Compendium › Victor Steep Curve › MDT
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
MDT
Alpaca Tradeable

Victor Steep Curve's Analysis

2024-01-02 13:00:00+00 to 2026-05-05 19:55:00+00 • 16 trades executed

+8.62%
2 Years Return
$10,861.71
Current Value
50%
Win Rate
$10,000.00
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-06 04:41:18

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
62.3 neutral
20d Trend
+5.9%
5d Trend
+0.9%
EMA20 Dist
+1.9%
ATR%
1.9%
Range Pos
83%
Bounce Ratio
2.8×
Green/Red 10d
6/4
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 5, 2026

14
Lifetime
Confidence: 58%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
6.0/35
Total Return
8.2/25
Win Rate
3.8/15
Profit Factor
1.0/15
Consistency
5.5/10
Raw Quality 24.4/100
× Confidence 0.58 = 14.2

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (58%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
43,447
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-05-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
514 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)

Market Closed (21 days)

2024-05-27 — Memorial Day, 2024-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2024-07-04 — Independence Day, 2024-09-02 — Labor Day, 2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$10,000.00
Current Value
$10,861.71
Total P&L
$861.71
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.13

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
16
Winners / Losers
8 / 8
Best Trade
+12.79%
Worst Trade
-4.17%
Avg Trade Return
+0.63%
Avg Hold Time
16.6d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$360,980.04
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$861.71
Net P&L (after fees)
$861.71
Gross Return
+8.62%
Net Return (after fees)
+8.62%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MDT Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 514 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Victor Steep Curve had $10,000.00 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2025 2:50pm ET $82.41 121 $9,971.61 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2025 2:50pm ET $84.91 121 $10,274.11 $10,302.50 +$302.50
(+3.0%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2025 3:40pm ET $84.01 122 $10,249.22 — — —
🔴 SELL May 21, 2025 3:40pm ET $84.42 122 $10,299.40 $10,352.68 +$50.18
(+0.5%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
3 🟢 BUY May 23, 2025 1:10pm ET $80.37 128 $10,286.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2025 10:25am ET $86.86 128 $11,117.44 $11,183.40 +$830.72
(+8.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
12.9d held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 24, 2025 12:00pm ET $85.75 130 $11,147.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 15, 2025 12:00pm ET $89.02 130 $11,572.60 $11,608.50 +$425.10
(+3.8%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 16, 2025 2:00pm ET $89.65 129 $11,564.85 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 6, 2025 2:00pm ET $89.19 129 $11,504.87 $11,548.51 $-59.99
(-0.5%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
6 🟢 BUY Aug 7, 2025 2:00pm ET $91.67 125 $11,458.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 28, 2025 2:00pm ET $92.01 125 $11,501.25 $11,591.01 +$42.50
(+0.4%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
7 🟢 BUY Aug 29, 2025 2:20pm ET $92.62 125 $11,577.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 19, 2025 2:20pm ET $95.42 125 $11,927.50 $11,941.01 +$350.00
(+3.0%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
8 🟢 BUY Sep 24, 2025 3:45pm ET $95.91 124 $11,892.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 1, 2025 10:45am ET $91.91 124 $11,396.84 $11,445.01 $-496.00
(-4.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
6.8d held
9 🟢 BUY Oct 2, 2025 11:25am ET $95.08 120 $11,409.67 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 23, 2025 11:25am ET $93.65 120 $11,237.40 $11,272.74 $-172.27
(-1.5%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
10 🟢 BUY Oct 24, 2025 3:00pm ET $93.83 120 $11,259.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 3, 2025 9:30am ET $89.99 120 $10,799.35 $10,812.49 $-460.25
(-4.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
9.8d held
11 🟢 BUY Nov 4, 2025 3:50pm ET $90.40 119 $10,757.01 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 18, 2025 9:30am ET $101.96 119 $12,133.24 $12,188.73 +$1,376.24
(+12.8%) 		🎯 +5% Target
13.7d held
12 🟢 BUY Nov 19, 2025 9:35am ET $102.20 119 $12,161.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 10, 2025 9:35am ET $99.81 119 $11,877.39 $11,904.32 $-284.41
(-2.3%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
13 🟢 BUY Dec 11, 2025 3:35pm ET $99.89 119 $11,886.91 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 2, 2026 9:30am ET $95.81 119 $11,401.39 $11,418.80 $-485.52
(-4.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
21.7d held
14 🟢 BUY Jan 5, 2026 3:50pm ET $97.49 117 $11,406.33 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 26, 2026 3:50pm ET $100.76 117 $11,788.92 $11,801.39 +$382.59
(+3.4%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
15 🟢 BUY Feb 24, 2026 1:00pm ET $97.60 120 $11,712.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 5, 2026 10:15am ET $93.67 120 $11,239.80 $11,329.19 $-472.20
(-4.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
8.9d held
16 🟢 BUY Mar 9, 2026 3:45pm ET $91.26 124 $11,316.86 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 12, 2026 12:10pm ET $87.50 124 $10,849.38 $10,861.71 $-467.48
(-4.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,861.71
Net Profit/Loss: +$861.71
Total Return: +8.62%
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