Compendium › Victor Calm Spike › GILD
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
GILD
Alpaca Tradeable

Victor Calm Spike's Analysis

Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 3 trades in period

+14.82%
Year to Date Return
$15,073.33
Current Value
67%
Win Rate
$13,127.75
Period Start
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PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-06 08:50:01

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
82.9 overbought
20d Trend
+25.5%
5d Trend
+7.3%
EMA20 Dist
+10.2%
ATR%
2.5%
Range Pos
100%
Bounce Ratio
4.2×
Green/Red 10d
8/2
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 3, 2026

35
Lifetime
Confidence: 47%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
35.0/35
Total Return
14.2/25
Win Rate
8.4/15
Profit Factor
7.9/15
Consistency
8.2/10
Raw Quality 73.7/100
× Confidence 0.47 = 34.9

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (47%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
7,011
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
87 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)

Market Closed (4 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$13,127.75
Current Value
$15,073.33
Period P&L
$1,945.59
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.69

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
3
Winners / Losers
2 / 1
Best Trade
+8.56%
Worst Trade
-4.45%
Avg Trade Return
+4.20%
Avg Hold Time
13.2d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$81,747.19
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,945.59
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,945.59
Gross Return
+14.82%
Net Return (after fees)
+14.82%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 GILD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 87 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 3 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Victor Calm Spike had $13,127.75 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Dec 23, 2025 3:50pm ET $125.05 107 $13,380.35 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 5, 2026 9:30am ET $119.49 107 $12,785.43 $12,800.94 $-594.92
(-4.4%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
12.7d held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 6, 2026 10:40am ET $120.70 106 $12,794.43 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 22, 2026 9:35am ET $130.95 106 $13,880.70 $13,887.21 +$1,086.27
(+8.5%) 		🎯 +5% Target
16d held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 23, 2026 9:35am ET $133.27 104 $13,860.08 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 3, 2026 9:30am ET $144.68 104 $15,046.20 $15,073.33 +$1,186.12
(+8.6%) 		🎯 +5% Target
11d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $15,073.33
Net Profit/Loss: +$5,073.33
Total Return: +50.73%
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