Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 10:05:30

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
31.4 neutral
20d Trend
-11.9%
5d Trend
-13.2%
EMA20 Dist
-11.3%
ATR%
5.7%
Range Pos
9%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored Apr 28, 2026

38
Lifetime
Confidence: 49%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
35.0/35
Total Return
17.2/25
Win Rate
8.7/15
Profit Factor
10.7/15
Consistency
6.7/10
Raw Quality 78.2/100
× Confidence 0.49 = 37.9

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (49%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
88,631
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-05-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
536 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)

Market Closed (21 days)

2024-05-27 — Memorial Day, 2024-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2024-07-04 — Independence Day, 2024-09-02 — Labor Day, 2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$10,373.60
Current Value
$21,515.85
Total P&L
$11,142.25
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.68

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
17
Winners / Losers
11 / 6
Best Trade
+15.47%
Worst Trade
-4.38%
Avg Trade Return
+4.65%
Avg Hold Time
4.4d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$498,667.89
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$11,142.25
Net P&L (after fees)
$11,142.25
Gross Return
+107.41%
Net Return (after fees)
+107.41%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 TQQQ Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 536 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Victor Trend Rider had $10,373.60 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 3, 2024 9:40am ET $28.23 365 $10,303.62
🔴 SELL May 15, 2024 9:30am ET $30.91 365 $11,281.75 $11,291.18 +$978.13
(+9.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
12d held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2024 9:30am ET $31.89 354 $11,288.18
🔴 SELL Jun 11, 2024 2:25pm ET $34.48 354 $12,206.95 $12,209.95 +$918.77
(+8.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
8.2d held
3 🟢 BUY Jul 31, 2024 9:45am ET $33.46 364 $12,177.62
🔴 SELL Aug 1, 2024 12:35pm ET $32.06 364 $11,668.02 $11,700.35 $-509.60
(-4.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
4 🟢 BUY Aug 5, 2024 9:35am ET $26.06 448 $11,674.88
🔴 SELL Aug 6, 2024 10:45am ET $28.17 448 $12,619.04 $12,644.51 +$944.16
(+8.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
5 🟢 BUY Aug 13, 2024 9:45am ET $30.86 409 $12,621.99
🔴 SELL Aug 15, 2024 9:45am ET $33.34 409 $13,636.06 $13,658.58 +$1,014.07
(+8.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
6 🟢 BUY Nov 6, 2024 9:30am ET $38.52 354 $13,634.31
🔴 SELL Nov 15, 2024 12:50pm ET $36.92 354 $13,069.68 $13,093.95 $-564.63
(-4.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
9.1d held
7 🟢 BUY Jan 3, 2025 9:35am ET $40.63 322 $13,082.86
🔴 SELL Jan 10, 2025 9:35am ET $38.85 322 $12,509.70 $12,520.79 $-573.16
(-4.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
7d held
8 🟢 BUY Jan 15, 2025 9:30am ET $39.73 315 $12,514.92
🔴 SELL Jan 22, 2025 9:30am ET $43.69 315 $13,762.35 $13,768.22 +$1,247.43
(+10.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
7d held
9 🟢 BUY Feb 28, 2025 3:55pm ET $37.47 367 $13,749.66
🔴 SELL Mar 3, 2025 2:50pm ET $35.94 367 $13,189.06 $13,207.63 $-560.59
(-4.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
10 🟢 BUY Mar 12, 2025 9:30am ET $31.16 423 $13,178.57
🔴 SELL Mar 12, 2025 11:00am ET $29.79 423 $12,602.23 $12,631.29 $-576.34
(-4.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.5h held
11 🟢 BUY Mar 14, 2025 9:30am ET $30.20 418 $12,623.60
🔴 SELL Mar 24, 2025 9:35am ET $32.67 418 $13,655.02 $13,662.71 +$1,031.42
(+8.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
10d held
12 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2025 9:50am ET $19.08 716 $13,657.70
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2025 10:10am ET $22.03 716 $15,770.62 $15,775.62 +$2,112.92
(+15.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
20m held
13 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2025 9:30am ET $19.61 804 $15,762.42
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2025 1:15pm ET $21.99 804 $17,675.94 $17,689.14 +$1,913.52
(+12.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.8h held
14 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2025 9:30am ET $24.77 714 $17,684.00
🔴 SELL Apr 25, 2025 1:05pm ET $26.79 714 $19,128.06 $19,133.21 +$1,444.07
(+8.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.1d held
15 🟢 BUY May 12, 2025 9:45am ET $32.39 590 $19,110.10
🔴 SELL May 14, 2025 9:30am ET $35.20 590 $20,769.48 $20,792.58 +$1,659.38
(+8.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
16 🟢 BUY Nov 10, 2025 9:30am ET $55.43 375 $20,786.25
🔴 SELL Nov 13, 2025 10:50am ET $53.07 375 $19,899.38 $19,905.71 $-886.88
(-4.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.1d held
17 🟢 BUY Jan 21, 2026 2:45pm ET $53.59 371 $19,881.89
🔴 SELL Jan 28, 2026 9:40am ET $57.93 371 $21,492.03 $21,515.85 +$1,610.14
(+8.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
6.8d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $21,515.85
Net Profit/Loss: +$11,515.85
Total Return: +115.16%
Back to Victor Trend Rider