Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-06 08:30:44

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
88.4 overbought
20d Trend
+12.6%
5d Trend
+5.8%
EMA20 Dist
+6.5%
ATR%
1.5%
Range Pos
98%
Bounce Ratio
40.5×
Green/Red 10d
8/2
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored Mar 6, 2026

71
Lifetime
Confidence: 0%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
84.0/35
Total Return
45.6/25
Win Rate
95.8/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
97.1/10
Raw Quality 0.0/100
× Confidence 0.00 = 70.6

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (0%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
10,709
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-11-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
133 days
Data Gaps
None (6 market holidays)

Market Closed (6 days)

2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$10,865.24
Current Value
$12,395.37
Period P&L
$1,530.13
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.38

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
7
Winners / Losers
4 / 3
Best Trade
+8.01%
Worst Trade
-4.04%
Avg Trade Return
+1.97%
Avg Hold Time
16.9d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$168,988.47
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,530.13
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,530.13
Gross Return
+14.08%
Net Return (after fees)
+14.08%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 JNJ Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 133 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 7 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Victor Fed Whisperer had $10,865.24 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Oct 28, 2025 3:50pm ET $186.91 58 $10,840.78
🔴 SELL Nov 18, 2025 2:50pm ET $199.73 58 $11,584.34 $11,676.08 +$743.56
(+6.9%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
2 🟢 BUY Nov 19, 2025 3:50pm ET $202.91 57 $11,565.87
🔴 SELL Dec 10, 2025 3:50pm ET $206.33 57 $11,760.81 $11,871.02 +$194.94
(+1.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
3 🟢 BUY Dec 11, 2025 3:50pm ET $210.45 56 $11,785.20
🔴 SELL Jan 2, 2026 9:30am ET $204.66 56 $11,460.96 $11,546.78 $-324.24
(-2.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21.7d held
4 🟢 BUY Jan 5, 2026 2:45pm ET $203.19 56 $11,378.64
🔴 SELL Jan 15, 2026 2:20pm ET $219.46 56 $12,289.76 $12,457.90 +$911.12
(+8.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
10d held
5 🟢 BUY Jan 16, 2026 3:45pm ET $218.92 56 $12,259.52
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 9:30am ET $236.46 56 $13,241.48 $13,439.86 +$981.96
(+8.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
19.7d held
6 🟢 BUY Feb 23, 2026 3:45pm ET $245.77 54 $13,271.58
🔴 SELL Mar 6, 2026 10:40am ET $235.85 54 $12,735.90 $12,904.18 $-535.68
(-4.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
10.8d held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 2:05pm ET $243.49 52 $12,661.22
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 11:35am ET $233.70 52 $12,152.41 $12,395.37 $-508.81
(-4.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
13.9d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $12,395.37
Net Profit/Loss: +$2,395.37
Total Return: +23.95%
Back to Victor Fed Whisperer