SOXL Victor Steep Curve's Analysis
Last Year: 2025-05-06 to present • 50 trades in period
+113.88%
Last Year Return
$15,148.97
Current Value
50%
Win Rate
$7,083.03
Period Start
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.
Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
50.5 neutral
20d Trend
+69.9%
5d Trend
-8.4%
EMA20 Dist
+0.9%
ATR%
11.0%
Range Pos
31%
Bounce Ratio
1.9×
Green/Red 10d
5/5
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.
Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026
42
Lifetime
Confidence: 69%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
35.0/35
Total Return
14.3/25
Win Rate
2.2/15
Profit Factor
1.5/15
Consistency
7.3/10
Raw Quality
60.2/100
× Confidence 0.69
= 41.6
30-Day Momentum
Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (69%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last Year)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
40,300
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-05-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
251 days
Data Gaps
1 day with gaps
Data Gap Notice
The following dates had fewer candles than expected. This could be due to early market closes, API rate limits during data collection, or low volume periods. Simulation results may be slightly affected.
2025-11-28 (no data)
Market Closed (10 days)
2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last Year)
Period Start Capital
$7,083.03
Current Value
$15,148.97
Period P&L
$8,065.93
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.22
Trade Statistics (Last Year)
Trades in Period
50
Winners / Losers
25 /
25
Best Trade
+13.39%
Worst Trade
-11.43%
Avg Trade Return
+1.80%
Avg Hold Time
3.2d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,184,797.44
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$8,065.93
Net P&L (after fees)
$8,065.93
Gross Return
+113.88%
Net Return (after fees)
+113.88%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 SOXL Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 251 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last Year - 50 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Victor Steep Curve had $7,083.03 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | May 5, 2025 9:30am ET | $13.08 | 559 | $7,313.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 6, 2025 9:30am ET | $12.50 | 559 | $6,987.22 | $6,993.31 |
$-326.23 (-4.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | May 20, 2025 9:30am ET | $17.63 | 396 | $6,981.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 21, 2025 3:05pm ET | $16.88 | 396 | $6,684.44 | $6,695.79 |
$-297.51 (-4.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2d held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | May 23, 2025 9:30am ET | $15.50 | 431 | $6,680.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 27, 2025 9:30am ET | $17.38 | 431 | $7,488.63 | $7,503.92 |
+$808.13 (+12.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4d held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | May 28, 2025 9:35am ET | $17.33 | 432 | $7,486.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 30, 2025 9:30am ET | $15.64 | 432 | $6,756.52 | $6,773.84 |
$-730.08 (-9.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 2, 2025 9:30am ET | $16.71 | 405 | $6,767.51 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 3, 2025 9:30am ET | $18.07 | 405 | $7,318.31 | $7,324.64 |
+$550.80 (+8.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1d held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 24, 2025 10:00am ET | $23.88 | 306 | $7,305.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 2, 2025 9:30am ET | $26.04 | 306 | $7,968.24 | $7,987.13 |
+$662.49 (+9.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
8d held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 8, 2025 9:40am ET | $26.44 | 302 | $7,983.37 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 22, 2025 12:15pm ET | $25.36 | 302 | $7,658.72 | $7,662.48 |
$-324.65 (-4.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
14.1d held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 24, 2025 9:30am ET | $25.60 | 299 | $7,654.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 30, 2025 9:30am ET | $28.00 | 299 | $8,372.00 | $8,380.08 |
+$717.60 (+9.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
6d held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 1, 2025 9:30am ET | $23.80 | 352 | $8,377.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 8, 2025 10:45am ET | $25.74 | 352 | $9,058.72 | $9,061.16 |
+$681.08 (+8.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
7.1d held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 11, 2025 11:55am ET | $25.61 | 353 | $9,040.33 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 12, 2025 9:30am ET | $27.81 | 353 | $9,815.69 | $9,836.53 |
+$775.36 (+8.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
21.6h held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 13, 2025 9:35am ET | $28.89 | 340 | $9,821.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 15, 2025 9:30am ET | $27.41 | 340 | $9,319.40 | $9,334.69 |
$-501.84 (-5.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 18, 2025 9:30am ET | $27.51 | 339 | $9,325.89 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 19, 2025 10:25am ET | $26.39 | 339 | $8,946.18 | $8,954.97 |
