Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-24 23:35:12

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
38.5 neutral
20d Trend
-12.5%
5d Trend
-40.4%
EMA20 Dist
-22.1%
ATR%
14.8%
Range Pos
32%
Bounce Ratio
0.3×
Green/Red 10d
6/4

Strategy Score Scored Jul 23, 2026

40
Lifetime
Confidence: 53%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
35.0/35
Total Return
18.3/25
Win Rate
8.3/15
Profit Factor
7.1/15
Consistency
6.9/10
Raw Quality 75.6/100
× Confidence 0.53 = 39.8

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (53%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Year)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
30,007
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-09-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
266 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)

Market Closed (10 days)

2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Year)

Period Start Capital
$14,214.37
Current Value
$25,790.36
Period P&L
$11,575.98
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.48

Trade Statistics (Last Year)

Trades in Period
22
Winners / Losers
13 / 9
Best Trade
+9.85%
Worst Trade
-6.41%
Avg Trade Return
+3.13%
Avg Hold Time
5.9d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$978,770.29
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$11,575.98
Net P&L (after fees)
$11,575.98
Gross Return
+81.44%
Net Return (after fees)
+81.44%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 SLV Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 266 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Year - 22 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Victor Steep Curve had $14,214.37 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Sep 15, 2025 11:50am ET $38.70 354 $13,698.03 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 26, 2025 11:45am ET $41.83 354 $14,806.05 $14,810.86 +$1,108.02
(+8.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
11d held
2 🟢 BUY Sep 30, 2025 9:30am ET $41.80 354 $14,797.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 9, 2025 9:30am ET $45.86 354 $16,232.67 $16,246.33 +$1,435.47
(+9.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
9d held
3 🟢 BUY Oct 10, 2025 10:20am ET $45.76 355 $16,243.03 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 21, 2025 10:25am ET $43.75 355 $15,529.48 $15,532.78 $-713.55
(-4.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
11d held
4 🟢 BUY Oct 22, 2025 3:30pm ET $43.91 353 $15,500.23 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 27, 2025 10:15am ET $42.15 353 $14,878.95 $14,911.50 $-621.28
(-4.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.8d held
5 🟢 BUY Oct 28, 2025 2:15pm ET $42.73 348 $14,870.04 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 11, 2025 9:30am ET $46.17 348 $16,065.59 $16,107.06 +$1,195.55
(+8.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
13.8d held
6 🟢 BUY Nov 12, 2025 9:35am ET $47.25 340 $16,065.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 17, 2025 2:40pm ET $45.24 340 $15,379.90 $15,421.96 $-685.10
(-4.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5.2d held
7 🟢 BUY Nov 18, 2025 2:55pm ET $46.42 332 $15,411.44 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 28, 2025 9:55am ET $50.14 332 $16,644.82 $16,655.34 +$1,233.38
(+8.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
9.8d held
8 🟢 BUY Dec 2, 2025 1:00pm ET $52.74 315 $16,613.10 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 11, 2025 10:30am ET $57.08 315 $17,980.14 $18,022.38 +$1,367.04
(+8.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
8.9d held
9 🟢 BUY Dec 12, 2025 3:35pm ET $55.86 322 $17,985.31 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 17, 2025 12:30pm ET $60.36 322 $19,434.31 $19,471.38 +$1,449.00
(+8.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.9d held
10 🟢 BUY Dec 18, 2025 3:00pm ET $59.33 328 $19,460.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 23, 2025 12:00pm ET $64.19 328 $21,054.32 $21,065.46 +$1,594.08
(+8.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.9d held
11 🟢 BUY Dec 24, 2025 12:45pm ET $65.23 322 $21,004.06 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 26, 2025 3:00pm ET $70.48 322 $22,693.92 $22,755.31 +$1,689.86
(+8.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.1d held
12 🟢 BUY Dec 30, 2025 11:55am ET $69.84 325 $22,698.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 31, 2025 9:30am ET $66.21 325 $21,518.22 $21,575.53 $-1,179.78
(-5.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
21.6h held
13 🟢 BUY Jan 2, 2026 3:55pm ET $65.78 327 $21,510.06 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 6, 2026 9:30am ET $71.90 327 $23,511.30 $23,576.77 +$2,001.24
(+9.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.7d held
14 🟢 BUY Jan 7, 2026 9:30am ET $70.07 336 $23,544.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 12, 2026 9:30am ET $76.98 336 $25,864.27 $25,896.34 +$2,319.58
(+9.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
5d held
15 🟢 BUY Jan 13, 2026 9:40am ET $80.36 322 $25,875.92 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 22, 2026 11:50am ET $86.83 322 $27,959.26 $27,979.68 +$2,083.34
(+8.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
9.1d held
16 🟢 BUY Jan 23, 2026 2:00pm ET $91.96 304 $27,955.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 26, 2026 9:30am ET $99.65 304 $30,292.08 $30,315.92 +$2,336.24
(+8.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.8d held
17 🟢 BUY Jan 27, 2026 3:05pm ET $100.27 302 $30,282.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 29, 2026 9:30am ET $108.83 302 $32,866.66 $32,899.99 +$2,584.06
(+8.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.8d held
18 🟢 BUY Jan 30, 2026 9:30am ET $91.28 360 $32,860.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 30, 2026 11:15am ET $87.10 360 $31,356.00 $31,395.19 $-1,504.80
(-4.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8h held
19 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 1:20pm ET $70.11 447 $31,339.17 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 3:00pm ET $67.29 447 $30,080.86 $30,136.88 $-1,258.31
(-4.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.7h held
20 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 9:30am ET $73.40 410 $30,096.05 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 12, 2026 11:20am ET $70.00 410 $28,699.38 $28,740.22 $-1,396.67
(-4.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.1d held
21 🟢 BUY Feb 23, 2026 9:30am ET $79.06 363 $28,698.78 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 3, 2026 9:30am ET $73.99 363 $26,858.37 $26,899.81 $-1,840.41
(-6.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
8d held
22 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 9:30am ET $70.61 380 $26,831.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 1:45pm ET $67.69 380 $25,722.35 $25,790.36 $-1,109.45
(-4.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
9.2d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $25,790.36
Net Profit/Loss: +$15,790.36
Total Return: +157.90%
Back to Victor Steep Curve