Compendium › Victor Volume › RIOT
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
RIOT
Alpaca Tradeable

Victor Volume's Analysis

Last Month: 2026-08-25 to present • 3 trades in period

+9.61%
Last Month Return
$11,264.65
Current Value
67%
Win Rate
$10,276.93
Period Start
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PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:43:07

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
28.4 oversold
20d Trend
-31.1%
5d Trend
-24.1%
EMA20 Dist
-22.9%
ATR%
11.0%
Range Pos
5%
Bounce Ratio
0.4×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

14
Lifetime
Confidence: 94%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.7/35
Total Return
9.4/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.2/15
Consistency
4.7/10
Raw Quality 15.1/100
× Confidence 0.94 = 14.1

30-Day Momentum

32
+11.4%
30d Return
67%
Win Rate
3
Trades
1.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 52.6 Conf: 0.61×
Accelerating (+18 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (94%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,716
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-08-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
22 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$10,276.93
Current Value
$11,264.65
Period P&L
$987.67
Max Drawdown
-60.3%
Sharpe Ratio
0.62

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
3
Winners / Losers
2 / 1
Best Trade
+8.19%
Worst Trade
-4.85%
Avg Trade Return
+3.84%
Avg Hold Time
1.9d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$64,054.55
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$987.67
Net P&L (after fees)
$987.67
Gross Return
+9.61%
Net Return (after fees)
+9.61%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 RIOT Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 22 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 3 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Victor Volume had $10,276.93 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 21, 2026 3:50pm ET $19.87 509 $10,115.66 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 25, 2026 12:00pm ET $21.50 509 $10,943.50 $10,943.76 +$827.84
(+8.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
3.8d held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 31, 2026 12:40pm ET $18.45 593 $10,940.85 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 2, 2026 9:30am ET $17.56 593 $10,410.12 $10,413.02 $-530.74
(-4.9%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held
3 🟢 BUY Sep 3, 2026 9:30am ET $18.80 553 $10,396.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 11:00am ET $20.34 553 $11,248.02 $11,264.65 +$851.62
(+8.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1.5h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,264.65
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,264.65
Total Return: +12.65%
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