Compendium › Victor Credit Crunch › HD
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
HD
Alpaca Tradeable

Victor Credit Crunch's Analysis

2024-01-02 11:30:00+00 to 2026-05-05 19:55:00+00 • 15 trades executed

+4.12%
2 Years Return
$10,224.08
Current Value
44%
Win Rate
$9,819.68
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-05-06 07:13:22

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
58.5 neutral
20d Trend
+2.0%
5d Trend
+2.1%
EMA20 Dist
+1.4%
ATR%
2.0%
Range Pos
82%
Bounce Ratio
0.9×
Green/Red 10d
5/5
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored Mar 6, 2026

0
Lifetime
Confidence: 0%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
84.0/35
Total Return
45.6/25
Win Rate
31.6/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
54.5/10
Raw Quality 0.0/100
× Confidence 0.00 = 0.0

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (0%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
46,677
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-05-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
524 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)

Market Closed (21 days)

2024-05-27 — Memorial Day, 2024-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2024-07-04 — Independence Day, 2024-09-02 — Labor Day, 2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$9,819.68
Current Value
$10,224.08
Total P&L
$404.40
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.12

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
9
Winners / Losers
4 / 5
Best Trade
+9.16%
Worst Trade
-4.19%
Avg Trade Return
+0.56%
Avg Hold Time
16.3d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$179,418.70
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$404.40
Net P&L (after fees)
$404.40
Gross Return
+4.12%
Net Return (after fees)
+4.12%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 HD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 524 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Victor Credit Crunch had $9,819.68 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 14, 2024 2:00pm ET $345.42 28 $9,671.76 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 5, 2024 2:00pm ET $334.58 28 $9,368.10 $9,516.01 $-303.66
(-3.1%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
2 🟢 BUY Jul 31, 2024 9:30am ET $366.24 25 $9,156.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 2, 2024 9:30am ET $350.90 25 $8,772.54 $9,132.56 $-383.46
(-4.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
3 🟢 BUY Aug 5, 2024 9:30am ET $350.95 26 $9,124.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 26, 2024 9:30am ET $376.68 26 $9,793.68 $9,801.54 +$668.98
(+7.3%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
4 🟢 BUY Sep 3, 2024 3:40pm ET $363.95 26 $9,462.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 24, 2024 9:30am ET $397.27 26 $10,329.02 $10,667.86 +$866.32
(+9.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
20.7d held
5 🟢 BUY Mar 14, 2025 3:50pm ET $350.74 30 $10,522.05 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 4, 2025 3:50pm ET $355.04 30 $10,651.05 $10,796.86 +$129.00
(+1.2%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2025 3:50pm ET $340.59 31 $10,558.14 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2025 9:30am ET $326.46 31 $10,120.26 $10,358.98 $-437.88
(-4.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.7d held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2025 1:00pm ET $346.81 29 $10,057.49 — — —
🔴 SELL May 1, 2025 1:00pm ET $358.92 29 $10,408.68 $10,710.17 +$351.19
(+3.5%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
8 🟢 BUY May 2, 2025 3:50pm ET $365.07 29 $10,587.03 — — —
🔴 SELL May 23, 2025 3:50pm ET $362.68 29 $10,517.72 $10,640.86 $-69.31
(-0.7%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
9 🟢 BUY May 27, 2025 3:55pm ET $370.26 28 $10,367.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 13, 2025 2:00pm ET $355.38 28 $9,950.50 $10,224.08 $-416.78
(-4.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
16.9d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,224.08
Net Profit/Loss: +$224.08
Total Return: +2.24%
Back to Victor Credit Crunch