 $16,675.86 $-700.92
(-4.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
9 🟢 BUY Jun 23, 2026 1:50pm ET $23.60 706 $16,665.13 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 29, 2026 9:40am ET $22.65 706 $15,990.90 $16,001.63 $-674.23
(-4.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5.8d held
10 🟢 BUY Jun 23, 2026 1:50pm ET $23.60 706 $16,665.13 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 6, 2026 9:30am ET $21.64 706 $15,279.25 $14,615.75 $-1,385.88
(-8.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
12.8d held
11 🟢 BUY Jul 10, 2026 2:25pm ET $21.17 690 $14,607.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 23, 2026 10:50am ET $22.96 690 $15,842.40 $15,850.85 +$1,235.10
(+8.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
12.9d held
12 🟢 BUY Jul 24, 2026 11:15am ET $22.10 717 $15,845.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 3, 2026 9:30am ET $21.05 717 $15,092.85 $15,098.00 $-752.85
(-4.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
9.9d held
13 🟢 BUY Aug 6, 2026 12:10pm ET $20.39 740 $15,084.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 12, 2026 12:45pm ET $19.55 740 $14,463.30 $14,476.40 $-621.60
(-4.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6d held
14 🟢 BUY Aug 17, 2026 12:00pm ET $19.47 743 $14,466.21 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 25, 2026 11:55am ET $18.69 743 $13,885.70 $13,895.89 $-580.51
(-4.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
8d held
15 🟢 BUY Aug 26, 2026 3:30pm ET $18.55 749 $13,890.21 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 12:15pm ET $17.80 749 $13,332.20 $13,337.88 $-558.01
(-4.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
7.9d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $13,337.88
Net Profit/Loss: +$3,337.88
Total Return: +33.38%
Back to Victor Calm Spike