Compendium › Victor Vol Seeker › IBM
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
IBM
Alpaca Tradeable

Victor Vol Seeker's Analysis

Last Year: 2025-05-06 to present • 4 trades in period

+12.97%
Last Year Return
$12,111.22
Current Value
75%
Win Rate
$10,721.13
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 07:31:12

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
41.6 neutral
20d Trend
-5.4%
5d Trend
-6.3%
EMA20 Dist
-3.9%
ATR%
3.9%
Range Pos
40%
Bounce Ratio
1.2×
Green/Red 10d
2/8
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

27
Lifetime
Confidence: 63%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
14.8/35
Total Return
11.2/25
Win Rate
7.5/15
Profit Factor
2.7/15
Consistency
6.3/10
Raw Quality 42.4/100
× Confidence 0.63 = 26.9

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (63%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Year)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
25,639
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-05-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
264 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)

Market Closed (10 days)

2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Year)

Period Start Capital
$10,721.13
Current Value
$12,111.22
Period P&L
$1,390.08
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.88

Trade Statistics (Last Year)

Trades in Period
4
Winners / Losers
3 / 1
Best Trade
+8.41%
Worst Trade
-4.15%
Avg Trade Return
+4.47%
Avg Hold Time
13.9d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$93,023.48
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,390.08
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,390.08
Gross Return
+12.97%
Net Return (after fees)
+12.97%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 IBM Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 264 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Year - 4 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Victor Vol Seeker had $10,721.13 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2025 3:10pm ET $235.86 43 $10,142.16 — — —
🔴 SELL May 8, 2025 9:30am ET $255.70 43 $10,995.16 $11,081.54 +$853.00
(+8.4%) 		🎯 +5% Target
9.8d held
2 🟢 BUY Oct 16, 2025 3:45pm ET $276.57 40 $11,062.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 24, 2025 11:15am ET $299.09 40 $11,963.60 $11,982.54 +$901.00
(+8.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
7.8d held
3 🟢 BUY Nov 20, 2025 9:30am ET $295.62 40 $11,824.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 11, 2025 9:30am ET $311.85 40 $12,474.00 $12,631.74 +$649.20
(+5.5%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
4 🟢 BUY Mar 24, 2026 2:30pm ET $241.17 52 $12,540.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 2:10pm ET $231.16 52 $12,020.32 $12,111.22 $-520.52
(-4.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
17d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $12,111.22
Net Profit/Loss: +$2,111.22
Total Return: +21.11%
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