Compendium › Victor Calm Spike › GILD
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
GILD
Alpaca Tradeable

Victor Calm Spike's Analysis

2024-01-02 09:00:00+00 to 2026-05-05 19:55:00+00 • 16 trades executed

+50.73%
2 Years Return
$15,073.33
Current Value
63%
Win Rate
$10,000.00
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-06 08:50:05

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
82.9 overbought
20d Trend
+25.5%
5d Trend
+7.3%
EMA20 Dist
+10.2%
ATR%
2.5%
Range Pos
100%
Bounce Ratio
4.2×
Green/Red 10d
8/2
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 3, 2026

35
Lifetime
Confidence: 47%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
35.0/35
Total Return
14.2/25
Win Rate
8.4/15
Profit Factor
7.9/15
Consistency
8.2/10
Raw Quality 73.7/100
× Confidence 0.47 = 34.9

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (47%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
46,549
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-05-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
515 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)

Market Closed (21 days)

2024-05-27 — Memorial Day, 2024-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2024-07-04 — Independence Day, 2024-09-02 — Labor Day, 2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$10,000.00
Current Value
$15,073.33
Total P&L
$5,073.34
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.53

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
16
Winners / Losers
10 / 6
Best Trade
+10.43%
Worst Trade
-4.45%
Avg Trade Return
+2.74%
Avg Hold Time
15.1d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$379,517.46
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$5,073.34
Net P&L (after fees)
$5,073.34
Gross Return
+50.73%
Net Return (after fees)
+50.73%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 GILD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 515 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Victor Calm Spike had $10,000.00 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Oct 30, 2024 2:00pm ET $88.08 113 $9,953.04 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 7, 2024 9:30am ET $97.27 113 $10,990.95 $11,037.91 +$1,037.91
(+10.4%) 		🎯 +5% Target
7.9d held
2 🟢 BUY Nov 8, 2024 9:30am ET $96.66 114 $11,019.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 13, 2024 10:15am ET $92.74 114 $10,572.36 $10,591.03 $-446.88
(-4.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
5d held
3 🟢 BUY Nov 14, 2024 11:10am ET $92.12 114 $10,501.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 15, 2024 3:25pm ET $88.36 114 $10,073.04 $10,162.39 $-428.64
(-4.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.2d held
4 🟢 BUY Nov 20, 2024 1:25pm ET $88.85 114 $10,128.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 11, 2024 1:25pm ET $92.86 114 $10,586.04 $10,619.53 +$457.14
(+4.5%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
5 🟢 BUY Dec 12, 2024 3:30pm ET $93.01 114 $10,603.14 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 2, 2025 3:30pm ET $92.07 114 $10,495.98 $10,512.37 $-107.16
(-1.0%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
6 🟢 BUY Jan 3, 2025 3:55pm ET $91.37 115 $10,507.67 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 24, 2025 3:55pm ET $93.08 115 $10,704.20 $10,708.90 +$196.54
(+1.9%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
7 🟢 BUY Jan 28, 2025 9:30am ET $95.37 112 $10,681.44 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 12, 2025 9:35am ET $103.99 112 $11,646.88 $11,674.34 +$965.44
(+9.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
15d held
8 🟢 BUY Feb 13, 2025 1:05pm ET $105.52 110 $11,607.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 28, 2025 2:50pm ET $114.04 110 $12,544.40 $12,611.54 +$937.20
(+8.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
15.1d held
9 🟢 BUY Jul 3, 2025 12:50pm ET $111.91 112 $12,533.92 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 24, 2025 12:50pm ET $113.15 112 $12,672.98 $12,750.60 +$139.06
(+1.1%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
10 🟢 BUY Jul 28, 2025 9:30am ET $114.36 111 $12,693.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 7, 2025 9:45am ET $109.76 111 $12,183.36 $12,240.00 $-510.60
(-4.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
10d held
11 🟢 BUY Aug 25, 2025 2:00pm ET $113.97 107 $12,194.26 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 15, 2025 2:00pm ET $112.61 107 $12,049.27 $12,095.01 $-144.99
(-1.2%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
12 🟢 BUY Sep 16, 2025 3:50pm ET $110.89 109 $12,087.01 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 7, 2025 3:50pm ET $116.37 109 $12,684.33 $12,692.33 +$597.32
(+4.9%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
13 🟢 BUY Oct 28, 2025 11:55am ET $118.47 107 $12,675.76 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 18, 2025 10:55am ET $125.04 107 $13,379.28 $13,395.86 +$703.53
(+5.6%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
14 🟢 BUY Dec 23, 2025 3:50pm ET $125.05 107 $13,380.35 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 5, 2026 9:30am ET $119.49 107 $12,785.43 $12,800.94 $-594.92
(-4.4%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
12.7d held
15 🟢 BUY Jan 6, 2026 10:40am ET $120.70 106 $12,794.43 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 22, 2026 9:35am ET $130.95 106 $13,880.70 $13,887.21 +$1,086.27
(+8.5%) 		🎯 +5% Target
16d held
16 🟢 BUY Jan 23, 2026 9:35am ET $133.27 104 $13,860.08 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 3, 2026 9:30am ET $144.68 104 $15,046.20 $15,073.33 +$1,186.12
(+8.6%) 		🎯 +5% Target
11d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $15,073.33
Net Profit/Loss: +$5,073.33
Total Return: +50.73%
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