$-379.71 (-4.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 20, 2025 11:50am ET | $25.69 | 348 | $8,940.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 22, 2025 9:30am ET | $27.94 | 348 | $9,723.12 | $9,737.97 |
+$783.00 (+8.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 25, 2025 9:45am ET | $27.46 | 354 | $9,720.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 29, 2025 9:30am ET | $25.95 | 354 | $9,185.77 | $9,202.86 |
$-535.11 (-5.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 2, 2025 9:30am ET | $24.62 | 373 | $9,183.63 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 8, 2025 9:30am ET | $26.87 | 373 | $10,020.65 | $10,039.88 |
+$837.01 (+9.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
6d held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 9, 2025 9:35am ET | $27.07 | 370 | $10,015.42 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 11, 2025 9:30am ET | $29.34 | 370 | $10,855.80 | $10,880.26 |
+$840.38 (+8.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2d held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 15, 2025 9:30am ET | $29.72 | 366 | $10,877.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 18, 2025 9:30am ET | $33.56 | 366 | $12,281.13 | $12,283.87 |
+$1,403.61 (+12.9%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3d held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 19, 2025 9:30am ET | $32.86 | 373 | $12,254.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 1, 2025 9:30am ET | $35.96 | 373 | $13,411.22 | $13,440.17 |
+$1,156.30 (+9.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
12d held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 2, 2025 9:35am ET | $39.09 | 343 | $13,406.19 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 6, 2025 9:30am ET | $42.87 | 343 | $14,702.70 | $14,736.67 |
+$1,296.51 (+9.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4d held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 7, 2025 10:05am ET | $38.91 | 378 | $14,706.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 8, 2025 10:05am ET | $42.11 | 378 | $15,917.58 | $15,947.94 |
+$1,211.26 (+8.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1d held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 9, 2025 10:15am ET | $41.60 | 383 | $15,934.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 10, 2025 9:30am ET | $37.42 | 383 | $14,330.17 | $14,343.59 |
$-1,604.35 (-10.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.3h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 14, 2025 9:35am ET | $38.71 | 370 | $14,322.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 14, 2025 11:40am ET | $37.10 | 370 | $13,727.00 | $13,747.89 |
$-595.70 (-4.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.1h held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 15, 2025 11:55am ET | $40.02 | 343 | $13,726.86 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 22, 2025 9:30am ET | $37.06 | 343 | $12,711.58 | $12,732.61 |
$-1,015.28 (-7.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6.9d held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 23, 2025 9:30am ET | $40.89 | 311 | $12,716.57 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 27, 2025 9:30am ET | $46.37 | 311 | $14,419.52 | $14,435.55 |
+$1,702.94 (+13.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4d held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 28, 2025 9:30am ET | $47.19 | 305 | $14,392.98 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 4, 2025 9:30am ET | $44.47 | 305 | $13,563.38 | $13,605.95 |
$-829.60 (-5.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
7d held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 6, 2025 9:55am ET | $44.49 | 305 | $13,569.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 7, 2025 9:30am ET | $39.89 | 305 | $12,165.08 | $12,201.58 |
$-1,404.37 (-10.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.6h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 10, 2025 10:35am ET | $45.23 | 269 | $12,165.53 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 11, 2025 9:30am ET | $42.29 | 269 | $11,376.01 | $11,412.06 |
$-789.52 (-6.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
22.9h held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 12, 2025 10:30am ET | $43.72 | 261 | $11,411.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 14, 2025 9:30am ET | $39.22 | 261 | $10,235.12 | $10,235.66 |
$-1,176.41 (-10.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 17, 2025 10:50am ET | $36.48 | 280 | $10,214.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 18, 2025 9:30am ET | $34.88 | 280 | $9,766.40 | $9,787.66 |
$-448.00 (-4.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
22.7h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 19, 2025 10:35am ET | $36.32 | 269 | $9,768.74 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 20, 2025 9:30am ET | $32.16 | 269 | $8,651.69 | $8,670.61 |
$-1,117.05 (-11.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
22.9h held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 21, 2025 10:30am ET | $32.24 | 268 | $8,640.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 24, 2025 9:30am ET | $35.80 | 268 | $9,593.06 | $9,622.79 |
