Compendium › Victor Fed Whisperer › MRK
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
MRK
Alpaca Tradeable

Victor Fed Whisperer's Analysis

2024-01-02 10:05:00+00 to 2026-05-05 19:55:00+00 • 13 trades executed

+26.36%
2 Years Return
$12,635.59
Current Value
54%
Win Rate
$10,000.00
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-06 05:46:25

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
79.9 overbought
20d Trend
+11.9%
5d Trend
+9.6%
EMA20 Dist
+7.7%
ATR%
2.4%
Range Pos
96%
Bounce Ratio
5.6×
Green/Red 10d
7/3
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 5, 2026

31
Lifetime
Confidence: 69%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
18.5/35
Total Return
11.9/25
Win Rate
5.2/15
Profit Factor
3.1/15
Consistency
6.3/10
Raw Quality 44.9/100
× Confidence 0.69 = 31.0

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (69%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
52,511
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-05-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
529 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)

Market Closed (21 days)

2024-05-27 — Memorial Day, 2024-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2024-07-04 — Independence Day, 2024-09-02 — Labor Day, 2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$10,000.00
Current Value
$12,635.59
Total P&L
$2,635.58
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.35

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
13
Winners / Losers
7 / 6
Best Trade
+9.48%
Worst Trade
-4.17%
Avg Trade Return
+1.98%
Avg Hold Time
12.5d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$297,282.63
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$2,635.58
Net P&L (after fees)
$2,635.58
Gross Return
+26.36%
Net Return (after fees)
+26.36%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MRK Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 529 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Victor Fed Whisperer had $10,000.00 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Sep 18, 2025 1:15pm ET $81.42 122 $9,933.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 25, 2025 11:25am ET $78.14 122 $9,533.08 $9,599.84 $-400.16
(-4.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
6.9d held
2 🟢 BUY Sep 26, 2025 12:30pm ET $78.47 122 $9,572.73 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 1, 2025 9:30am ET $85.90 122 $10,479.80 $10,506.91 +$907.07
(+9.5%) 		🎯 +5% Target
4.9d held
3 🟢 BUY Oct 2, 2025 3:20pm ET $89.27 117 $10,444.59 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 13, 2025 9:45am ET $85.55 117 $10,009.35 $10,071.67 $-435.24
(-4.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
10.8d held
4 🟢 BUY Oct 14, 2025 3:50pm ET $85.01 118 $10,031.18 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 4, 2025 2:50pm ET $83.67 118 $9,873.52 $9,914.01 $-157.66
(-1.6%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
5 🟢 BUY Nov 5, 2025 3:15pm ET $84.55 117 $9,892.23 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 12, 2025 9:30am ET $92.15 117 $10,781.55 $10,803.33 +$889.32
(+9.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
6.8d held
6 🟢 BUY Nov 13, 2025 9:30am ET $91.84 117 $10,745.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 21, 2025 12:15pm ET $99.23 117 $11,609.33 $11,667.37 +$864.04
(+8.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
8.1d held
7 🟢 BUY Nov 24, 2025 3:50pm ET $100.84 115 $11,596.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 9, 2025 11:25am ET $96.71 115 $11,121.65 $11,192.42 $-474.95
(-4.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
14.8d held
8 🟢 BUY Dec 10, 2025 2:55pm ET $97.49 114 $11,113.86 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 24, 2025 9:30am ET $105.96 114 $12,078.87 $12,157.43 +$965.01
(+8.7%) 		🎯 +5% Target
13.8d held
9 🟢 BUY Dec 26, 2025 3:20pm ET $106.45 114 $12,135.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 16, 2026 3:20pm ET $109.25 114 $12,453.93 $12,476.06 +$318.63
(+2.6%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
10 🟢 BUY Jan 20, 2026 3:55pm ET $109.53 113 $12,376.89 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 4, 2026 9:30am ET $118.82 113 $13,427.22 $13,526.40 +$1,050.33
(+8.5%) 		🎯 +5% Target
14.7d held
11 🟢 BUY Feb 19, 2026 9:30am ET $121.30 111 $13,464.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 5, 2026 10:25am ET $116.34 111 $12,913.80 $12,975.90 $-550.50
(-4.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
14d held
12 🟢 BUY Mar 10, 2026 9:30am ET $117.18 110 $12,889.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 31, 2026 9:30am ET $119.06 110 $13,096.05 $13,182.15 +$206.25
(+1.6%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
13 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 9:30am ET $117.21 112 $13,127.52 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 10:50am ET $112.33 112 $12,580.96 $12,635.59 $-546.56
(-4.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
5.1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $12,635.59
Net Profit/Loss: +$2,635.59
Total Return: +26.36%
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