Compendium › Victor Steep Curve › MDT
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
MDT
Alpaca Tradeable

Victor Steep Curve's Analysis

Last 3 Months: 2026-02-06 to present • 2 trades in period

-7.96%
Last 3 Months Return
$10,861.71
Current Value
0%
Win Rate
$11,801.39
Period Start
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PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-06 08:31:04

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
62.3 neutral
20d Trend
+5.9%
5d Trend
+0.9%
EMA20 Dist
+1.9%
ATR%
1.9%
Range Pos
83%
Bounce Ratio
2.8×
Green/Red 10d
6/4
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

14
Lifetime
Confidence: 58%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
6.0/35
Total Return
8.2/25
Win Rate
3.8/15
Profit Factor
1.0/15
Consistency
5.5/10
Raw Quality 24.4/100
× Confidence 0.58 = 14.1

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (58%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,769
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-02-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
61 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$11,801.39
Current Value
$10,861.71
Period P&L
$-939.68
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
-82.45

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
2
Winners / Losers
0 / 2
Best Trade
-4.03%
Worst Trade
-4.13%
Avg Trade Return
-4.08%
Avg Hold Time
5.9d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$45,118.04
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-939.68
Net P&L (after fees)
$-939.68
Gross Return
-7.96%
Net Return (after fees)
-7.96%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MDT Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 61 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 2 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Victor Steep Curve had $11,801.39 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Feb 24, 2026 1:00pm ET $97.60 120 $11,712.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 5, 2026 10:15am ET $93.67 120 $11,239.80 $11,329.19 $-472.20
(-4.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
8.9d held
2 🟢 BUY Mar 9, 2026 3:45pm ET $91.26 124 $11,316.86 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 12, 2026 12:10pm ET $87.50 124 $10,849.38 $10,861.71 $-467.48
(-4.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,861.71
Net Profit/Loss: +$861.71
Total Return: +8.62%
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