Compendium › Victor Volume › BTCUSD
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
BTCUSD
Alpaca Tradeable

Victor Volume's Analysis

Last Month: 2026-04-06 to present • 4 trades in period

+14.47%
Last Month Return
$5,596.23
Current Value
75%
Win Rate
$4,643.12
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 09:53:03

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
19.3 oversold
20d Trend
-26.5%
5d Trend
-29.8%
EMA20 Dist
-27.1%
ATR%
8.2%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.4×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

5
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
5.2/10
Raw Quality 5.2/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 5.2

30-Day Momentum

58
+21.4%
30d Return
75%
Win Rate
4
Trades
2.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 87.0 Conf: 0.66×
Accelerating (+52 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
8,807
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-04-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
31 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Crypto: 0.15% maker / 0.25% taker (volume-tiered) • 24/7/365 trading

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$4,643.12
Current Value
$5,596.23
Period P&L
$671.90
Max Drawdown
-66.7%
Sharpe Ratio
0.96

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
4
Winners / Losers
3 / 1
Best Trade
+8.40%
Worst Trade
-4.14%
Avg Trade Return
+5.10%
Avg Hold Time
8.4d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
₿ Crypto
Fee Rate
0.25% per trade
Total Volume
$41,359.05
Estimated Fees
$103.40
Gross P&L
$671.90
Net P&L (after fees)
$568.51
Gross Return
+14.47%
Net Return (after fees)
+12.24%

⚠️ Crypto: Alpaca charges 0.25% taker fee (or 0.15% maker). This simulation uses the conservative 0.25% estimate on all trades.
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 BTCUSD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 31 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 4 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Victor Volume had $4,643.12 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 29, 2026 7:30pm ET $65,958.30 0 $4,611.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 7:00pm ET $71,498.00 0 $4,998.92 $4,998.92 +$363.29
(+8.4%) 		🎯 +5% Target
9d held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 9:35am ET $70,999.90 0 $4,998.92 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 9:10am ET $76,699.40 0 $5,400.21 $5,400.21 +$375.29
(+8.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
8d held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 18, 2026 12:05am ET $77,109.80 0 $5,400.21 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 19, 2026 6:05pm ET $73,915.20 0 $5,176.48 $5,176.48 $-250.17
(-4.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.8d held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 2:40am ET $74,858.20 0 $5,176.48 — — —
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 11:40pm ET $80,928.30 0 $5,596.23 $5,596.23 +$392.82
(+8.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
14.9d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $5,596.23
Net Profit/Loss: $-4,403.77
Total Return: -44.04%
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