Compendium › Victor Volume › IBM
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
IBM
Alpaca Tradeable

Victor Volume's Analysis

Last Month: 2026-08-25 to present • 3 trades in period

+5.45%
Last Month Return
$10,846.45
Current Value
33%
Win Rate
$10,286.21
Period Start
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PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:00:36

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
41.6 neutral
20d Trend
-5.4%
5d Trend
-6.3%
EMA20 Dist
-3.9%
ATR%
3.9%
Range Pos
40%
Bounce Ratio
1.2×
Green/Red 10d
2/8

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

16
Lifetime
Confidence: 90%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
1.8/35
Total Return
8.1/25
Win Rate
2.7/15
Profit Factor
0.2/15
Consistency
5.5/10
Raw Quality 18.2/100
× Confidence 0.90 = 16.5

30-Day Momentum

10
+2.9%
30d Return
33%
Win Rate
3
Trades
1.2×
Profit Factor
Quality: 16.6 Conf: 0.61×
Cooling (-6 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (90%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,716
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-08-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
22 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$10,286.21
Current Value
$10,846.45
Period P&L
$560.24
Max Drawdown
-16.5%
Sharpe Ratio
0.21

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
3
Winners / Losers
1 / 2
Best Trade
+8.07%
Worst Trade
-4.23%
Avg Trade Return
+1.08%
Avg Hold Time
11.7d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$64,566.88
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$560.24
Net P&L (after fees)
$560.24
Gross Return
+5.45%
Net Return (after fees)
+5.45%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 IBM Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 22 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 3 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Victor Volume had $10,286.21 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 7, 2026 3:25pm ET $236.90 44 $10,423.38 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 28, 2026 3:25pm ET $235.47 44 $10,360.68 $10,481.13 $-62.70
(-0.6%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
2 🟢 BUY Sep 1, 2026 9:30am ET $231.80 45 $10,431.07 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 14, 2026 12:10pm ET $250.51 45 $11,273.17 $11,323.23 +$842.10
(+8.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
13.1d held
3 🟢 BUY Sep 15, 2026 12:30pm ET $250.62 45 $11,277.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 16, 2026 9:30am ET $240.02 45 $10,800.90 $10,846.45 $-476.78
(-4.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
21h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,846.45
Net Profit/Loss: +$846.45
Total Return: +8.46%
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