Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:29:54

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
82.9 overbought
20d Trend
+25.5%
5d Trend
+7.3%
EMA20 Dist
+10.2%
ATR%
2.5%
Range Pos
100%
Bounce Ratio
4.2×
Green/Red 10d
8/2

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

52
Lifetime
Confidence: 76%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
35.0/35
Total Return
14.8/25
Win Rate
5.3/15
Profit Factor
6.0/15
Consistency
7.5/10
Raw Quality 68.6/100
× Confidence 0.76 = 51.9

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (76%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,992
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
64 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$14,115.98
Current Value
$15,874.08
Period P&L
$1,758.11
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.48

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
5
Winners / Losers
2 / 3
Best Trade
+8.93%
Worst Trade
-4.07%
Avg Trade Return
+2.48%
Avg Hold Time
13.9d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$151,840.31
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,758.11
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,758.11
Gross Return
+12.45%
Net Return (after fees)
+12.45%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 GILD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 64 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 5 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Victor Calm Spike had $14,115.98 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 18, 2026 9:30am ET $125.79 112 $14,087.92 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 7, 2026 3:55pm ET $136.14 112 $15,247.68 $15,300.37 +$1,159.76
(+8.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
19.3d held
2 🟢 BUY Jul 10, 2026 1:05pm ET $130.22 117 $15,235.74 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 31, 2026 1:05pm ET $130.06 117 $15,217.02 $15,281.65 $-18.72
(-0.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
3 🟢 BUY Aug 5, 2026 9:30am ET $136.36 112 $15,272.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 5, 2026 11:00am ET $130.81 112 $14,650.72 $14,660.05 $-621.60
(-4.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.5h held
4 🟢 BUY Aug 11, 2026 9:30am ET $134.28 109 $14,636.52 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 19, 2026 9:35am ET $146.27 109 $15,943.43 $15,966.96 +$1,306.91
(+8.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
8d held
5 🟢 BUY Aug 24, 2026 1:30pm ET $146.49 108 $15,820.92 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 14, 2026 1:30pm ET $145.63 108 $15,728.04 $15,874.08 $-92.88
(-0.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $15,874.08
Net Profit/Loss: +$5,874.08
Total Return: +58.74%
Back to Victor Calm Spike