+$952.18 (+11.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3d held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 25, 2025 10:30am ET | $35.94 | 267 | $9,595.98 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 26, 2025 9:30am ET | $39.60 | 267 | $10,571.87 | $10,598.67 |
+$975.89 (+10.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23h held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 1, 2025 10:50am ET | $41.58 | 254 | $10,561.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 2, 2025 12:20pm ET | $44.96 | 254 | $11,419.84 | $11,457.19 |
+$858.52 (+8.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 3, 2025 2:20pm ET | $46.28 | 247 | $11,431.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 10, 2025 10:35am ET | $49.99 | 247 | $12,347.53 | $12,373.56 |
+$916.37 (+8.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
6.8d held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 12, 2025 9:30am ET | $42.21 | 293 | $12,367.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 16, 2025 9:30am ET | $39.95 | 293 | $11,705.35 | $11,711.47 |
$-662.09 (-5.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 17, 2025 10:30am ET | $35.96 | 325 | $11,685.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 18, 2025 9:30am ET | $38.86 | 325 | $12,627.88 | $12,653.97 |
+$942.50 (+8.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23h held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 19, 2025 10:30am ET | $42.32 | 299 | $12,652.19 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $47.50 | 299 | $14,201.33 | $14,203.12 |
+$1,549.15 (+12.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
14d held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 5, 2026 10:45am ET | $49.23 | 288 | $14,176.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $53.49 | 288 | $15,405.12 | $15,431.44 |
+$1,228.32 (+8.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
22.8h held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 7, 2026 10:30am ET | $51.60 | 299 | $15,426.91 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $49.42 | 299 | $14,775.09 | $14,779.62 |
$-651.82 (-4.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23h held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 9, 2026 10:30am ET | $54.50 | 271 | $14,768.31 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $59.78 | 271 | $16,199.84 | $16,211.15 |
+$1,431.53 (+9.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
6d held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 16, 2026 10:50am ET | $60.98 | 265 | $16,159.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $57.43 | 265 | $15,217.63 | $15,269.07 |
$-942.08 (-5.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.9d held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 21, 2026 10:55am ET | $63.50 | 240 | $15,240.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $60.83 | 240 | $14,598.00 | $14,627.07 |
$-642.00 (-4.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held |
|
| 43 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 26, 2026 10:30am ET | $60.95 | 239 | $14,567.03 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 27, 2026 10:15am ET | $65.93 | 239 | $15,756.08 | $15,816.12 |
+$1,189.05 (+8.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.8h held |
|
| 44 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 29, 2026 9:35am ET | $68.48 | 230 | $15,750.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 30, 2026 9:30am ET | $63.77 | 230 | $14,665.95 | $14,731.67 |
$-1,084.45 (-6.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.9h held |
|
| 45 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 2, 2026 3:00pm ET | $65.36 | 225 | $14,704.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 3, 2026 9:55am ET | $61.43 | 225 | $13,821.57 | $13,848.37 |
$-883.31 (-6.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
18.9h held |
|
| 46 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $51.49 | 268 | $13,799.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $57.49 | 268 | $15,408.66 | $15,457.71 |
+$1,609.34 (+11.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1d held |
|
| 47 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $60.40 | 255 | $15,402.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 11, 2026 9:30am ET | $67.72 | 255 | $17,268.04 | $17,323.74 |
+$1,866.04 (+12.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2d held |
|
| 48 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 12, 2026 9:30am ET | $70.00 | 247 | $17,290.99 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 12, 2026 11:05am ET | $66.65 | 247 | $16,462.55 | $16,495.31 |
$-828.44 (-4.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.6h held |
|
| 49 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $66.63 | 247 | $16,457.61 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 23, 2026 11:05am ET | $63.81 | 247 | $15,761.07 | $15,798.77 |
$-696.54 (-4.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.6h held |
|
| 50 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 24, 2026 3:30pm ET | $69.03 | 228 | $15,738.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 26, 2026 9:55am ET | $66.18 | 228 | $15,089.04 | $15,148.97 |
$-649.80 (-4.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$15,148.97
Net Profit/Loss:
+$5,148.97
Total Return:
+51.49%