Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:38:13

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
82.9 overbought
20d Trend
+25.5%
5d Trend
+7.3%
EMA20 Dist
+10.2%
ATR%
2.5%
Range Pos
100%
Bounce Ratio
4.2×
Green/Red 10d
8/2

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

52
Lifetime
Confidence: 76%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
35.0/35
Total Return
14.8/25
Win Rate
5.3/15
Profit Factor
6.0/15
Consistency
7.5/10
Raw Quality 68.6/100
× Confidence 0.76 = 51.9

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (76%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
14,655
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
185 days
Data Gaps
None (8 market holidays)

Market Closed (8 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$13,127.75
Current Value
$15,874.08
Period P&L
$2,746.34
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.31

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
11
Winners / Losers
5 / 6
Best Trade
+8.93%
Worst Trade
-4.56%
Avg Trade Return
+1.71%
Avg Hold Time
13d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$323,128.04
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$2,746.34
Net P&L (after fees)
$2,746.34
Gross Return
+20.92%
Net Return (after fees)
+20.92%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 GILD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 185 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 11 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Victor Calm Spike had $13,127.75 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Dec 23, 2025 3:50pm ET $125.05 107 $13,380.35 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 5, 2026 9:30am ET $119.49 107 $12,785.43 $12,800.94 $-594.92
(-4.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
12.7d held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 6, 2026 10:40am ET $120.70 106 $12,794.43 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 22, 2026 9:35am ET $130.95 106 $13,880.70 $13,887.21 +$1,086.27
(+8.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
16d held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 23, 2026 9:35am ET $133.27 104 $13,860.08 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 3, 2026 9:30am ET $144.68 104 $15,046.20 $15,073.33 +$1,186.12
(+8.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
11d held
4 🟢 BUY May 4, 2026 9:30am ET $131.42 114 $14,981.88 — — —
🔴 SELL May 26, 2026 9:30am ET $135.26 114 $15,419.07 $15,510.52 +$437.19
(+2.9%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
22d held
5 🟢 BUY May 27, 2026 3:05pm ET $133.52 116 $15,488.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2026 10:00am ET $127.44 116 $14,783.04 $14,804.66 $-705.86
(-4.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5.8d held
6 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2026 3:35pm ET $129.52 114 $14,765.85 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 10:00am ET $123.70 114 $14,101.80 $14,140.61 $-664.05
(-4.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5.8d held
7 🟢 BUY Jun 18, 2026 9:30am ET $125.79 112 $14,087.92 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 7, 2026 3:55pm ET $136.14 112 $15,247.68 $15,300.37 +$1,159.76
(+8.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
19.3d held
8 🟢 BUY Jul 10, 2026 1:05pm ET $130.22 117 $15,235.74 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 31, 2026 1:05pm ET $130.06 117 $15,217.02 $15,281.65 $-18.72
(-0.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
9 🟢 BUY Aug 5, 2026 9:30am ET $136.36 112 $15,272.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 5, 2026 11:00am ET $130.81 112 $14,650.72 $14,660.05 $-621.60
(-4.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.5h held
10 🟢 BUY Aug 11, 2026 9:30am ET $134.28 109 $14,636.52 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 19, 2026 9:35am ET $146.27 109 $15,943.43 $15,966.96 +$1,306.91
(+8.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
8d held
11 🟢 BUY Aug 24, 2026 1:30pm ET $146.49 108 $15,820.92 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 14, 2026 1:30pm ET $145.63 108 $15,728.04 $15,874.08 $-92.88
(-0.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $15,874.08
Net Profit/Loss: +$5,874.08
Total Return: +58.74%
Back to Victor Calm Spike