Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-21 15:58:29

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.8
Unsettled
RSI(14)
38.5 neutral
20d Trend
-12.5%
5d Trend
-40.4%
EMA20 Dist
-22.1%
ATR%
14.8%
Range Pos
32%
Bounce Ratio
0.3×
Green/Red 10d
6/4

Strategy Score Scored Jun 21, 2026

47
Lifetime
Confidence: 62%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
35.0/35
Total Return
18.3/25
Win Rate
8.3/15
Profit Factor
7.1/15
Consistency
6.9/10
Raw Quality 75.6/100
× Confidence 0.62 = 47.2

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (62%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
13,129
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-12-22 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
130 days
Data Gaps
None (7 market holidays)

Market Closed (7 days)

2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$20,481.61
Current Value
$25,790.36
Period P&L
$5,308.74
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.36

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
13
Winners / Losers
7 / 6
Best Trade
+9.85%
Worst Trade
-6.41%
Avg Trade Return
+2.41%
Avg Hold Time
3.9d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$690,635.01
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$5,308.74
Net P&L (after fees)
$5,308.74
Gross Return
+25.92%
Net Return (after fees)
+25.92%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 SLV Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 130 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 13 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Victor Steep Curve had $20,481.61 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Dec 18, 2025 3:00pm ET $59.33 328 $19,460.24
🔴 SELL Dec 23, 2025 12:00pm ET $64.19 328 $21,054.32 $21,065.46 +$1,594.08
(+8.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.9d held
2 🟢 BUY Dec 24, 2025 12:45pm ET $65.23 322 $21,004.06
🔴 SELL Dec 26, 2025 3:00pm ET $70.48 322 $22,693.92 $22,755.31 +$1,689.86
(+8.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.1d held
3 🟢 BUY Dec 30, 2025 11:55am ET $69.84 325 $22,698.00
🔴 SELL Dec 31, 2025 9:30am ET $66.21 325 $21,518.22 $21,575.53 $-1,179.78
(-5.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
21.6h held
4 🟢 BUY Jan 2, 2026 3:55pm ET $65.78 327 $21,510.06
🔴 SELL Jan 6, 2026 9:30am ET $71.90 327 $23,511.30 $23,576.77 +$2,001.24
(+9.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.7d held
5 🟢 BUY Jan 7, 2026 9:30am ET $70.07 336 $23,544.70
🔴 SELL Jan 12, 2026 9:30am ET $76.98 336 $25,864.27 $25,896.34 +$2,319.58
(+9.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
5d held
6 🟢 BUY Jan 13, 2026 9:40am ET $80.36 322 $25,875.92
🔴 SELL Jan 22, 2026 11:50am ET $86.83 322 $27,959.26 $27,979.68 +$2,083.34
(+8.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
9.1d held
7 🟢 BUY Jan 23, 2026 2:00pm ET $91.96 304 $27,955.84
🔴 SELL Jan 26, 2026 9:30am ET $99.65 304 $30,292.08 $30,315.92 +$2,336.24
(+8.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.8d held
8 🟢 BUY Jan 27, 2026 3:05pm ET $100.27 302 $30,282.60
🔴 SELL Jan 29, 2026 9:30am ET $108.83 302 $32,866.66 $32,899.99 +$2,584.06
(+8.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.8d held
9 🟢 BUY Jan 30, 2026 9:30am ET $91.28 360 $32,860.80
🔴 SELL Jan 30, 2026 11:15am ET $87.10 360 $31,356.00 $31,395.19 $-1,504.80
(-4.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8h held
10 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 1:20pm ET $70.11 447 $31,339.17
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 3:00pm ET $67.29 447 $30,080.86 $30,136.88 $-1,258.31
(-4.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.7h held
11 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 9:30am ET $73.40 410 $30,096.05
🔴 SELL Feb 12, 2026 11:20am ET $70.00 410 $28,699.38 $28,740.22 $-1,396.67
(-4.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.1d held
12 🟢 BUY Feb 23, 2026 9:30am ET $79.06 363 $28,698.78
🔴 SELL Mar 3, 2026 9:30am ET $73.99 363 $26,858.37 $26,899.81 $-1,840.41
(-6.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
8d held
13 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 9:30am ET $70.61 380 $26,831.80
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 1:45pm ET $67.69 380 $25,722.35 $25,790.36 $-1,109.45
(-4.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
9.2d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $25,790.36
Net Profit/Loss: +$15,790.36
Total Return: +157.90%
Back to Victor Steep Curve