Compendium › Victor Fear Dipper › QQQ
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
QQQ
Alpaca Tradeable

Victor Fear Dipper's Analysis

2024-01-02 09:00:00+00 to 2026-09-24 19:55:00+00 • 6 trades executed

+2.81%
2 Years Return
$11,090.83
Current Value
40%
Win Rate
$10,787.52
Period Start
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PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-24 22:41:20

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
31.7 neutral
20d Trend
-3.6%
5d Trend
-4.6%
EMA20 Dist
-3.6%
ATR%
1.8%
Range Pos
21%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Mar 6, 2026

0
Lifetime
Confidence: 0%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
84.0/35
Total Return
45.6/25
Win Rate
39.4/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
69.6/10
Raw Quality 0.0/100
× Confidence 0.00 = 0.0

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (0%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
77,488
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-09-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
536 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)

Market Closed (21 days)

2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed) ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$10,787.52
Current Value
$11,090.83
Total P&L
$303.30
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.13

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
5
Winners / Losers
2 / 3
Best Trade
+8.65%
Worst Trade
-4.63%
Avg Trade Return
+0.80%
Avg Hold Time
1.6d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$101,861.80
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$303.30
Net P&L (after fees)
$303.30
Gross Return
+2.81%
Net Return (after fees)
+2.81%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 QQQ Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 536 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Victor Fear Dipper had $10,787.52 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Dec 18, 2024 2:10pm ET $531.47 20 $10,629.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 20, 2024 9:45am ET $510.21 20 $10,204.20 $10,362.32 $-425.20
(-4.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.8d held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 3, 2025 9:30am ET $459.53 22 $10,109.66 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 4, 2025 9:30am ET $438.27 22 $9,641.95 $9,894.61 $-467.71
(-4.6%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2025 3:50pm ET $415.92 23 $9,566.16 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2025 1:30pm ET $451.90 23 $10,393.59 $10,722.04 +$827.42
(+8.6%) 		🎯 +5% Target
21.7h held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2025 10:20am ET $458.30 23 $10,540.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2025 3:00pm ET $439.47 23 $10,107.81 $10,288.95 $-433.09
(-4.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.2d held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2025 12:40pm ET $431.88 23 $9,933.13 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2025 2:30pm ET $466.74 23 $10,735.01 $11,090.83 +$801.88
(+8.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
3.1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,090.83
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,090.83
Total Return: +10.91%
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