Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-06 08:30:17

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
74.9 overbought
20d Trend
+13.8%
5d Trend
+8.9%
EMA20 Dist
+7.0%
ATR%
3.0%
Range Pos
95%
Bounce Ratio
3.1×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

23
Lifetime
Confidence: 72%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
9.4/35
Total Return
9.6/25
Win Rate
5.2/15
Profit Factor
1.3/15
Consistency
6.3/10
Raw Quality 31.7/100
× Confidence 0.72 = 22.8

30-Day Momentum

0
-13.8%
30d Return
0%
Win Rate
3
Trades
0.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 0.0 Conf: 0.61×
Declining (-23 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (72%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
7,070
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
88 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)

Market Closed (4 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$12,755.33
Current Value
$11,339.23
Period P&L
$-1,416.09
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.34

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
7
Winners / Losers
2 / 5
Best Trade
+8.18%
Worst Trade
-6.51%
Avg Trade Return
-1.64%
Avg Hold Time
14.2d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$179,973.06
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,416.09
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,416.09
Gross Return
-11.10%
Net Return (after fees)
-11.10%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 AMGN Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 88 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 7 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Victor Fed Whisperer had $12,755.33 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Dec 31, 2025 1:00pm ET $328.52 38 $12,483.76
🔴 SELL Jan 21, 2026 1:00pm ET $338.59 38 $12,866.33 $13,192.86 +$382.57
(+3.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 22, 2026 3:35pm ET $346.54 38 $13,168.52
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2026 9:30am ET $374.88 38 $14,245.25 $14,269.59 +$1,076.73
(+8.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
14.7d held
3 🟢 BUY Feb 19, 2026 11:50am ET $377.17 37 $13,955.29
🔴 SELL Mar 5, 2026 2:30pm ET $361.84 37 $13,388.06 $13,702.36 $-567.23
(-4.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
14.1d held
4 🟢 BUY Mar 9, 2026 9:30am ET $370.11 37 $13,694.07
🔴 SELL Mar 18, 2026 9:40am ET $355.11 37 $13,139.07 $13,147.36 $-555.00
(-4.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
9d held
5 🟢 BUY Mar 19, 2026 3:30pm ET $350.27 37 $12,959.81
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 9:30am ET $336.25 37 $12,441.25 $12,628.80 $-518.56
(-4.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18.8d held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 2:50pm ET $349.52 36 $12,582.72
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 9:50am ET $335.18 36 $12,066.48 $12,112.56 $-516.24
(-4.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20.8d held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 12:05pm ET $349.35 34 $11,877.90
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 9:30am ET $326.61 34 $11,104.57 $11,339.23 $-773.33
(-6.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
21.4h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,339.23
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,339.23
Total Return: +13.39%
Back to Victor Fed Whisperer