Compendium › Victor Trend Rider › MU
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
MU
Alpaca Tradeable

Victor Trend Rider's Analysis

2024-01-02 09:10:00+00 to 2026-05-06 14:00:00+00 • 34 trades executed

+167.84%
2 Years Return
$30,038.72
Current Value
58%
Win Rate
$11,215.23
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 10:03:38

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
37.4 neutral
20d Trend
-12.8%
5d Trend
-1.7%
EMA20 Dist
-6.9%
ATR%
5.6%
Range Pos
6%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

43
Lifetime
Confidence: 57%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
35.0/35
Total Return
19.1/25
Win Rate
7.1/15
Profit Factor
8.5/15
Consistency
6.5/10
Raw Quality 76.2/100
× Confidence 0.57 = 43.3

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (57%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
83,047
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-05-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
520 days
Data Gaps
2 days with gaps

Data Gap Notice

The following dates had fewer candles than expected. This could be due to early market closes, API rate limits during data collection, or low volume periods. Simulation results may be slightly affected.

2024-11-29 (no data), 2025-11-28 (no data)

Market Closed (21 days)

2024-05-27 — Memorial Day, 2024-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2024-07-04 — Independence Day, 2024-09-02 — Labor Day, 2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$11,215.23
Current Value
$30,038.72
Total P&L
$18,823.51
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.47

