Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-06 08:44:20

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
71.5 overbought
20d Trend
+9.1%
5d Trend
+1.1%
EMA20 Dist
+4.3%
ATR%
2.0%
Range Pos
90%
Bounce Ratio
3.3×
Green/Red 10d
7/3
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

47
Lifetime
Confidence: 71%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
30.2/35
Total Return
13.7/25
Win Rate
10.7/15
Profit Factor
5.5/15
Consistency
6.2/10
Raw Quality 66.1/100
× Confidence 0.71 = 46.7

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (71%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Year)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
26,511
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-05-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
265 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)

Market Closed (10 days)

2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Year)

Period Start Capital
$11,000.76
Current Value
$14,310.92
Period P&L
$3,310.16
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.35

Trade Statistics (Last Year)

Trades in Period
17
Winners / Losers
11 / 6
Best Trade
+10.70%
Worst Trade
-4.33%
Avg Trade Return
+1.71%
Avg Hold Time
17.6d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$435,430.60
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$3,310.16
Net P&L (after fees)
$3,310.16
Gross Return
+30.09%
Net Return (after fees)
+30.09%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 CVX Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 265 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Year - 17 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Victor Steep Curve had $11,000.76 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 5, 2025 3:55pm ET $135.49 80 $10,839.20
🔴 SELL May 27, 2025 9:30am ET $136.96 80 $10,956.80 $11,063.16 +$117.60
(+1.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21.7d held
2 🟢 BUY May 28, 2025 2:20pm ET $137.03 80 $10,962.40
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2025 9:35am ET $148.27 80 $11,861.36 $11,962.12 +$898.96
(+8.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
19.8d held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 24, 2025 9:30am ET $145.01 82 $11,890.82
🔴 SELL Jul 15, 2025 9:30am ET $151.91 82 $12,456.21 $12,527.51 +$565.39
(+4.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 16, 2025 2:40pm ET $151.00 82 $12,382.00
🔴 SELL Aug 6, 2025 2:40pm ET $152.48 82 $12,503.36 $12,648.87 +$121.36
(+1.0%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
5 🟢 BUY Aug 7, 2025 3:20pm ET $153.91 82 $12,620.21
🔴 SELL Aug 28, 2025 3:20pm ET $158.89 82 $13,028.98 $13,057.64 +$408.77
(+3.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
6 🟢 BUY Aug 29, 2025 3:45pm ET $160.68 81 $13,015.08
🔴 SELL Sep 5, 2025 1:25pm ET $154.17 81 $12,487.77 $12,530.33 $-527.31
(-4.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6.9d held
7 🟢 BUY Sep 8, 2025 3:50pm ET $154.03 81 $12,476.03
🔴 SELL Sep 29, 2025 3:50pm ET $156.07 81 $12,641.67 $12,695.97 +$165.64
(+1.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
8 🟢 BUY Sep 30, 2025 3:50pm ET $155.43 81 $12,589.83
🔴 SELL Oct 10, 2025 12:00pm ET $149.06 81 $12,073.86 $12,180.00 $-515.97
(-4.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
9.8d held
9 🟢 BUY Oct 14, 2025 9:30am ET $150.82 80 $12,065.20
🔴 SELL Nov 4, 2025 9:30am ET $152.20 80 $12,176.00 $12,290.80 +$110.80
(+0.9%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
10 🟢 BUY Nov 5, 2025 3:50pm ET $153.01 80 $12,240.80
🔴 SELL Nov 26, 2025 3:50pm ET $149.77 80 $11,981.60 $12,031.60 $-259.20
(-2.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
11 🟢 BUY Dec 1, 2025 3:50pm ET $152.69 78 $11,909.43
🔴 SELL Dec 16, 2025 12:55pm ET $146.56 78 $11,431.68 $11,553.85 $-477.75
(-4.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
14.9d held
12 🟢 BUY Dec 18, 2025 3:55pm ET $147.72 78 $11,522.16
🔴 SELL Jan 5, 2026 9:30am ET $163.53 78 $12,755.33 $12,787.03 +$1,233.17
(+10.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
17.7d held
13 🟢 BUY Jan 6, 2026 2:20pm ET $157.14 81 $12,728.34
🔴 SELL Jan 27, 2026 2:20pm ET $168.61 81 $13,657.01 $13,715.69 +$928.67
(+7.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
14 🟢 BUY Jan 28, 2026 2:30pm ET $169.08 81 $13,695.48
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 2:55pm ET $182.62 81 $14,792.22 $14,812.43 +$1,096.74
(+8.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
12d held
15 🟢 BUY Feb 19, 2026 9:30am ET $186.01 79 $14,695.18
🔴 SELL Mar 12, 2026 10:30am ET $195.74 79 $15,463.46 $15,580.71 +$768.28
(+5.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
16 🟢 BUY Mar 18, 2026 9:30am ET $199.40 78 $15,553.20
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $191.37 78 $14,926.47 $14,953.98 $-626.73
(-4.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
21d held
17 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 2:00pm ET $187.94 79 $14,847.26
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 9:35am ET $179.80 79 $14,204.20 $14,310.92 $-643.06
(-4.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6.8d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $14,310.92
Net Profit/Loss: +$4,310.92
Total Return: +43.11%
Back to Victor Steep Curve