Compendium › Victor Volume › PANW
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
PANW
Alpaca Tradeable

Victor Volume's Analysis

Last Month: 2026-08-25 to present • 3 trades in period

+1.55%
Last Month Return
$14,555.85
Current Value
33%
Win Rate
$14,333.17
Period Start
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PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:31:16

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
18.4 oversold
20d Trend
-19.1%
5d Trend
-12.6%
EMA20 Dist
-11.6%
ATR%
3.8%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.0×
Green/Red 10d
5/5

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

26
Lifetime
Confidence: 92%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
5.9/35
Total Return
13.9/25
Win Rate
1.8/15
Profit Factor
1.3/15
Consistency
4.8/10
Raw Quality 27.7/100
× Confidence 0.92 = 25.5

30-Day Momentum

0
+0.1%
30d Return
33%
Win Rate
3
Trades
1.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 0.8 Conf: 0.61×
Declining (-25 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (92%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,716
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-08-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
22 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$14,333.17
Current Value
$14,555.85
Period P&L
$222.70
Max Drawdown
-27.2%
Sharpe Ratio
0.03

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
3
Winners / Losers
1 / 2
Best Trade
+9.53%
Worst Trade
-4.65%
Avg Trade Return
+0.21%
Avg Hold Time
4.4d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$82,260.26
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$222.70
Net P&L (after fees)
$222.70
Gross Return
+1.55%
Net Return (after fees)
+1.55%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 PANW Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 22 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 3 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Victor Volume had $14,333.17 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 24, 2026 9:30am ET $355.43 40 $14,217.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 25, 2026 1:30pm ET $340.29 40 $13,611.60 $13,936.15 $-605.60
(-4.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.2d held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 31, 2026 9:30am ET $380.82 36 $13,709.48 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 1, 2026 9:50am ET $363.11 36 $13,071.78 $13,298.45 $-637.70
(-4.7%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
3 🟢 BUY Sep 3, 2026 11:30am ET $329.91 40 $13,196.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 14, 2026 10:05am ET $361.35 40 $14,453.80 $14,555.85 +$1,257.40
(+9.5%) 		🎯 +5% Target
10.9d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $14,555.85
Net Profit/Loss: +$4,555.85
Total Return: +45.56%
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