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
31
Winners / Losers
18 / 13
Best Trade
+19.36%
Worst Trade
-7.02%
Avg Trade Return
+3.50%
Avg Hold Time
4.3d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,201,768.89
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$18,823.51
Net P&L (after fees)
$18,823.51
Gross Return
+167.84%
Net Return (after fees)
+167.84%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MU Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 520 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Victor Trend Rider had $11,215.23 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 6, 2024 9:50am ET $120.53 93 $11,209.29 — — —
🔴 SELL May 20, 2024 10:05am ET $130.62 93 $12,147.20 $12,153.13 +$937.91
(+8.4%) 		🎯 +5% Target
14d held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 18, 2024 9:40am ET $155.90 77 $12,004.38 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 20, 2024 10:15am ET $148.42 77 $11,428.21 $11,576.96 $-576.17
(-4.8%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
3 🟢 BUY Sep 23, 2024 9:30am ET $93.92 123 $11,552.16 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 26, 2024 9:30am ET $112.11 123 $13,789.19 $13,813.99 +$2,237.03
(+19.4%) 		🎯 +5% Target
3d held
4 🟢 BUY Nov 6, 2024 9:40am ET $111.37 124 $13,809.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 12, 2024 9:30am ET $103.56 124 $12,840.82 $12,844.93 $-969.06
(-7.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
6d held
5 🟢 BUY Nov 21, 2024 10:05am ET $103.10 124 $12,784.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 27, 2024 9:30am ET $98.03 124 $12,155.37 $12,215.90 $-629.03
(-4.9%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
6d held
6 🟢 BUY Dec 16, 2024 9:30am ET $108.77 112 $12,182.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 18, 2024 10:35am ET $103.86 112 $11,632.32 $11,665.98 $-549.92
(-4.5%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
7 🟢 BUY Jan 6, 2025 9:30am ET $98.16 118 $11,582.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 7, 2025 11:20am ET $106.05 118 $12,513.31 $12,596.41 +$930.43
(+8.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held
8 🟢 BUY Jan 15, 2025 9:40am ET $101.09 124 $12,535.16 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 21, 2025 12:00pm ET $109.18 124 $13,538.32 $13,599.57 +$1,003.16
(+8.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
6.1d held
9 🟢 BUY Feb 14, 2025 9:35am ET $100.10 135 $13,513.54 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 24, 2025 3:25pm ET $95.96 135 $12,954.60 $13,040.63 $-558.94
(-4.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
10.2d held
10 🟢 BUY Mar 12, 2025 9:30am ET $94.76 137 $12,982.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 17, 2025 9:30am ET $102.63 137 $14,059.63 $14,118.14 +$1,077.51
(+8.3%) 		🎯 +5% Target
5d held
11 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2025 10:10am ET $70.51 200 $14,102.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2025 10:20am ET $66.57 200 $13,314.00 $13,330.14 $-788.00
(-5.6%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
10m held
12 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2025 1:15pm ET $67.51 197 $13,299.47 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2025 1:50pm ET $73.10 197 $14,400.70 $14,431.37 +$1,101.23
(+8.3%) 		🎯 +5% Target
35m held
13 🟢 BUY Apr 22, 2025 10:40am ET $69.98 206 $14,415.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2025 9:30am ET $76.93 206 $15,847.66 $15,863.15 +$1,431.78
(+9.9%) 		🎯 +5% Target
2d held
14 🟢 BUY May 2, 2025 9:35am ET $81.24 195 $15,842.40 — — —
🔴 SELL May 12, 2025 9:30am ET $93.15 195 $18,164.25 $18,185.00 +$2,321.85
(+14.7%) 		🎯 +5% Target
10d held
15 🟢 BUY May 13, 2025 9:45am ET $97.10 187 $18,157.70 — — —
🔴 SELL May 23, 2025 12:30pm ET $93.20 187 $17,428.40 $17,455.70 $-729.30
(-4.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
10.1d held
16 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2025 9:40am ET $108.28 161 $17,433.08 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 16, 2025 9:30am ET $120.03 161 $19,324.03 $19,346.65 +$1,890.95
(+10.8%) 		🎯 +5% Target
11d held
17 🟢 BUY Aug 8, 2025 11:05am ET $117.40 164 $19,252.78 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 12, 2025 11:20am ET $126.81 164 $20,796.84 $20,890.71 +$1,544.06
(+8.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
4d held
18 🟢 BUY Sep 5, 2025 9:30am ET $128.75 162 $20,857.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 10, 2025 9:30am ET $140.39 162 $22,742.39 $22,775.59 +$1,884.89
(+9.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
5d held
19 🟢 BUY Sep 11, 2025 9:30am ET $153.17 148 $22,669.87 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 18, 2025 9:30am ET $165.85 148 $24,545.80 $24,651.52 +$1,875.93
(+8.3%) 		🎯 +5% Target
7d held
20 🟢 BUY Sep 29, 2025 9:45am ET $164.62 149 $24,528.38 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 1, 2025 11:50am ET $177.92 149 $26,510.08 $26,633.22 +$1,981.70
(+8.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
2.1d held
21 🟢 BUY Oct 6, 2025 9:35am ET $200.39 132 $26,451.48 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 6, 2025 10:30am ET $191.57 132 $25,286.58 $25,468.32 $-1,164.90
(-4.4%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
55m held
22 🟢 BUY Oct 13, 2025 9:30am ET $191.37 133 $25,452.21 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 20, 2025 9:30am ET $207.14 133 $27,549.53 $27,565.64 +$2,097.32
(+8.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
7d held
23 🟢 BUY Nov 3, 2025 9:40am ET $235.13 117 $27,510.21 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 4, 2025 9:30am ET $221.35 117 $25,897.95 $25,953.38 $-1,612.26
(-5.9%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
23.8h held
24 🟢 BUY Nov 10, 2025 9:30am ET $253.46 102 $25,852.92 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 11, 2025 9:30am ET $242.62 102 $24,747.24 $24,847.70 $-1,105.68
(-4.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
25 🟢 BUY Nov 14, 2025 9:35am ET $249.95 99 $24,745.36 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 17, 2025 10:35am ET $239.49 99 $23,709.51 $23,811.85 $-1,035.85
(-4.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
26 🟢 BUY Nov 21, 2025 9:35am ET $211.37 112 $23,672.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 24, 2025 12:45pm ET $228.55 112 $25,597.60 $25,736.57 +$1,924.72
(+8.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
3.1d held
27 🟢 BUY Dec 18, 2025 9:30am ET $260.51 98 $25,529.98 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 18, 2025 10:10am ET $249.48 98 $24,449.04 $24,655.63 $-1,080.94
(-4.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
40m held
28 🟢 BUY Jan 2, 2026 9:30am ET $302.59 81 $24,509.79 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 6, 2026 9:45am ET $329.24 81 $26,668.28 $26,814.12 +$2,158.49
(+8.8%) 		🎯 +5% Target
4d held
29 🟢 BUY Jan 15, 2026 9:40am ET $345.95 77 $26,637.77 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 20, 2026 9:35am ET $373.94 77 $28,793.38 $28,969.74 +$2,155.62
(+8.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
5d held
30 🟢 BUY Jan 28, 2026 9:35am ET $429.22 67 $28,757.74 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 30, 2026 3:15pm ET $410.33 67 $27,492.11 $27,704.11 $-1,265.63
(-4.4%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2.2d held
31 🟢 BUY Feb 11, 2026 9:30am ET $400.54 69 $27,637.26 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 12, 2026 9:35am ET $434.38 69 $29,971.88 $30,038.72 +$2,334.61
(+8.4%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $30,038.72
Net Profit/Loss: +$20,038.72
Total Return: +200.39%
Back to Victor Trend Rider