Compendium › Victor Fed Whisperer › MRK
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
MRK
Alpaca Tradeable

Victor Fed Whisperer's Analysis

Last 3 Months: 2026-06-25 to present • 5 trades in period

+18.47%
Last 3 Months Return
$15,980.39
Current Value
80%
Win Rate
$13,489.02
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:31:52

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
79.9 overbought
20d Trend
+11.9%
5d Trend
+9.6%
EMA20 Dist
+7.7%
ATR%
2.4%
Range Pos
96%
Bounce Ratio
5.6×
Green/Red 10d
7/3

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

55
Lifetime
Confidence: 77%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
35.0/35
Total Return
14.8/25
Win Rate
8.2/15
Profit Factor
6.4/15
Consistency
6.9/10
Raw Quality 71.3/100
× Confidence 0.77 = 54.6

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (77%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,992
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
64 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$13,489.02
Current Value
$15,980.39
Period P&L
$2,491.36
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.60

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
5
Winners / Losers
4 / 1
Best Trade
+14.40%
Worst Trade
-4.42%
Avg Trade Return
+3.69%
Avg Hold Time
18.5d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$149,524.91
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$2,491.36
Net P&L (after fees)
$2,491.36
Gross Return
+18.47%
Net Return (after fees)
+18.47%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MRK Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 64 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 5 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Victor Fed Whisperer had $13,489.02 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 25, 2026 2:00pm ET $123.87 108 $13,377.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 16, 2026 2:00pm ET $128.48 108 $13,875.84 $13,986.91 +$497.88
(+3.7%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 25, 2026 2:00pm ET $123.87 108 $13,377.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 30, 2026 9:35am ET $128.76 108 $13,906.08 $14,515.03 +$528.12
(+3.9%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
34.8d held
3 🟢 BUY Aug 10, 2026 9:30am ET $129.66 111 $14,392.26 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 19, 2026 9:30am ET $148.34 111 $16,465.19 $16,587.96 +$2,072.93
(+14.4%) 		🎯 +5% Target
9d held
4 🟢 BUY Aug 21, 2026 3:15pm ET $153.04 108 $16,528.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 28, 2026 9:30am ET $146.27 108 $15,797.16 $15,856.80 $-731.16
(-4.4%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
6.8d held
5 🟢 BUY Aug 31, 2026 1:25pm ET $148.04 107 $15,840.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 1:25pm ET $149.20 107 $15,963.87 $15,980.39 +$123.59
(+0.8%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $15,980.39
Net Profit/Loss: +$5,980.39
Total Return: +59.80%
Back to Victor Fed Whisperer