AVGO Victor Steep Curve's Analysis
2024-01-02 10:10:00+00 to 2026-05-05 19:55:00+00 • 29 trades executed
+107.88%
2 Years Return
$20,788.33
Current Value
55%
Win Rate
$10,000.00
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
32.7 neutral
20d Trend
-13.0%
5d Trend
-6.9%
EMA20 Dist
-6.4%
ATR%
4.0%
Range Pos
10%
Bounce Ratio
0.5×
Green/Red 10d
7/3
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.
Strategy Score Scored May 5, 2026
51
Lifetime
Confidence: 72%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
35.0/35
Total Return
16.9/25
Win Rate
5.7/15
Profit Factor
4.6/15
Consistency
8.3/10
Raw Quality
70.5/100
× Confidence 0.72
= 50.9
30-Day Momentum
Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (72%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
79,066
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-05-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
535 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)
Market Closed (21 days)
2024-05-27 — Memorial Day, 2024-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2024-07-04 — Independence Day, 2024-09-02 — Labor Day, 2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary
Starting Capital
$10,000.00
Current Value
$20,788.33
Total P&L
$10,788.32
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.39
Trade Statistics
Total Trades
29
Winners / Losers
16 /
13
Best Trade
+20.58%
Worst Trade
-7.93%
Avg Trade Return
+2.82%
Avg Hold Time
8.4d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,005,910.14
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$10,788.32
Net P&L (after fees)
$10,788.32
Gross Return
+107.88%
Net Return (after fees)
+107.88%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 AVGO Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 535 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Complete Trade History
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Victor Steep Curve had $10,000.00 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 8, 2025 3:50pm ET | $156.67 | 63 | $9,870.21 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 9, 2025 1:20pm ET | $172.21 | 63 | $10,849.23 | $10,979.02 |
+$979.02 (+9.9%) |
🎯 +5% Target
21.5h held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 11, 2025 3:50pm ET | $181.53 | 60 | $10,891.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 16, 2025 9:30am ET | $173.21 | 60 | $10,392.60 | $10,479.82 |
$-499.20 (-4.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.7d held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 17, 2025 2:20pm ET | $172.52 | 60 | $10,351.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 21, 2025 9:55am ET | $165.26 | 60 | $9,915.30 | $10,043.92 |
$-435.90 (-4.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8d held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 22, 2025 3:50pm ET | $169.03 | 59 | $9,972.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 24, 2025 9:55am ET | $183.06 | 59 | $10,800.27 | $10,871.72 |
+$827.80 (+8.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.8d held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 25, 2025 12:30pm ET | $190.70 | 57 | $10,869.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 8, 2025 9:40am ET | $206.39 | 57 | $11,764.23 | $11,766.05 |
+$894.33 (+8.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
12.9d held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | May 20, 2025 9:30am ET | $228.95 | 51 | $11,676.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 2, 2025 9:35am ET | $248.56 | 51 | $12,676.56 | $12,766.16 |
+$1,000.11 (+8.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
13d held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 24, 2025 9:30am ET | $265.32 | 48 | $12,735.13 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 15, 2025 9:30am ET | $280.10 | 48 | $13,444.80 | $13,475.83 |
+$709.67 (+5.6%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 16, 2025 1:30pm ET | $279.65 | 48 | $13,423.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 30, 2025 2:15pm ET | $302.07 | 48 | $14,499.36 | $14,551.99 |
+$1,076.16 (+8.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
14d held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 1, 2025 2:20pm ET | $288.51 | 50 | $14,425.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 12, 2025 2:20pm ET | $311.81 | 50 | $15,590.50 | $15,717.24 |
+$1,165.25 (+8.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
11d held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 13, 2025 3:50pm ET | $308.40 | 50 | $15,420.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 19, 2025 12:40pm ET | $295.07 | 50 | $14,753.45 | $15,050.69 |
$-666.56 (-4.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5.9d held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 21, 2025 3:55pm ET | $289.57 | 51 | $14,768.07 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 5, 2025 9:30am ET | $349.16 | 51 | $17,807.12 | $18,089.74 |
+$3,039.05 (+20.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
