Compendium › Victor Steep Curve › CVX
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
CVX
Alpaca Tradeable

Victor Steep Curve's Analysis

Last 3 Months: 2026-03-21 to present • 3 trades in period

-6.80%
Last 3 Months Return
$14,529.21
Current Value
33%
Win Rate
$15,588.90
Period Start
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PHASE 3: CAPITULATION
Signals generated 2026-06-21 15:59:44

Extreme fear + bounces appearing. Mean reversion and reversal strategies have best edge NOW.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.8
Unsettled
RSI(14)
71.5 overbought
20d Trend
+9.1%
5d Trend
+1.1%
EMA20 Dist
+4.3%
ATR%
2.0%
Range Pos
90%
Bounce Ratio
3.3×
Green/Red 10d
7/3

Strategy Score Scored Jun 21, 2026

45
Lifetime
Confidence: 65%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
31.7/35
Total Return
13.8/25
Win Rate
11.3/15
Profit Factor
5.9/15
Consistency
6.4/10
Raw Quality 69.1/100
× Confidence 0.65 = 45.2

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (65%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,836
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-23 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
62 days
Data Gaps
None (3 market holidays)

Market Closed (3 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$15,588.90
Current Value
$14,529.21
Period P&L
$-1,059.69
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.85

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
3
Winners / Losers
1 / 2
Best Trade
+1.53%
Worst Trade
-4.33%
Avg Trade Return
-2.28%
Avg Hold Time
16.3d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$88,345.69
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,059.69
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,059.69
Gross Return
-6.80%
Net Return (after fees)
-6.80%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 CVX Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 62 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 3 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Victor Steep Curve had $15,588.90 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 18, 2026 9:30am ET $199.40 78 $15,553.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $191.37 78 $14,926.47 $14,953.98 $-626.73
(-4.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
21d held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 2:00pm ET $187.94 79 $14,847.26 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 9:35am ET $179.80 79 $14,204.20 $14,310.92 $-643.06
(-4.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
6.8d held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 9:30am ET $185.69 77 $14,298.13 — — —
🔴 SELL May 15, 2026 9:30am ET $188.52 77 $14,516.42 $14,529.21 +$218.29
(+1.5%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $14,529.21
Net Profit/Loss: +$4,529.21
Total Return: +45.29%
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