SLV Victor Steep Curve's Analysis
2024-01-02 09:00:00+00 to 2026-05-05 19:55:00+00 • 29 trades executed
+157.90%
2 Years Return
$25,790.36
Current Value
62%
Win Rate
$10,000.00
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
38.5 neutral
20d Trend
-12.5%
5d Trend
-40.4%
EMA20 Dist
-22.1%
ATR%
14.8%
Range Pos
32%
Bounce Ratio
0.3×
Green/Red 10d
6/4
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.
Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026
58
Lifetime
Confidence: 77%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
35.0/35
Total Return
18.3/25
Win Rate
8.3/15
Profit Factor
7.1/15
Consistency
6.9/10
Raw Quality
75.6/100
× Confidence 0.77
= 58.1
30-Day Momentum
Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (77%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
82,293
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-05-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
535 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)
Market Closed (21 days)
2024-05-27 — Memorial Day, 2024-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2024-07-04 — Independence Day, 2024-09-02 — Labor Day, 2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary
Starting Capital
$10,000.00
Current Value
$25,790.36
Total P&L
$15,790.35
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.57
Trade Statistics
Total Trades
29
Winners / Losers
18 /
11
Best Trade
+9.97%
Worst Trade
-6.41%
Avg Trade Return
+3.51%
Avg Hold Time
8.5d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,144,570.91
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$15,790.35
Net P&L (after fees)
$15,790.35
Gross Return
+157.90%
Net Return (after fees)
+157.90%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 SLV Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 535 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Complete Trade History
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Victor Steep Curve had $10,000.00 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 8, 2025 9:30am ET | $27.68 | 361 | $9,992.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 16, 2025 9:50am ET | $29.91 | 361 | $10,797.55 | $10,805.07 |
+$805.07 (+8.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
8d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 17, 2025 1:00pm ET | $29.57 | 365 | $10,793.05 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 8, 2025 1:00pm ET | $29.53 | 365 | $10,778.45 | $10,790.47 |
$-14.60 (-0.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | May 20, 2025 10:00am ET | $29.77 | 362 | $10,774.93 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 5, 2025 9:30am ET | $32.73 | 362 | $11,849.45 | $11,864.99 |
+$1,074.52 (+10.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
16d held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 24, 2025 9:50am ET | $32.16 | 368 | $11,833.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 11, 2025 10:25am ET | $34.75 | 368 | $12,787.89 | $12,819.84 |
+$954.85 (+8.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
17d held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 14, 2025 11:25am ET | $34.80 | 368 | $12,806.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 31, 2025 9:30am ET | $33.28 | 368 | $12,245.20 | $12,258.64 |
$-561.20 (-4.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
16.9d held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 1, 2025 9:40am ET | $33.59 | 365 | $12,258.53 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 22, 2025 9:40am ET | $34.51 | 365 | $12,594.33 | $12,594.44 |
+$335.80 (+2.7%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 25, 2025 1:20pm ET | $35.17 | 358 | $12,590.47 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 12, 2025 9:30am ET | $38.27 | 358 | $13,698.87 | $13,702.84 |
+$1,108.40 (+8.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
17.8d held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 15, 2025 11:50am ET | $38.70 | 354 | $13,698.03 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 26, 2025 11:45am ET | $41.83 | 354 | $14,806.05 | $14,810.86 |
+$1,108.02 (+8.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
11d held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 30, 2025 9:30am ET | $41.80 | 354 | $14,797.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 9, 2025 9:30am ET | $45.86 | 354 | $16,232.67 | $16,246.33 |
+$1,435.47 (+9.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
9d held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 10, 2025 10:20am ET | $45.76 | 355 | $16,243.03 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 21, 2025 10:25am ET | $43.75 | 355 | $15,529.48 | $15,532.78 |
$-713.55 (-4.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
11d held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 22, 2025 3:30pm ET | $43.91 | 353 | $15,500.23 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 27, 2025 10:15am ET | $42.15 | 353 | $14,878.95 | $14,911.50 |
$-621.28 (-4.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.8d held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 28, 2025 2:15pm ET | $42.73 | 348 | $14,870.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 11, 2025 9:30am ET | $46.17 | 348 | $16,065.59 | $16,107.06 |
