Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-24 19:51:18

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
4.96%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.26%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
21.5 oversold
20d Trend
-29.6%
5d Trend
-14.4%
EMA20 Dist
-18.7%
ATR%
7.0%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.8×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

67
Lifetime
Confidence: 95%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
35.0/35
Total Return
23.4/25
Win Rate
2.5/15
Profit Factor
3.0/15
Consistency
6.9/10
Raw Quality 70.8/100
× Confidence 0.95 = 67.5

30-Day Momentum

0
-14.8%
30d Return
0%
Win Rate
3
Trades
0.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 0.0 Conf: 0.61×
Declining (-67 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (95%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,794
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-08-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
23 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$-3,981.34
Current Value
$75,516.34
Period P&L
$-9,113.19
Max Drawdown
-25.9%
Sharpe Ratio
-5.70

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
4
Winners / Losers
0 / 4
Best Trade
-4.03%
Worst Trade
-6.30%
Avg Trade Return
-4.95%
Avg Hold Time
3.7d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$678,202.98
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-9,113.19
Net P&L (after fees)
$-9,113.19
Gross Return
+0.00%
Net Return (after fees)
+0.00%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 PLTR Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 23 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 4 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Victor Volume had $-3,981.34 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 21, 2026 3:50pm ET $179.94 515 $92,669.10 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 24, 2026 9:30am ET $172.06 515 $88,610.90 $88,687.73 $-4,058.20
(-4.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.7d held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 21, 2026 3:50pm ET $179.94 515 $92,669.10 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 26, 2026 9:30am ET $170.76 515 $87,941.40 $83,960.03 $-4,727.70
(-5.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.7d held
3 🟢 BUY Aug 31, 2026 9:30am ET $186.19 450 $83,785.45 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 2, 2026 9:30am ET $174.46 450 $78,507.00 $78,681.58 $-5,278.45
(-6.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
4 🟢 BUY Sep 3, 2026 9:30am ET $177.41 443 $78,592.63 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 8, 2026 3:45pm ET $170.26 443 $75,427.39 $75,516.34 $-3,165.24
(-4.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5.3d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $75,516.34
Net Profit/Loss: +$65,516.34
Total Return: +655.16%
Back to Victor Volume