Compendium › Victor Trend Rider › ARKK
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
ARKK
Alpaca Tradeable

Victor Trend Rider's Analysis

2024-01-02 09:00:00+00 to 2026-05-06 14:00:00+00 • 7 trades executed

+60.16%
2 Years Return
$16,015.60
Current Value
86%
Win Rate
$10,000.00
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 10:05:32

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
19.1 oversold
20d Trend
-20.9%
5d Trend
-12.4%
EMA20 Dist
-13.6%
ATR%
4.1%
Range Pos
3%
Bounce Ratio
0.5×
Green/Red 10d
2/8
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored Mar 6, 2026

0
Lifetime
Confidence: 0%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
84.0/35
Total Return
45.6/25
Win Rate
95.8/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
97.1/10
Raw Quality 0.0/100
× Confidence 0.00 = 0.0

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (0%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
60,750
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-05-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
533 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)

Market Closed (21 days)

2024-05-27 — Memorial Day, 2024-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2024-07-04 — Independence Day, 2024-09-02 — Labor Day, 2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$10,000.00
Current Value
$16,015.60
Total P&L
$6,015.60
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
1.43

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
7
Winners / Losers
6 / 1
Best Trade
+10.96%
Worst Trade
-4.71%
Avg Trade Return
+7.10%
Avg Hold Time
7.5d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$177,914.16
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$6,015.60
Net P&L (after fees)
$6,015.60
Gross Return
+60.16%
Net Return (after fees)
+60.16%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 ARKK Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 533 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Victor Trend Rider had $10,000.00 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 5, 2024 9:45am ET $38.76 257 $9,961.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 13, 2024 10:00am ET $41.93 257 $10,776.01 $10,814.69 +$814.69
(+8.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
8d held
2 🟢 BUY Nov 6, 2024 9:35am ET $51.08 211 $10,777.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 11, 2024 9:30am ET $56.54 211 $11,929.94 $11,966.75 +$1,152.06
(+10.7%) 		🎯 +5% Target
5d held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 15, 2025 10:05am ET $59.17 202 $11,951.33 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 30, 2025 2:45pm ET $63.91 202 $12,909.82 $12,925.24 +$958.49
(+8.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
15.2d held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2025 10:10am ET $43.74 295 $12,903.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2025 10:20am ET $41.68 295 $12,295.60 $12,317.54 $-607.70
(-4.7%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
10m held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2025 1:15pm ET $42.95 286 $12,283.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2025 1:55pm ET $46.53 286 $13,307.55 $13,341.39 +$1,023.85
(+8.3%) 		🎯 +5% Target
40m held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2025 9:35am ET $48.79 273 $13,319.67 — — —
🔴 SELL May 12, 2025 9:30am ET $54.14 273 $14,779.24 $14,800.96 +$1,459.57
(+11.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
19d held
7 🟢 BUY Jun 6, 2025 9:30am ET $58.54 252 $14,752.08 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 11, 2025 9:30am ET $63.36 252 $15,966.72 $16,015.60 +$1,214.64
(+8.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
5d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $16,015.60
Net Profit/Loss: +$6,015.60
Total Return: +60.16%
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