Compendium › Victor Volume › DIS
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
DIS
Alpaca Tradeable

Victor Volume's Analysis

Last Month: 2026-08-24 to present • 4 trades in period

-83.37%
Last Month Return
$17,462.76
Current Value
50%
Win Rate
$1,015.16
Period Start
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PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-24 19:18:53

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
4.96%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.26%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
37.5 neutral
20d Trend
-7.1%
5d Trend
-7.2%
EMA20 Dist
-4.1%
ATR%
3.0%
Range Pos
19%
Bounce Ratio
0.5×
Green/Red 10d
5/5

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

38
Lifetime
Confidence: 88%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
14.2/35
Total Return
15.6/25
Win Rate
5.0/15
Profit Factor
3.3/15
Consistency
4.9/10
Raw Quality 43.0/100
× Confidence 0.88 = 38.0

30-Day Momentum

0
-1.0%
30d Return
33%
Win Rate
3
Trades
1.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 0.0 Conf: 0.61×
Declining (-38 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (88%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,794
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-08-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
23 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$1,015.16
Current Value
$17,462.76
Period P&L
$-846.30
Max Drawdown
-18.4%
Sharpe Ratio
0.34

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
4
Winners / Losers
2 / 2
Best Trade
+8.32%
Worst Trade
-4.06%
Avg Trade Return
+2.09%
Avg Hold Time
10.2d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$140,408.32
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-846.30
Net P&L (after fees)
$-846.30
Gross Return
-83.37%
Net Return (after fees)
-83.37%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 DIS Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 23 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 4 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Victor Volume had $1,015.16 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 11, 2026 9:30am ET $103.04 158 $16,280.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 24, 2026 10:00am ET $111.61 158 $17,634.38 $17,635.98 +$1,354.06
(+8.3%) 		🎯 +5% Target
13d held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 11, 2026 9:30am ET $103.04 158 $16,280.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 26, 2026 9:30am ET $111.39 158 $17,599.78 $18,955.44 +$1,319.46
(+8.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
15d held
3 🟢 BUY Aug 31, 2026 11:50am ET $107.98 175 $18,896.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 9, 2026 9:30am ET $103.66 175 $18,140.50 $18,199.44 $-756.00
(-4.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
8.9d held
4 🟢 BUY Sep 14, 2026 9:30am ET $108.07 168 $18,156.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 18, 2026 9:30am ET $103.69 168 $17,419.92 $17,462.76 $-736.68
(-4.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $17,462.76
Net Profit/Loss: +$7,462.76
Total Return: +74.63%
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