Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-24 23:02:19

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
33 neutral
20d Trend
-14.2%
5d Trend
-15.0%
EMA20 Dist
-11.4%
ATR%
6.1%
Range Pos
0%
Bounce Ratio
0.4×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

4
Lifetime
Confidence: 97%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.2/10
Raw Quality 4.2/100
× Confidence 0.97 = 4.1

30-Day Momentum

1
-16.9%
30d Return
0%
Win Rate
4
Trades
0.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 1.4 Conf: 0.66×
Cooling (-3 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (97%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,794
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-08-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
23 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$-186.71
Current Value
$5,471.76
Period P&L
$-1,349.58
Max Drawdown
-52.1%
Sharpe Ratio
-14.61

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
6
Winners / Losers
0 / 6
Best Trade
-4.13%
Worst Trade
-4.97%
Avg Trade Return
-4.43%
Avg Hold Time
2.6d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$76,257.44
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,349.58
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,349.58
Gross Return
+0.00%
Net Return (after fees)
+0.00%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 LCID Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 23 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 6 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Victor Volume had $-186.71 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 21, 2026 3:05pm ET $5.57 1,293 $7,195.55 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 24, 2026 11:05am ET $5.34 1,293 $6,898.16 $6,898.92 $-297.39
(-4.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 21, 2026 3:05pm ET $5.57 1,293 $7,195.55 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 26, 2026 9:30am ET $5.33 1,293 $6,891.69 $6,595.06 $-303.86
(-4.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.8d held
3 🟢 BUY Aug 31, 2026 10:20am ET $4.94 1,335 $6,594.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 1, 2026 9:30am ET $4.72 1,335 $6,294.53 $6,294.69 $-300.37
(-4.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.2h held
4 🟢 BUY Sep 2, 2026 1:45pm ET $4.72 1,332 $6,293.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 4, 2026 9:35am ET $4.49 1,332 $5,980.68 $5,981.67 $-313.02
(-5.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8d held
5 🟢 BUY Sep 11, 2026 9:30am ET $4.24 1,412 $5,979.82 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 14, 2026 1:30pm ET $4.06 1,412 $5,732.58 $5,734.43 $-247.24
(-4.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.2d held
6 🟢 BUY Sep 22, 2026 1:25pm ET $4.26 1,347 $5,731.49 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 24, 2026 10:00am ET $4.06 1,347 $5,468.82 $5,471.76 $-262.67
(-4.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $5,471.76
Net Profit/Loss: $-4,528.24
Total Return: -45.28%
Back to Victor Volume