Compendium › Victor Trend Rider › MU
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
MU
Alpaca Tradeable

Victor Trend Rider's Analysis

Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 4 trades in period

+21.83%
Year to Date Return
$30,038.72
Current Value
75%
Win Rate
$24,655.65
Period Start
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PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 10:03:37

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
37.4 neutral
20d Trend
-12.8%
5d Trend
-1.7%
EMA20 Dist
-6.9%
ATR%
5.6%
Range Pos
6%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

43
Lifetime
Confidence: 57%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
35.0/35
Total Return
19.1/25
Win Rate
7.1/15
Profit Factor
8.5/15
Consistency
6.5/10
Raw Quality 76.2/100
× Confidence 0.57 = 43.3

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (57%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
9,481
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
93 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)

Market Closed (4 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$24,655.65
Current Value
$30,038.72
Period P&L
$5,383.09
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.94

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
4
Winners / Losers
3 / 1
Best Trade
+8.81%
Worst Trade
-4.40%
Avg Trade Return
+5.24%
Avg Hold Time
3.1d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$220,468.20
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$5,383.09
Net P&L (after fees)
$5,383.09
Gross Return
+21.83%
Net Return (after fees)
+21.83%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MU Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 93 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 4 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Victor Trend Rider had $24,655.65 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jan 2, 2026 9:30am ET $302.59 81 $24,509.79 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 6, 2026 9:45am ET $329.24 81 $26,668.28 $26,814.12 +$2,158.49
(+8.8%) 		🎯 +5% Target
4d held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 15, 2026 9:40am ET $345.95 77 $26,637.77 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 20, 2026 9:35am ET $373.94 77 $28,793.38 $28,969.74 +$2,155.62
(+8.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
5d held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 28, 2026 9:35am ET $429.22 67 $28,757.74 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 30, 2026 3:15pm ET $410.33 67 $27,492.11 $27,704.11 $-1,265.63
(-4.4%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2.2d held
4 🟢 BUY Feb 11, 2026 9:30am ET $400.54 69 $27,637.26 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 12, 2026 9:35am ET $434.38 69 $29,971.88 $30,038.72 +$2,334.61
(+8.4%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $30,038.72
Net Profit/Loss: +$20,038.72
Total Return: +200.39%
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