Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-06 09:59:55

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
50.5 neutral
20d Trend
+69.9%
5d Trend
-8.4%
EMA20 Dist
+0.9%
ATR%
11.0%
Range Pos
31%
Bounce Ratio
1.9×
Green/Red 10d
5/5
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

42
Lifetime
Confidence: 69%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
35.0/35
Total Return
14.3/25
Win Rate
2.2/15
Profit Factor
1.5/15
Consistency
7.3/10
Raw Quality 60.2/100
× Confidence 0.69 = 41.6

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (69%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
8,916
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-02 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
86 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)

Market Closed (4 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$13,271.41
Current Value
$15,148.97
Period P&L
$1,877.55
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.20

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
14
Winners / Losers
6 / 8
Best Trade
+12.24%
Worst Trade
-6.89%
Avg Trade Return
+1.59%
Avg Hold Time
2.5d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$426,764.91
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,877.55
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,877.55
Gross Return
+14.15%
Net Return (after fees)
+14.15%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 SOXL Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 86 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 14 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Victor Steep Curve had $13,271.41 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Dec 19, 2025 10:30am ET $42.32 299 $12,652.19
🔴 SELL Jan 2, 2026 9:30am ET $47.50 299 $14,201.33 $14,203.12 +$1,549.15
(+12.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
14d held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 5, 2026 10:45am ET $49.23 288 $14,176.80
🔴 SELL Jan 6, 2026 9:30am ET $53.49 288 $15,405.12 $15,431.44 +$1,228.32
(+8.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
22.8h held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 7, 2026 10:30am ET $51.60 299 $15,426.91
🔴 SELL Jan 8, 2026 9:30am ET $49.42 299 $14,775.09 $14,779.62 $-651.82
(-4.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23h held
4 🟢 BUY Jan 9, 2026 10:30am ET $54.50 271 $14,768.31
🔴 SELL Jan 15, 2026 9:30am ET $59.78 271 $16,199.84 $16,211.15 +$1,431.53
(+9.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
6d held
5 🟢 BUY Jan 16, 2026 10:50am ET $60.98 265 $16,159.70
🔴 SELL Jan 20, 2026 9:30am ET $57.43 265 $15,217.63 $15,269.07 $-942.08
(-5.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.9d held
6 🟢 BUY Jan 21, 2026 10:55am ET $63.50 240 $15,240.00
🔴 SELL Jan 23, 2026 9:30am ET $60.83 240 $14,598.00 $14,627.07 $-642.00
(-4.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held
7 🟢 BUY Jan 26, 2026 10:30am ET $60.95 239 $14,567.03
🔴 SELL Jan 27, 2026 10:15am ET $65.93 239 $15,756.08 $15,816.12 +$1,189.05
(+8.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.8h held
8 🟢 BUY Jan 29, 2026 9:35am ET $68.48 230 $15,750.40
🔴 SELL Jan 30, 2026 9:30am ET $63.77 230 $14,665.95 $14,731.67 $-1,084.45
(-6.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.9h held
9 🟢 BUY Feb 2, 2026 3:00pm ET $65.36 225 $14,704.88
🔴 SELL Feb 3, 2026 9:55am ET $61.43 225 $13,821.57 $13,848.37 $-883.31
(-6.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18.9h held
10 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 9:30am ET $51.49 268 $13,799.32
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2026 9:30am ET $57.49 268 $15,408.66 $15,457.71 +$1,609.34
(+11.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
11 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 9:30am ET $60.40 255 $15,402.00
🔴 SELL Feb 11, 2026 9:30am ET $67.72 255 $17,268.04 $17,323.74 +$1,866.04
(+12.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
12 🟢 BUY Feb 12, 2026 9:30am ET $70.00 247 $17,290.99
🔴 SELL Feb 12, 2026 11:05am ET $66.65 247 $16,462.55 $16,495.31 $-828.44
(-4.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.6h held
13 🟢 BUY Feb 23, 2026 9:30am ET $66.63 247 $16,457.61
🔴 SELL Feb 23, 2026 11:05am ET $63.81 247 $15,761.07 $15,798.77 $-696.54
(-4.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.6h held
14 🟢 BUY Feb 24, 2026 3:30pm ET $69.03 228 $15,738.84
🔴 SELL Feb 26, 2026 9:55am ET $66.18 228 $15,089.04 $15,148.97 $-649.80
(-4.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $15,148.97
Net Profit/Loss: +$5,148.97
Total Return: +51.49%
Back to Victor Steep Curve