Compendium › Victor Fed Whisperer › MRK
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
MRK
Alpaca Tradeable

Victor Fed Whisperer's Analysis

Last Month: 2026-08-25 to present • 2 trades in period

-3.24%
Last Month Return
$15,980.39
Current Value
50%
Win Rate
$16,515.58
Period Start
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PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:40:34

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
79.9 overbought
20d Trend
+11.9%
5d Trend
+9.6%
EMA20 Dist
+7.7%
ATR%
2.4%
Range Pos
96%
Bounce Ratio
5.6×
Green/Red 10d
7/3

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

55
Lifetime
Confidence: 77%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
35.0/35
Total Return
14.8/25
Win Rate
8.2/15
Profit Factor
6.4/15
Consistency
6.9/10
Raw Quality 71.3/100
× Confidence 0.77 = 54.6

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (77%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,716
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-08-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
22 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$16,515.58
Current Value
$15,980.39
Period P&L
$-535.20
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.70

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
2
Winners / Losers
1 / 1
Best Trade
+0.78%
Worst Trade
-4.42%
Avg Trade Return
-1.82%
Avg Hold Time
13.9d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$64,129.62
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-535.20
Net P&L (after fees)
$-535.20
Gross Return
-3.24%
Net Return (after fees)
-3.24%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MRK Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 22 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 2 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Victor Fed Whisperer had $16,515.58 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 21, 2026 3:15pm ET $153.04 108 $16,528.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 28, 2026 9:30am ET $146.27 108 $15,797.16 $15,856.80 $-731.16
(-4.4%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
6.8d held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 31, 2026 1:25pm ET $148.04 107 $15,840.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 1:25pm ET $149.20 107 $15,963.87 $15,980.39 +$123.59
(+0.8%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $15,980.39
Net Profit/Loss: +$5,980.39
Total Return: +59.80%
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