Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-06 04:41:19

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
58.1 neutral
20d Trend
+7.6%
5d Trend
-0.6%
EMA20 Dist
+2.4%
ATR%
2.9%
Range Pos
80%
Bounce Ratio
3.0×
Green/Red 10d
8/2
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 5, 2026

42
Lifetime
Confidence: 64%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
29.7/35
Total Return
13.6/25
Win Rate
8.9/15
Profit Factor
6.3/15
Consistency
7.5/10
Raw Quality 65.9/100
× Confidence 0.64 = 42.0

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (64%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
47,110
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-05-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
518 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)

Market Closed (21 days)

2024-05-27 — Memorial Day, 2024-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2024-07-04 — Independence Day, 2024-09-02 — Labor Day, 2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$10,000.00
Current Value
$14,236.17
Total P&L
$4,236.17
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.62

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
11
Winners / Losers
7 / 4
Best Trade
+8.70%
Worst Trade
-4.83%
Avg Trade Return
+3.43%
Avg Hold Time
12.1d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$273,021.56
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$4,236.17
Net P&L (after fees)
$4,236.17
Gross Return
+42.36%
Net Return (after fees)
+42.36%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 COP Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 518 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Victor Vol Seeker had $10,000.00 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 5, 2024 3:50pm ET $104.42 95 $9,919.90
🔴 SELL Aug 26, 2024 9:30am ET $113.38 95 $10,771.10 $10,851.20 +$851.20
(+8.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
20.7d held
2 🟢 BUY Dec 18, 2024 2:50pm ET $97.66 111 $10,840.26
🔴 SELL Jan 8, 2025 2:50pm ET $101.13 111 $11,225.43 $11,236.37 +$385.17
(+3.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
3 🟢 BUY Mar 10, 2025 9:30am ET $91.84 122 $11,204.48
🔴 SELL Mar 14, 2025 11:40am ET $99.40 122 $12,126.80 $12,158.69 +$922.32
(+8.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.1d held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 3, 2025 9:30am ET $100.37 121 $12,144.17
🔴 SELL Apr 3, 2025 12:30pm ET $96.33 121 $11,655.33 $11,669.85 $-488.84
(-4.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3h held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 4, 2025 3:55pm ET $86.27 135 $11,645.78
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2025 9:40am ET $82.39 135 $11,122.65 $11,146.73 $-523.13
(-4.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.7d held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2025 3:55pm ET $82.68 134 $11,079.12
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2025 1:30pm ET $89.87 134 $12,042.54 $12,110.14 +$963.42
(+8.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
21.6h held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2025 3:45pm ET $82.39 146 $12,028.94
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2025 9:40am ET $88.99 146 $12,991.81 $13,073.01 +$962.87
(+8.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
6.7d held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2025 11:45am ET $87.01 150 $13,051.50
🔴 SELL May 12, 2025 11:45am ET $92.44 150 $13,866.00 $13,887.51 +$814.50
(+6.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
9 🟢 BUY Oct 16, 2025 3:50pm ET $86.78 160 $13,884.80
🔴 SELL Nov 6, 2025 2:50pm ET $86.30 160 $13,808.00 $13,810.71 $-76.80
(-0.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
10 🟢 BUY Nov 20, 2025 11:40am ET $89.35 154 $13,759.90
🔴 SELL Dec 10, 2025 2:30pm ET $96.77 154 $14,901.81 $14,952.62 +$1,141.91
(+8.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
20.1d held
11 🟢 BUY Mar 24, 2026 9:30am ET $128.99 115 $14,833.85
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $122.76 115 $14,117.40 $14,236.17 $-716.45
(-4.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
15d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $14,236.17
Net Profit/Loss: +$4,236.17
Total Return: +42.36%
Back to Victor Vol Seeker