14.7d held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 8, 2025 9:30am ET | $348.27 | 51 | $17,761.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 24, 2025 9:45am ET | $333.98 | 51 | $17,032.73 | $17,360.77 |
$-728.97 (-4.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
16d held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 25, 2025 3:40pm ET | $333.71 | 52 | $17,352.66 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 16, 2025 10:20am ET | $361.12 | 52 | $18,778.24 | $18,786.35 |
+$1,425.58 (+8.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
20.8d held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 17, 2025 12:00pm ET | $347.13 | 54 | $18,745.02 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 29, 2025 9:30am ET | $375.18 | 54 | $20,259.73 | $20,301.06 |
+$1,514.71 (+8.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
11.9d held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 3, 2025 3:55pm ET | $362.55 | 55 | $19,940.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 7, 2025 9:35am ET | $344.53 | 55 | $18,949.15 | $19,309.96 |
$-991.10 (-5.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.7d held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 10, 2025 2:40pm ET | $359.14 | 53 | $19,034.42 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 13, 2025 9:35am ET | $344.21 | 53 | $18,243.36 | $18,518.89 |
$-791.06 (-4.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 14, 2025 1:45pm ET | $341.64 | 54 | $18,448.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 20, 2025 9:30am ET | $369.70 | 54 | $19,963.80 | $20,034.13 |
+$1,515.24 (+8.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5.8d held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 21, 2025 9:30am ET | $346.14 | 57 | $19,729.98 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 24, 2025 11:05am ET | $374.05 | 57 | $21,320.85 | $21,625.00 |
+$1,590.87 (+8.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.1d held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 25, 2025 12:15pm ET | $379.47 | 56 | $21,250.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 10, 2025 2:50pm ET | $410.21 | 56 | $22,971.72 | $23,346.40 |
+$1,721.40 (+8.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
15.1d held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 11, 2025 3:50pm ET | $406.84 | 57 | $23,189.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 12, 2025 9:30am ET | $374.57 | 57 | $21,350.21 | $21,506.73 |
$-1,839.68 (-7.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
17.7h held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 15, 2025 3:55pm ET | $339.85 | 63 | $21,410.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 17, 2025 10:40am ET | $325.95 | 63 | $20,534.85 | $20,631.03 |
$-875.70 (-4.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8d held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 18, 2025 1:05pm ET | $329.79 | 62 | $20,446.67 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $356.40 | 62 | $22,096.49 | $22,280.85 |
+$1,649.82 (+8.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
14.9d held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 5, 2026 9:45am ET | $338.06 | 65 | $21,973.58 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 21, 2026 12:40pm ET | $324.50 | 65 | $21,092.50 | $21,399.77 |
$-881.08 (-4.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
16.1d held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 22, 2026 3:50pm ET | $325.28 | 65 | $21,143.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 3, 2026 12:25pm ET | $312.22 | 65 | $20,294.30 | $20,550.87 |
$-848.90 (-4.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
11.9d held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $315.23 | 65 | $20,489.94 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 9:40am ET | $340.92 | 65 | $22,159.80 | $22,220.73 |
+$1,669.86 (+8.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4d held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 10, 2026 3:55pm ET | $340.42 | 65 | $22,127.62 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 13, 2026 10:45am ET | $325.58 | 65 | $21,163.02 | $21,256.13 |
$-964.60 (-4.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $335.49 | 63 | $21,135.87 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $317.05 | 63 | $19,974.15 | $20,094.41 |
$-1,161.72 (-5.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 25, 2026 9:30am ET | $333.83 | 60 | $20,029.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 26, 2026 9:40am ET | $318.73 | 60 | $19,123.50 | $19,188.11 |
$-906.30 (-4.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $305.60 | 62 | $18,947.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 7, 2026 12:40pm ET | $331.41 | 62 | $20,547.42 | $20,788.33 |
+$1,600.22 (+8.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5.1d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$20,788.33
Net Profit/Loss:
+$10,788.33
Total Return:
+107.88%