Compendium › Victor Fear Dipper › ARM
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
ARM
Alpaca Tradeable

Victor Fear Dipper's Analysis

Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 3 trades in period

+18.57%
Year to Date Return
$15,151.57
Current Value
67%
Win Rate
$12,778.75
Period Start
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PHASE 4: RECOVERY
Signals generated 2026-05-09 06:32:43

Bounce in progress. Hold existing positions, let trailing stops manage exits.

Fear & Greed
38
Fear
VIX
17.1
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.41%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.75
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 2.6
Active
⛈️ 2 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
46.9 neutral
20d Trend
-0.2%
5d Trend
+2.4%
EMA20 Dist
-0.9%
ATR%
6.3%
Range Pos
19%
Bounce Ratio
1.6×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.

Strategy Score Scored May 8, 2026

43
Lifetime
Confidence: 66%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
35.0/35
Total Return
14.3/25
Win Rate
5.2/15
Profit Factor
5.5/15
Consistency
5.7/10
Raw Quality 65.7/100
× Confidence 0.66 = 43.3

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (66%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
8,686
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-05-08
Trading Days
94 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)

Market Closed (4 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$12,778.75
Current Value
$15,151.57
Period P&L
$2,372.82
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.85

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
3
Winners / Losers
2 / 1
Best Trade
+12.14%
Worst Trade
-4.02%
Avg Trade Return
+6.14%
Avg Hold Time
3.5d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$79,439.92
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$2,372.82
Net P&L (after fees)
$2,372.82
Gross Return
+18.57%
Net Return (after fees)
+18.57%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 ARM Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 94 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 3 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Victor Fear Dipper had $12,778.75 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 11, 2026 2:25pm ET $119.88 106 $12,706.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 12, 2026 10:55am ET $115.06 106 $12,196.36 $12,268.36 $-510.39
(-4.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
20.5h held
2 🟢 BUY Mar 20, 2026 3:50pm ET $132.29 92 $12,170.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 25, 2026 9:30am ET $148.35 92 $13,648.66 $13,746.34 +$1,477.98
(+12.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
4.7d held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 9:30am ET $146.84 93 $13,656.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 9:30am ET $161.95 93 $15,061.35 $15,151.57 +$1,405.23
(+10.3%) 		🎯 +5% Target
5d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $15,151.57
Net Profit/Loss: +$5,151.57
Total Return: +51.52%
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