Compendium › Victor Trend Rider › UNH
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
UNH
Alpaca Tradeable

Victor Trend Rider's Analysis

2024-01-02 13:00:00+00 to 2026-09-24 19:55:00+00 • 9 trades executed

-6.39%
2 Years Return
$10,611.89
Current Value
57%
Win Rate
$11,336.68
Period Start
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PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-24 19:28:05

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
4.96%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.26%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
22.4 oversold
20d Trend
-22.6%
5d Trend
-9.4%
EMA20 Dist
-13.7%
ATR%
4.9%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.3×
Green/Red 10d
2/8

Strategy Score Scored Sep 22, 2026

71
Lifetime
Confidence: 0%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
93.4/35
Total Return
52.8/25
Win Rate
95.4/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
87.1/10
Raw Quality 0.0/100
× Confidence 0.00 = 71.0

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (0%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
59,692
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-09-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
526 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)

Market Closed (21 days)

2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed) ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$11,336.68
Current Value
$10,611.89
Total P&L
$-724.79
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.10

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
7
Winners / Losers
4 / 3
Best Trade
+8.14%
Worst Trade
-14.60%
Avg Trade Return
-0.73%
Avg Hold Time
11d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$148,422.64
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-724.79
Net P&L (after fees)
$-724.79
Gross Return
-6.39%
Net Return (after fees)
-6.39%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 UNH Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 526 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Victor Trend Rider had $11,336.68 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Nov 6, 2024 9:35am ET $600.07 18 $10,801.31 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 27, 2024 9:35am ET $616.24 18 $11,092.23 $11,627.61 +$290.93
(+2.7%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2025 9:40am ET $564.62 20 $11,292.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2025 9:30am ET $482.16 20 $9,643.10 $9,978.41 $-1,649.20
(-14.6%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
9d held
3 🟢 BUY May 16, 2025 12:40pm ET $284.51 35 $9,957.85 — — —
🔴 SELL May 19, 2025 11:20am ET $307.67 35 $10,768.45 $10,789.01 +$810.60
(+8.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held
4 🟢 BUY Aug 15, 2025 9:35am ET $300.05 35 $10,501.58 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 5, 2025 9:35am ET $312.38 35 $10,933.13 $11,220.56 +$431.55
(+4.1%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
5 🟢 BUY Nov 12, 2025 9:55am ET $341.50 32 $10,928.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 14, 2025 9:30am ET $325.20 32 $10,406.40 $10,698.96 $-521.60
(-4.8%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
6 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 9:30am ET $396.33 26 $10,304.45 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 25, 2026 9:30am ET $409.61 26 $10,649.86 $11,044.37 +$345.41
(+3.4%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
7 🟢 BUY Jul 16, 2026 9:30am ET $449.51 24 $10,788.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 16, 2026 12:55pm ET $431.49 24 $10,355.76 $10,611.89 $-432.48
(-4.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3.4h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,611.89
Net Profit/Loss: +$611.89
Total Return: +6.12%
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