+$1,195.55 (+8.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
13.8d held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 12, 2025 9:35am ET | $47.25 | 340 | $16,065.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 17, 2025 2:40pm ET | $45.24 | 340 | $15,379.90 | $15,421.96 |
$-685.10 (-4.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5.2d held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 18, 2025 2:55pm ET | $46.42 | 332 | $15,411.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 28, 2025 9:55am ET | $50.14 | 332 | $16,644.82 | $16,655.34 |
+$1,233.38 (+8.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
9.8d held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 2, 2025 1:00pm ET | $52.74 | 315 | $16,613.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 11, 2025 10:30am ET | $57.08 | 315 | $17,980.14 | $18,022.38 |
+$1,367.04 (+8.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
8.9d held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 12, 2025 3:35pm ET | $55.86 | 322 | $17,985.31 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 17, 2025 12:30pm ET | $60.36 | 322 | $19,434.31 | $19,471.38 |
+$1,449.00 (+8.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.9d held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 18, 2025 3:00pm ET | $59.33 | 328 | $19,460.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 23, 2025 12:00pm ET | $64.19 | 328 | $21,054.32 | $21,065.46 |
+$1,594.08 (+8.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.9d held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 24, 2025 12:45pm ET | $65.23 | 322 | $21,004.06 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 26, 2025 3:00pm ET | $70.48 | 322 | $22,693.92 | $22,755.31 |
+$1,689.86 (+8.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.1d held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 30, 2025 11:55am ET | $69.84 | 325 | $22,698.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 31, 2025 9:30am ET | $66.21 | 325 | $21,518.22 | $21,575.53 |
$-1,179.78 (-5.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
21.6h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 2, 2026 3:55pm ET | $65.78 | 327 | $21,510.06 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $71.90 | 327 | $23,511.30 | $23,576.77 |
+$2,001.24 (+9.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.7d held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 7, 2026 9:30am ET | $70.07 | 336 | $23,544.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 12, 2026 9:30am ET | $76.98 | 336 | $25,864.27 | $25,896.34 |
+$2,319.58 (+9.9%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5d held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 13, 2026 9:40am ET | $80.36 | 322 | $25,875.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 22, 2026 11:50am ET | $86.83 | 322 | $27,959.26 | $27,979.68 |
+$2,083.34 (+8.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
9.1d held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 23, 2026 2:00pm ET | $91.96 | 304 | $27,955.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $99.65 | 304 | $30,292.08 | $30,315.92 |
+$2,336.24 (+8.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.8d held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 27, 2026 3:05pm ET | $100.27 | 302 | $30,282.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $108.83 | 302 | $32,866.66 | $32,899.99 |
+$2,584.06 (+8.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.8d held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 30, 2026 9:30am ET | $91.28 | 360 | $32,860.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 30, 2026 11:15am ET | $87.10 | 360 | $31,356.00 | $31,395.19 |
$-1,504.80 (-4.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8h held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 1:20pm ET | $70.11 | 447 | $31,339.17 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 3:00pm ET | $67.29 | 447 | $30,080.86 | $30,136.88 |
$-1,258.31 (-4.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.7h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $73.40 | 410 | $30,096.05 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 12, 2026 11:20am ET | $70.00 | 410 | $28,699.38 | $28,740.22 |
$-1,396.67 (-4.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.1d held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $79.06 | 363 | $28,698.78 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 3, 2026 9:30am ET | $73.99 | 363 | $26,858.37 | $26,899.81 |
$-1,840.41 (-6.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
8d held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 14, 2026 9:30am ET | $70.61 | 380 | $26,831.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 23, 2026 1:45pm ET | $67.69 | 380 | $25,722.35 | $25,790.36 |
$-1,109.45 (-4.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
9.2d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$25,790.36
Net Profit/Loss:
+$15,790.36
Total Return:
+157.90%