Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-09-24 22:10:40

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
74.9 overbought
20d Trend
+13.8%
5d Trend
+8.9%
EMA20 Dist
+7.0%
ATR%
3.0%
Range Pos
95%
Bounce Ratio
3.1×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

55
Lifetime
Confidence: 78%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
35.0/35
Total Return
14.8/25
Win Rate
9.5/15
Profit Factor
5.0/15
Consistency
6.7/10
Raw Quality 70.9/100
× Confidence 0.78 = 55.1

30-Day Momentum

0
-4.8%
30d Return
33%
Win Rate
3
Trades
0.9×
Profit Factor
Quality: 0.0 Conf: 0.61×
Declining (-55 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (78%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Year)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
20,883
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-09-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
260 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)

Market Closed (10 days)

2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Year)

Period Start Capital
$10,397.08
Current Value
$15,890.40
Period P&L
$5,493.33
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.40

Trade Statistics (Last Year)

Trades in Period
23
Winners / Losers
15 / 8
Best Trade
+8.45%
Worst Trade
-8.06%
Avg Trade Return
+2.26%
Avg Hold Time
15.2d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$589,973.03
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$5,493.33
Net P&L (after fees)
$5,493.33
Gross Return
+52.84%
Net Return (after fees)
+52.84%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 AMGN Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 260 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Year - 23 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Victor Fed Whisperer had $10,397.08 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Sep 18, 2025 9:30am ET $274.74 36 $9,890.64 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 1, 2025 11:00am ET $297.16 36 $10,697.76 $10,807.12 +$807.12
(+8.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
13.1d held
2 🟢 BUY Oct 2, 2025 3:55pm ET $297.53 36 $10,711.08 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 23, 2025 3:55pm ET $292.99 36 $10,547.64 $10,643.68 $-163.44
(-1.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
3 🟢 BUY Oct 24, 2025 3:55pm ET $291.85 36 $10,506.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 5, 2025 10:55am ET $316.52 36 $11,394.81 $11,531.89 +$888.21
(+8.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
11.8d held
4 🟢 BUY Nov 6, 2025 1:05pm ET $317.50 36 $11,430.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 13, 2025 9:55am ET $344.09 36 $12,387.24 $12,489.13 +$957.24
(+8.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
6.9d held
5 🟢 BUY Nov 14, 2025 10:25am ET $333.38 37 $12,335.06 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 5, 2025 10:25am ET $333.51 37 $12,339.69 $12,493.76 +$4.63
(+0.0%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
6 🟢 BUY Dec 8, 2025 3:55pm ET $321.32 38 $12,210.16 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 29, 2025 3:55pm ET $329.65 38 $12,526.70 $12,810.30 +$316.54
(+2.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
7 🟢 BUY Dec 31, 2025 1:00pm ET $328.52 38 $12,483.76 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 21, 2026 1:00pm ET $338.59 38 $12,866.33 $13,192.86 +$382.57
(+3.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
8 🟢 BUY Jan 22, 2026 3:35pm ET $346.54 38 $13,168.52 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2026 9:30am ET $374.88 38 $14,245.25 $14,269.59 +$1,076.73
(+8.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
14.7d held
9 🟢 BUY Feb 19, 2026 11:50am ET $377.17 37 $13,955.29 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 5, 2026 2:30pm ET $361.84 37 $13,388.06 $13,702.36 $-567.23
(-4.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
14.1d held
10 🟢 BUY Mar 9, 2026 9:30am ET $370.11 37 $13,694.07 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 18, 2026 9:40am ET $355.11 37 $13,139.07 $13,147.36 $-555.00
(-4.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
9d held
11 🟢 BUY Mar 19, 2026 3:30pm ET $350.27 37 $12,959.81 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 9:30am ET $336.25 37 $12,441.25 $12,628.80 $-518.56
(-4.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18.8d held
12 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 2:50pm ET $349.52 36 $12,582.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 9:50am ET $335.18 36 $12,066.48 $12,112.56 $-516.24
(-4.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20.8d held
13 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 12:05pm ET $349.35 34 $11,877.90 — — —
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 9:30am ET $326.61 34 $11,104.57 $11,339.23 $-773.33
(-6.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
21.4h held
14 🟢 BUY May 4, 2026 12:00pm ET $324.82 34 $11,043.71 — — —
🔴 SELL May 26, 2026 9:30am ET $339.95 34 $11,558.47 $11,853.99 +$514.76
(+4.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21.9d held
15 🟢 BUY May 28, 2026 11:35am ET $334.61 35 $11,711.35 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 18, 2026 11:35am ET $336.06 35 $11,762.10 $11,904.74 +$50.75
(+0.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
16 🟢 BUY Jun 25, 2026 3:35pm ET $354.60 33 $11,701.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 16, 2026 3:35pm ET $369.45 33 $12,192.01 $12,394.95 +$490.21
(+4.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
17 🟢 BUY Jul 17, 2026 3:50pm ET $365.70 33 $12,068.26 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 28, 2026 10:05am ET $395.11 33 $13,038.79 $13,365.48 +$970.53
(+8.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
10.8d held
18 🟢 BUY Jun 25, 2026 3:35pm ET $354.60 33 $11,701.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 30, 2026 9:35am ET $383.07 33 $12,641.31 $14,304.99 +$939.51
(+8.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
34.8d held
19 🟢 BUY Jul 31, 2026 1:10pm ET $384.17 37 $14,214.29 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 5, 2026 10:35am ET $415.44 37 $15,371.28 $15,461.98 +$1,156.99
(+8.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.9d held
20 🟢 BUY Aug 7, 2026 3:15pm ET $409.86 37 $15,164.82 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 19, 2026 3:20pm ET $442.94 37 $16,388.78 $16,685.94 +$1,223.96
(+8.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
12d held
21 🟢 BUY Aug 21, 2026 3:40pm ET $438.64 38 $16,668.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 8, 2026 9:30am ET $403.29 38 $15,325.02 $15,342.64 $-1,343.30
(-8.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
17.7d held
22 🟢 BUY Sep 9, 2026 2:20pm ET $392.44 39 $15,305.16 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 15, 2026 9:50am ET $376.09 39 $14,667.51 $14,704.99 $-637.65
(-4.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5.8d held
23 🟢 BUY Sep 16, 2026 3:20pm ET $375.80 39 $14,656.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 22, 2026 10:55am ET $406.20 39 $15,841.61 $15,890.40 +$1,185.41
(+8.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
5.8d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $15,890.40
Net Profit/Loss: +$5,890.40
Total Return: +58.90%
Back to Victor Fed Whisperer