Compendium › Victor Steep Curve › PEP
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
PEP
Alpaca Tradeable

Victor Steep Curve's Analysis

2024-01-02 11:55:00+00 to 2026-05-06 13:45:00+00 • 20 trades executed

+10.87%
2 Years Return
$11,087.40
Current Value
50%
Win Rate
$10,000.00
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-06 09:50:47

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
85.2 overbought
20d Trend
+19.9%
5d Trend
+9.7%
EMA20 Dist
+9.3%
ATR%
2.1%
Range Pos
98%
Bounce Ratio
62.6×
Green/Red 10d
9/1
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

21
Lifetime
Confidence: 75%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
7.6/35
Total Return
8.9/25
Win Rate
3.8/15
Profit Factor
1.1/15
Consistency
6.2/10
Raw Quality 27.5/100
× Confidence 0.75 = 20.8

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (75%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
50,901
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-05-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
525 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)

Market Closed (21 days)

2024-05-27 — Memorial Day, 2024-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2024-07-04 — Independence Day, 2024-09-02 — Labor Day, 2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$10,000.00
Current Value
$11,087.40
Total P&L
$1,087.39
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.13

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
20
Winners / Losers
10 / 10
Best Trade
+8.08%
Worst Trade
-5.15%
Avg Trade Return
+0.64%
Avg Hold Time
14.7d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$421,699.82
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,087.39
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,087.39
Gross Return
+10.87%
Net Return (after fees)
+10.87%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 PEP Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 525 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Victor Steep Curve had $10,000.00 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2025 9:30am ET $144.30 69 $9,956.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2025 10:10am ET $138.22 69 $9,537.18 $9,580.43 $-419.57
(-4.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
16d held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 25, 2025 3:45pm ET $133.38 71 $9,469.98 — — —
🔴 SELL May 14, 2025 1:15pm ET $128.03 71 $9,089.78 $9,200.23 $-380.20
(-4.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
18.9d held
3 🟢 BUY May 20, 2025 3:55pm ET $131.84 69 $9,096.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 10, 2025 3:55pm ET $131.83 69 $9,096.27 $9,199.54 $-0.69
(-0.0%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 24, 2025 9:30am ET $130.27 70 $9,118.55 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 15, 2025 9:30am ET $134.93 70 $9,445.10 $9,526.09 +$326.55
(+3.6%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 16, 2025 9:30am ET $134.48 70 $9,413.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 17, 2025 2:35pm ET $145.27 70 $10,168.92 $10,281.41 +$755.32
(+8.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1.2d held
6 🟢 BUY Jul 18, 2025 3:55pm ET $143.27 71 $10,172.17 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 8, 2025 3:55pm ET $145.22 71 $10,310.62 $10,419.86 +$138.45
(+1.4%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
7 🟢 BUY Aug 11, 2025 3:55pm ET $144.89 71 $10,287.19 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 2, 2025 9:30am ET $155.19 71 $11,018.44 $11,151.11 +$731.25
(+7.1%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
21.7d held
8 🟢 BUY Sep 3, 2025 3:35pm ET $147.99 75 $11,098.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 8, 2025 1:25pm ET $141.90 75 $10,642.50 $10,694.73 $-456.38
(-4.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
4.9d held
9 🟢 BUY Sep 9, 2025 3:45pm ET $143.07 74 $10,587.18 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 30, 2025 3:45pm ET $140.51 74 $10,397.73 $10,505.29 $-189.45
(-1.8%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
10 🟢 BUY Oct 1, 2025 3:50pm ET $143.21 73 $10,454.33 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 21, 2025 9:30am ET $154.68 73 $11,291.64 $11,342.60 +$837.31
(+8.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
19.7d held
11 🟢 BUY Oct 22, 2025 9:30am ET $153.28 73 $11,189.44 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 29, 2025 9:30am ET $146.89 73 $10,722.61 $10,875.76 $-466.84
(-4.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
7d held
12 🟢 BUY Oct 31, 2025 3:30pm ET $146.39 74 $10,832.86 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 21, 2025 2:30pm ET $146.80 74 $10,862.83 $10,905.73 +$29.97
(+0.3%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
13 🟢 BUY Nov 24, 2025 3:55pm ET $145.50 74 $10,767.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 15, 2025 3:55pm ET $151.21 74 $11,189.54 $11,328.27 +$422.54
(+3.9%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
14 🟢 BUY Dec 17, 2025 2:45pm ET $150.47 75 $11,285.25 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 23, 2025 9:40am ET $144.19 75 $10,813.88 $10,856.90 $-471.38
(-4.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
5.8d held
15 🟢 BUY Dec 24, 2025 12:55pm ET $143.76 75 $10,781.63 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 7, 2026 10:15am ET $137.80 75 $10,335.00 $10,410.27 $-446.62
(-4.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
13.9d held
16 🟢 BUY Jan 8, 2026 3:25pm ET $139.16 74 $10,297.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 29, 2026 10:50am ET $150.40 74 $11,129.60 $11,242.03 +$831.76
(+8.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
20.8d held
17 🟢 BUY Jan 30, 2026 1:15pm ET $150.33 74 $11,124.05 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 3, 2026 10:10am ET $162.39 74 $12,016.86 $12,134.84 +$892.81
(+8.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
3.9d held
18 🟢 BUY Feb 23, 2026 10:25am ET $166.85 72 $12,012.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 6, 2026 9:30am ET $158.25 72 $11,394.00 $11,516.00 $-618.84
(-5.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
11d held
19 🟢 BUY Mar 17, 2026 11:15am ET $157.84 72 $11,364.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 20, 2026 2:00pm ET $151.26 72 $10,890.72 $11,042.60 $-473.40
(-4.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3.1d held
20 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 1:15pm ET $157.08 70 $10,995.60 — — —
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 1:15pm ET $157.72 70 $11,040.40 $11,087.40 +$44.80
(+0.4%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,087.40
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,087.40
Total Return: +10.87%
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