Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-09-24 19:49:27

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
4.96%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.26%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
74.9 overbought
20d Trend
+13.8%
5d Trend
+8.9%
EMA20 Dist
+7.0%
ATR%
3.0%
Range Pos
95%
Bounce Ratio
3.1×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

33
Lifetime
Confidence: 91%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
9.5/35
Total Return
14.1/25
Win Rate
5.0/15
Profit Factor
2.6/15
Consistency
5.8/10
Raw Quality 36.9/100
× Confidence 0.91 = 33.5

30-Day Momentum

0
-4.7%
30d Return
33%
Win Rate
3
Trades
0.9×
Profit Factor
Quality: 0.0 Conf: 0.61×
Declining (-33 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (91%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Year)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
20,883
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-09-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
260 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)

Market Closed (10 days)

2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Year)

Period Start Capital
$10,347.83
Current Value
$14,875.35
Period P&L
$4,527.52
Max Drawdown
-17.9%
Sharpe Ratio
0.31

Trade Statistics (Last Year)

Trades in Period
25
Winners / Losers
15 / 10
Best Trade
+8.72%
Worst Trade
-8.06%
Avg Trade Return
+1.74%
Avg Hold Time
14.3d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$604,261.48
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$4,527.52
Net P&L (after fees)
$4,527.52
Gross Return
+43.75%
Net Return (after fees)
+43.75%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 AMGN Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 260 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Year - 25 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Victor Volume had $10,347.83 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Sep 11, 2025 1:20pm ET $281.85 36 $10,146.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 26, 2025 10:05am ET $270.47 36 $9,736.74 $9,796.85 $-409.86
(-4.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
14.9d held
2 🟢 BUY Sep 29, 2025 3:55pm ET $273.95 35 $9,588.25 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 1, 2025 10:35am ET $296.10 35 $10,363.50 $10,572.10 +$775.25
(+8.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.8d held
3 🟢 BUY Oct 2, 2025 3:55pm ET $297.53 35 $10,413.55 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 23, 2025 3:55pm ET $292.99 35 $10,254.65 $10,413.20 $-158.90
(-1.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
4 🟢 BUY Oct 24, 2025 3:55pm ET $291.85 35 $10,214.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 5, 2025 10:55am ET $316.52 35 $11,078.29 $11,276.73 +$863.54
(+8.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
11.8d held
5 🟢 BUY Nov 6, 2025 1:05pm ET $317.50 35 $11,112.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 13, 2025 9:55am ET $344.09 35 $12,043.15 $12,207.39 +$930.65
(+8.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
6.9d held
6 🟢 BUY Nov 14, 2025 10:25am ET $333.38 36 $12,001.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 5, 2025 10:25am ET $333.51 36 $12,006.18 $12,211.89 +$4.50
(+0.0%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
7 🟢 BUY Dec 8, 2025 3:10pm ET $321.96 37 $11,912.52 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 29, 2025 3:10pm ET $330.54 37 $12,229.98 $12,529.34 +$317.46
(+2.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
8 🟢 BUY Dec 30, 2025 3:25pm ET $329.43 38 $12,518.34 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 20, 2026 3:25pm ET $330.71 38 $12,566.98 $12,577.98 +$48.64
(+0.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
9 🟢 BUY Jan 21, 2026 3:45pm ET $343.31 36 $12,359.16 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 9:35am ET $373.23 36 $13,436.28 $13,655.10 +$1,077.12
(+8.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
14.7d held
10 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 1:15pm ET $377.71 36 $13,597.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 12:30pm ET $368.88 36 $13,279.50 $13,337.05 $-318.06
(-2.3%)
📅 Sim Ended
4d held
11 🟢 BUY Feb 19, 2026 11:50am ET $377.17 35 $13,200.95 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 5, 2026 2:30pm ET $361.84 35 $12,664.38 $12,800.48 $-536.57
(-4.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
14.1d held
12 🟢 BUY Mar 9, 2026 9:30am ET $370.11 34 $12,583.74 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 18, 2026 9:40am ET $355.11 34 $12,073.74 $12,290.48 $-510.00
(-4.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
9d held
13 🟢 BUY Mar 19, 2026 3:30pm ET $350.27 35 $12,259.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 9:30am ET $336.25 35 $11,768.75 $11,799.95 $-490.53
(-4.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18.8d held
14 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 2:50pm ET $349.52 33 $11,534.16 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 9:50am ET $335.18 33 $11,060.94 $11,326.73 $-473.22
(-4.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20.8d held
15 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 12:05pm ET $349.35 32 $11,179.20 — — —
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 9:30am ET $326.61 32 $10,451.36 $10,598.89 $-727.84
(-6.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
21.4h held
16 🟢 BUY May 4, 2026 12:00pm ET $324.82 32 $10,394.08 — — —
🔴 SELL May 26, 2026 9:30am ET $339.95 32 $10,878.56 $11,083.37 +$484.48
(+4.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21.9d held
17 🟢 BUY May 28, 2026 11:35am ET $334.61 33 $11,042.13 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 18, 2026 11:35am ET $336.06 33 $11,089.98 $11,131.22 +$47.85
(+0.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
18 🟢 BUY Jun 25, 2026 3:35pm ET $354.60 31 $10,992.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 16, 2026 3:35pm ET $369.45 31 $11,453.10 $11,591.72 +$460.50
(+4.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
19 🟢 BUY Jul 17, 2026 3:50pm ET $365.70 31 $11,336.85 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 28, 2026 10:05am ET $395.11 31 $12,248.56 $12,503.43 +$911.71
(+8.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
10.8d held
20 🟢 BUY Jun 25, 2026 3:35pm ET $354.60 31 $10,992.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 30, 2026 9:35am ET $383.07 31 $11,875.17 $13,386.00 +$882.57
(+8.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
34.8d held
21 🟢 BUY Jul 31, 2026 1:10pm ET $384.17 34 $13,061.78 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 5, 2026 10:35am ET $415.44 34 $14,124.96 $14,449.18 +$1,063.18
(+8.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.9d held
22 🟢 BUY Aug 7, 2026 3:15pm ET $409.86 35 $14,345.10 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 19, 2026 3:20pm ET $442.94 35 $15,502.90 $15,606.98 +$1,157.80
(+8.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
12d held
23 🟢 BUY Aug 21, 2026 3:40pm ET $438.64 35 $15,352.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 8, 2026 9:30am ET $403.29 35 $14,115.15 $14,369.73 $-1,237.25
(-8.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
17.7d held
24 🟢 BUY Sep 9, 2026 2:20pm ET $392.44 36 $14,127.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 15, 2026 9:50am ET $376.09 36 $13,539.24 $13,781.13 $-588.60
(-4.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5.8d held
25 🟢 BUY Sep 16, 2026 3:20pm ET $375.80 36 $13,528.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 22, 2026 10:55am ET $406.20 36 $14,623.02 $14,875.35 +$1,094.22
(+8.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
5.8d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $14,875.35
Net Profit/Loss: +$4,875.35
Total Return: +48.75%
Back to Victor Volume