Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-04-21 05:17:54

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
33
Fear
VIX
17.5
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.26%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.54%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.86
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
⛈️ 3.3
Severe
⛈️ 3 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
58.2 neutral
20d Trend
+92.9%
5d Trend
-10.5%
EMA20 Dist
+4.3%
ATR%
12.0%
Range Pos
60%
Bounce Ratio
0.8×
Green/Red 10d
2/8
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored Mar 6, 2026

0
Lifetime
Confidence: 0%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
84.0/35
Total Return
45.6/25
Win Rate
80.4/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
97.1/10
Raw Quality 0.0/100
× Confidence 0.00 = 0.0

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (0%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
49,781
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-04-22 → 2026-04-20
Trading Days
524 days
Data Gaps
2 days with gaps

Data Gap Notice

The following dates had fewer candles than expected. This could be due to early market closes, API rate limits during data collection, or low volume periods. Simulation results may be slightly affected.

2025-06-23 (26 candles), 2025-06-24 (no data)

Market Closed (21 days)

2024-05-27 — Memorial Day, 2024-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2024-07-04 — Independence Day, 2024-09-02 — Labor Day, 2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$10,000.00
Current Value
$12,017.23
Total P&L
$2,017.23
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.43

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
7
Winners / Losers
4 / 3
Best Trade
+9.74%
Worst Trade
-6.39%
Avg Trade Return
+2.89%
Avg Hold Time
3.2d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$157,460.77
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$2,017.23
Net P&L (after fees)
$2,017.23
Gross Return
+20.17%
Net Return (after fees)
+20.17%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 NET Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 524 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Victor Panic Surge had $10,000.00 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 5, 2024 9:35am ET $74.34 134 $9,961.56
🔴 SELL Aug 13, 2024 11:15am ET $80.48 134 $10,784.32 $10,822.76 +$822.76
(+8.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
8.1d held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 3, 2025 12:20pm ET $108.53 99 $10,743.98
🔴 SELL Apr 4, 2025 9:30am ET $101.59 99 $10,057.41 $10,136.20 $-686.57
(-6.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
21.2h held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2025 9:30am ET $92.76 109 $10,110.84
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2025 10:10am ET $101.80 109 $11,095.66 $11,121.01 +$984.82
(+9.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
40m held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2025 3:50pm ET $97.59 113 $11,027.67
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2025 1:25pm ET $105.78 113 $11,952.58 $12,045.92 +$924.91
(+8.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
21.6h held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2025 2:00pm ET $106.72 112 $11,952.64
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2025 11:20am ET $102.16 112 $11,441.92 $11,535.20 $-510.72
(-4.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
10.9d held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 22, 2025 3:40pm ET $105.61 109 $11,511.49
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2025 9:35am ET $114.60 109 $12,491.18 $12,514.89 +$979.69
(+8.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
17.9h held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 9:30am ET $210.40 59 $12,413.60
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2026 9:45am ET $201.96 59 $11,915.93 $12,017.23 $-497.66
(-4.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $12,017.23
Net Profit/Loss: +$2,017.23
Total Return: +20.17%
Back to Victor Panic Surge