Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 10:05:35

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
22.4 oversold
20d Trend
-22.6%
5d Trend
-9.4%
EMA20 Dist
-13.7%
ATR%
4.9%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.3×
Green/Red 10d
2/8
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored Mar 6, 2026

0
Lifetime
Confidence: 0%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
84.0/35
Total Return
45.6/25
Win Rate
87.4/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
78.6/10
Raw Quality 0.0/100
× Confidence 0.00 = 0.0

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (0%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
60,567
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-05-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
526 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)

Market Closed (21 days)

2024-05-27 — Memorial Day, 2024-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2024-07-04 — Independence Day, 2024-09-02 — Labor Day, 2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$10,403.41
Current Value
$10,698.96
Total P&L
$295.55
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.16

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
7
Winners / Losers
5 / 2
Best Trade
+8.40%
Worst Trade
-14.60%
Avg Trade Return
+1.25%
Avg Hold Time
13.3d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$148,103.83
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$295.55
Net P&L (after fees)
$295.55
Gross Return
+2.84%
Net Return (after fees)
+2.84%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 UNH Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 526 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Victor Trend Rider had $10,403.41 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2024 9:35am ET $473.24 21 $9,938.04
🔴 SELL May 7, 2024 9:35am ET $495.77 21 $10,411.17 $10,473.13 +$473.13
(+4.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
2 🟢 BUY Jul 16, 2024 10:15am ET $541.23 19 $10,283.37
🔴 SELL Aug 1, 2024 9:30am ET $586.68 19 $11,146.92 $11,336.68 +$863.55
(+8.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
16d held
3 🟢 BUY Nov 6, 2024 9:35am ET $600.07 18 $10,801.31
🔴 SELL Nov 27, 2024 9:35am ET $616.24 18 $11,092.23 $11,627.61 +$290.93
(+2.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2025 9:40am ET $564.62 20 $11,292.30
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2025 9:30am ET $482.16 20 $9,643.10 $9,978.41 $-1,649.20
(-14.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
9d held
5 🟢 BUY May 16, 2025 12:40pm ET $284.51 35 $9,957.85
🔴 SELL May 19, 2025 11:20am ET $307.67 35 $10,768.45 $10,789.01 +$810.60
(+8.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held
6 🟢 BUY Aug 15, 2025 9:35am ET $300.05 35 $10,501.58
🔴 SELL Sep 5, 2025 9:35am ET $312.38 35 $10,933.13 $11,220.56 +$431.55
(+4.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
7 🟢 BUY Nov 12, 2025 9:55am ET $341.50 32 $10,928.00
🔴 SELL Nov 14, 2025 9:30am ET $325.20 32 $10,406.40 $10,698.96 $-521.60
(-4.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,698.96
Net Profit/Loss: +$698.96
Total Return: +6.99%
Back to Victor Trend Rider