Compendium › Victor Volume › NIO
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
NIO
Alpaca Tradeable

Victor Volume's Analysis

Last Month: 2026-08-25 to present • 4 trades in period

-14.66%
Last Month Return
$3,732.38
Current Value
0%
Win Rate
$4,373.47
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-09-25 04:07:01

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 2.8
Storm
⛈️ 1 storm day in 7d
RSI(14)
47.7 neutral
20d Trend
-0.8%
5d Trend
-0.8%
EMA20 Dist
-0.1%
ATR%
4.5%
Range Pos
9%
Bounce Ratio
2.0×
Green/Red 10d
5/5
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

4
Lifetime
Confidence: 96%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.2/10
Raw Quality 4.2/100
× Confidence 0.96 = 4.1

30-Day Momentum

1
-19.2%
30d Return
0%
Win Rate
4
Trades
0.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 1.4 Conf: 0.66×
Cooling (-3 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (96%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,716
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-08-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
22 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$4,373.47
Current Value
$3,732.38
Period P&L
$-641.16
Max Drawdown
-56.8%
Sharpe Ratio
-3.53

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
4
Winners / Losers
0 / 4
Best Trade
-4.23%
Worst Trade
-7.65%
Avg Trade Return
-5.13%
Avg Hold Time
1.9d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$33,489.05
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-641.16
Net P&L (after fees)
$-641.16
Gross Return
-14.66%
Net Return (after fees)
-14.66%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 NIO Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 22 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 4 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Victor Volume had $4,373.47 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 21, 2026 3:25pm ET $4.63 1,041 $4,814.63 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 26, 2026 10:10am ET $4.43 1,041 $4,606.43 $4,409.98 $-208.20
(-4.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
4.8d held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 31, 2026 9:30am ET $4.38 1,006 $4,406.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 1, 2026 9:30am ET $4.05 1,006 $4,069.27 $4,072.97 $-337.01
(-7.6%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
3 🟢 BUY Sep 2, 2026 9:30am ET $3.94 1,033 $4,070.23 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 9:30am ET $3.77 1,033 $3,894.41 $3,897.15 $-175.82
(-4.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
4 🟢 BUY Sep 8, 2026 1:35pm ET $3.84 1,014 $3,896.29 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 9, 2026 12:00pm ET $3.68 1,014 $3,731.52 $3,732.38 $-164.77
(-4.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
22.4h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $3,732.38
Net Profit/Loss: $-6,267.62
Total Return: -62.68%
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