Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-06 10:44:27

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
85.2 overbought
20d Trend
+19.9%
5d Trend
+9.7%
EMA20 Dist
+9.3%
ATR%
2.1%
Range Pos
98%
Bounce Ratio
62.6×
Green/Red 10d
9/1
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

21
Lifetime
Confidence: 75%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
7.6/35
Total Return
8.9/25
Win Rate
3.8/15
Profit Factor
1.1/15
Consistency
6.2/10
Raw Quality 27.5/100
× Confidence 0.75 = 20.8

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (75%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
7,481
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-02 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
89 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)

Market Closed (4 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$10,857.26
Current Value
$11,087.40
Period P&L
$230.13
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.09

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
6
Winners / Losers
3 / 3
Best Trade
+8.08%
Worst Trade
-5.15%
Avg Trade Return
+0.51%
Avg Hold Time
12.3d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$133,382.66
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$230.13
Net P&L (after fees)
$230.13
Gross Return
+2.12%
Net Return (after fees)
+2.12%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 PEP Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 89 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 6 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Victor Steep Curve had $10,857.26 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Dec 24, 2025 12:55pm ET $143.76 75 $10,781.63
🔴 SELL Jan 7, 2026 10:15am ET $137.80 75 $10,335.00 $10,410.27 $-446.62
(-4.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
13.9d held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 8, 2026 3:25pm ET $139.16 74 $10,297.84
🔴 SELL Jan 29, 2026 10:50am ET $150.40 74 $11,129.60 $11,242.03 +$831.76
(+8.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
20.8d held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 30, 2026 1:15pm ET $150.33 74 $11,124.05
🔴 SELL Feb 3, 2026 10:10am ET $162.39 74 $12,016.86 $12,134.84 +$892.81
(+8.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.9d held
4 🟢 BUY Feb 23, 2026 10:25am ET $166.85 72 $12,012.84
🔴 SELL Mar 6, 2026 9:30am ET $158.25 72 $11,394.00 $11,516.00 $-618.84
(-5.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
11d held
5 🟢 BUY Mar 17, 2026 11:15am ET $157.84 72 $11,364.12
🔴 SELL Mar 20, 2026 2:00pm ET $151.26 72 $10,890.72 $11,042.60 $-473.40
(-4.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.1d held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 1:15pm ET $157.08 70 $10,995.60
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 1:15pm ET $157.72 70 $11,040.40 $11,087.40 +$44.80
(+0.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,087.40
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,087.40
Total Return: +10.87%
Back to Victor Steep Curve