Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 10:03:37

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
37.4 neutral
20d Trend
-12.8%
5d Trend
-1.7%
EMA20 Dist
-6.9%
ATR%
5.6%
Range Pos
6%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

43
Lifetime
Confidence: 57%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
35.0/35
Total Return
19.1/25
Win Rate
7.1/15
Profit Factor
8.5/15
Consistency
6.5/10
Raw Quality 76.2/100
× Confidence 0.57 = 43.3

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (57%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Year)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
39,103
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-05-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
261 days
Data Gaps
1 day with gaps

Data Gap Notice

The following dates had fewer candles than expected. This could be due to early market closes, API rate limits during data collection, or low volume periods. Simulation results may be slightly affected.

2025-11-28 (no data)

Market Closed (10 days)

2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Year)

Period Start Capital
$15,533.01
Current Value
$30,038.72
Period P&L
$14,505.73
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.56

Trade Statistics (Last Year)

Trades in Period
18
Winners / Losers
11 / 7
Best Trade
+14.66%
Worst Trade
-5.86%
Avg Trade Return
+3.85%
Avg Hold Time
4.3d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$865,174.17
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$14,505.73
Net P&L (after fees)
$14,505.73
Gross Return
+93.39%
Net Return (after fees)
+93.39%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MU Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 261 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Year - 18 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Victor Trend Rider had $15,533.01 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 2, 2025 9:35am ET $81.24 195 $15,842.40
🔴 SELL May 12, 2025 9:30am ET $93.15 195 $18,164.25 $18,185.00 +$2,321.85
(+14.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
10d held
2 🟢 BUY May 13, 2025 9:45am ET $97.10 187 $18,157.70
🔴 SELL May 23, 2025 12:30pm ET $93.20 187 $17,428.40 $17,455.70 $-729.30
(-4.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
10.1d held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2025 9:40am ET $108.28 161 $17,433.08
🔴 SELL Jun 16, 2025 9:30am ET $120.03 161 $19,324.03 $19,346.65 +$1,890.95
(+10.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
11d held
4 🟢 BUY Aug 8, 2025 11:05am ET $117.40 164 $19,252.78
🔴 SELL Aug 12, 2025 11:20am ET $126.81 164 $20,796.84 $20,890.71 +$1,544.06
(+8.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
4d held
5 🟢 BUY Sep 5, 2025 9:30am ET $128.75 162 $20,857.50
🔴 SELL Sep 10, 2025 9:30am ET $140.39 162 $22,742.39 $22,775.59 +$1,884.89
(+9.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
5d held
6 🟢 BUY Sep 11, 2025 9:30am ET $153.17 148 $22,669.87
🔴 SELL Sep 18, 2025 9:30am ET $165.85 148 $24,545.80 $24,651.52 +$1,875.93
(+8.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
7d held
7 🟢 BUY Sep 29, 2025 9:45am ET $164.62 149 $24,528.38
🔴 SELL Oct 1, 2025 11:50am ET $177.92 149 $26,510.08 $26,633.22 +$1,981.70
(+8.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.1d held
8 🟢 BUY Oct 6, 2025 9:35am ET $200.39 132 $26,451.48
🔴 SELL Oct 6, 2025 10:30am ET $191.57 132 $25,286.58 $25,468.32 $-1,164.90
(-4.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
55m held
9 🟢 BUY Oct 13, 2025 9:30am ET $191.37 133 $25,452.21
🔴 SELL Oct 20, 2025 9:30am ET $207.14 133 $27,549.53 $27,565.64 +$2,097.32
(+8.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
7d held
10 🟢 BUY Nov 3, 2025 9:40am ET $235.13 117 $27,510.21
🔴 SELL Nov 4, 2025 9:30am ET $221.35 117 $25,897.95 $25,953.38 $-1,612.26
(-5.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.8h held
11 🟢 BUY Nov 10, 2025 9:30am ET $253.46 102 $25,852.92
🔴 SELL Nov 11, 2025 9:30am ET $242.62 102 $24,747.24 $24,847.70 $-1,105.68
(-4.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
12 🟢 BUY Nov 14, 2025 9:35am ET $249.95 99 $24,745.36
🔴 SELL Nov 17, 2025 10:35am ET $239.49 99 $23,709.51 $23,811.85 $-1,035.85
(-4.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
13 🟢 BUY Nov 21, 2025 9:35am ET $211.37 112 $23,672.88
🔴 SELL Nov 24, 2025 12:45pm ET $228.55 112 $25,597.60 $25,736.57 +$1,924.72
(+8.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.1d held
14 🟢 BUY Dec 18, 2025 9:30am ET $260.51 98 $25,529.98
🔴 SELL Dec 18, 2025 10:10am ET $249.48 98 $24,449.04 $24,655.63 $-1,080.94
(-4.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
40m held
15 🟢 BUY Jan 2, 2026 9:30am ET $302.59 81 $24,509.79
🔴 SELL Jan 6, 2026 9:45am ET $329.24 81 $26,668.28 $26,814.12 +$2,158.49
(+8.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
4d held
16 🟢 BUY Jan 15, 2026 9:40am ET $345.95 77 $26,637.77
🔴 SELL Jan 20, 2026 9:35am ET $373.94 77 $28,793.38 $28,969.74 +$2,155.62
(+8.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
5d held
17 🟢 BUY Jan 28, 2026 9:35am ET $429.22 67 $28,757.74
🔴 SELL Jan 30, 2026 3:15pm ET $410.33 67 $27,492.11 $27,704.11 $-1,265.63
(-4.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.2d held
18 🟢 BUY Feb 11, 2026 9:30am ET $400.54 69 $27,637.26
🔴 SELL Feb 12, 2026 9:35am ET $434.38 69 $29,971.88 $30,038.72 +$2,334.61
(+8.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $30,038.72
Net Profit/Loss: +$20,038.72
Total Return: +200.39%
Back to Victor Trend Rider