Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:48:57

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
23.6 oversold
20d Trend
-35.0%
5d Trend
-42.1%
EMA20 Dist
-37.0%
ATR%
14.9%
Range Pos
0%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

3
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
3.0/10
Raw Quality 3.0/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 3.0

30-Day Momentum

9
-8.3%
30d Return
33%
Win Rate
12
Trades
0.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.0 Conf: 0.93×
Steady (+6 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
8,986
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-08-25 → 2026-09-25
Trading Days
32 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Crypto: 0.15% maker / 0.25% taker (volume-tiered) • 24/7/365 trading

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$186.75
Current Value
$233.54
Period P&L
$-18.50
Max Drawdown
-98.2%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.07

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
12
Winners / Losers
4 / 8
Best Trade
+8.31%
Worst Trade
-8.67%
Avg Trade Return
-0.44%
Avg Hold Time
2.6d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
₿ Crypto
Fee Rate
0.25% per trade
Total Volume
$5,907.80
Estimated Fees
$14.77
Gross P&L
$-18.50
Net P&L (after fees)
$-33.27
Gross Return
-9.90%
Net Return (after fees)
-17.81%

⚠️ Crypto: Alpaca charges 0.25% taker fee (or 0.15% maker). This simulation uses the conservative 0.25% estimate on all trades.
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 LINKUSD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 32 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 12 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Victor Volume had $186.75 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 21, 2026 11:20pm ET $12.33 23 $279.83 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 25, 2026 5:15pm ET $11.26 23 $255.57 $230.40 $-25.60
(-8.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.7d held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 26, 2026 1:05am ET $11.34 20 $230.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 5, 2026 9:35pm ET $12.27 20 $249.28 $249.28 +$17.69
(+8.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
10.9d held
3 🟢 BUY Sep 6, 2026 1:40am ET $12.32 20 $249.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 6, 2026 5:05pm ET $13.34 20 $269.99 $269.99 +$19.41
(+8.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
15.4h held
4 🟢 BUY Sep 7, 2026 5:05am ET $13.45 20 $269.99 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 7, 2026 11:45am ET $12.91 20 $259.06 $259.06 $-12.26
(-4.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6.7h held
5 🟢 BUY Sep 8, 2026 2:00pm ET $12.68 20 $259.06 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 9, 2026 6:15am ET $12.14 20 $248.03 $248.03 $-12.30
(-4.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
16.3h held
6 🟢 BUY Sep 9, 2026 9:30am ET $12.22 20 $248.03 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 9, 2026 5:50pm ET $11.70 20 $237.51 $237.51 $-11.74
(-4.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
8.3h held
7 🟢 BUY Sep 9, 2026 9:00pm ET $11.75 20 $237.51 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 13, 2026 5:35am ET $11.27 20 $227.90 $227.90 $-10.78
(-4.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.4d held
8 🟢 BUY Sep 13, 2026 11:05pm ET $11.41 20 $227.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 15, 2026 2:45pm ET $10.91 20 $217.88 $217.88 $-11.13
(-4.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.7d held
9 🟢 BUY Sep 16, 2026 3:35am ET $10.78 20 $217.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 17, 2026 11:10pm ET $11.64 20 $235.36 $235.36 +$16.35
(+8.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.8d held
10 🟢 BUY Sep 18, 2026 8:20am ET $11.79 20 $235.36 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 20, 2026 8:20pm ET $12.76 20 $254.61 $254.61 +$18.02
(+8.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.5d held
11 🟢 BUY Sep 21, 2026 4:35am ET $12.74 20 $254.61 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 23, 2026 11:35am ET $12.23 20 $244.39 $244.39 $-11.46
(-4.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.3d held
12 🟢 BUY Sep 21, 2026 4:35am ET $12.74 20 $254.61 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 24, 2026 5:25am ET $12.20 20 $243.76 $233.54 $-12.10
(-4.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $233.54
Net Profit/Loss: $-9,766.46
Total Return: -97.66%
Back to Victor Volume