Compendium › Victor Fed Whisperer › AMGN
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
AMGN
Alpaca Tradeable

Victor Fed Whisperer's Analysis

2024-01-02 11:25:00+00 to 2026-05-05 19:55:00+00 • 13 trades executed

+13.39%
2 Years Return
$11,339.23
Current Value
54%
Win Rate
$10,000.00
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-06 05:43:48

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
74.9 overbought
20d Trend
+13.8%
5d Trend
+8.9%
EMA20 Dist
+7.0%
ATR%
3.0%
Range Pos
95%
Bounce Ratio
3.1×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 5, 2026

23
Lifetime
Confidence: 72%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
9.4/35
Total Return
9.6/25
Win Rate
5.2/15
Profit Factor
1.3/15
Consistency
6.3/10
Raw Quality 31.7/100
× Confidence 0.72 = 22.9

30-Day Momentum

0
-13.8%
30d Return
0%
Win Rate
3
Trades
0.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 0.0 Conf: 0.61×
Declining (-23 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (72%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
43,511
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-05-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
510 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)

Market Closed (21 days)

2024-05-27 — Memorial Day, 2024-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2024-07-04 — Independence Day, 2024-09-02 — Labor Day, 2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$10,000.00
Current Value
$11,339.23
Total P&L
$1,339.24
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.21

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
13
Winners / Losers
7 / 6
Best Trade
+8.45%
Worst Trade
-6.51%
Avg Trade Return
+1.12%
Avg Hold Time
14.9d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$316,950.43
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,339.24
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,339.24
Gross Return
+13.39%
Net Return (after fees)
+13.39%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 AMGN Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 510 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Victor Fed Whisperer had $10,000.00 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Sep 18, 2025 9:30am ET $274.74 36 $9,890.64 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 1, 2025 11:00am ET $297.16 36 $10,697.76 $10,807.12 +$807.12
(+8.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
13.1d held
2 🟢 BUY Oct 2, 2025 3:55pm ET $297.53 36 $10,711.08 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 23, 2025 3:55pm ET $292.99 36 $10,547.64 $10,643.68 $-163.44
(-1.5%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
3 🟢 BUY Oct 24, 2025 3:55pm ET $291.85 36 $10,506.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 5, 2025 10:55am ET $316.52 36 $11,394.81 $11,531.89 +$888.21
(+8.5%) 		🎯 +5% Target
11.8d held
4 🟢 BUY Nov 6, 2025 1:05pm ET $317.50 36 $11,430.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 13, 2025 9:55am ET $344.09 36 $12,387.24 $12,489.13 +$957.24
(+8.4%) 		🎯 +5% Target
6.9d held
5 🟢 BUY Nov 14, 2025 10:25am ET $333.38 37 $12,335.06 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 5, 2025 10:25am ET $333.51 37 $12,339.69 $12,493.76 +$4.63
(+0.0%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
6 🟢 BUY Dec 8, 2025 3:55pm ET $321.32 38 $12,210.16 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 29, 2025 3:55pm ET $329.65 38 $12,526.70 $12,810.30 +$316.54
(+2.6%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
7 🟢 BUY Dec 31, 2025 1:00pm ET $328.52 38 $12,483.76 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 21, 2026 1:00pm ET $338.59 38 $12,866.33 $13,192.86 +$382.57
(+3.1%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
8 🟢 BUY Jan 22, 2026 3:35pm ET $346.54 38 $13,168.52 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2026 9:30am ET $374.88 38 $14,245.25 $14,269.59 +$1,076.73
(+8.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
14.7d held
9 🟢 BUY Feb 19, 2026 11:50am ET $377.17 37 $13,955.29 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 5, 2026 2:30pm ET $361.84 37 $13,388.06 $13,702.36 $-567.23
(-4.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
14.1d held
10 🟢 BUY Mar 9, 2026 9:30am ET $370.11 37 $13,694.07 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 18, 2026 9:40am ET $355.11 37 $13,139.07 $13,147.36 $-555.00
(-4.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
9d held
11 🟢 BUY Mar 19, 2026 3:30pm ET $350.27 37 $12,959.81 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 9:30am ET $336.25 37 $12,441.25 $12,628.80 $-518.56
(-4.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
18.8d held
12 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 2:50pm ET $349.52 36 $12,582.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 9:50am ET $335.18 36 $12,066.48 $12,112.56 $-516.24
(-4.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
20.8d held
13 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 12:05pm ET $349.35 34 $11,877.90 — — —
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 9:30am ET $326.61 34 $11,104.57 $11,339.23 $-773.33
(-6.5%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
21.4h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,339.23
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,339.23
Total Return: +13.39%
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