ARKK Victor Volume's Analysis
Last Year: 2025-09-25 to present • 33 trades in period
-19.43%
Last Year Return
$8,369.06
Current Value
36%
Win Rate
$10,387.30
Period Start
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
19.1 oversold
20d Trend
-20.9%
5d Trend
-12.4%
EMA20 Dist
-13.6%
ATR%
4.1%
Range Pos
3%
Bounce Ratio
0.5×
Green/Red 10d
2/8
Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026
5
Lifetime
Confidence: 97%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
5.2/10
Raw Quality
5.2/100
× Confidence 0.97
= 5.0
30-Day Momentum
Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (97%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last Year)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
23,973
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-09-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
264 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)
Market Closed (10 days)
2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last Year)
Period Start Capital
$10,387.30
Current Value
$8,369.06
Period P&L
$-2,018.26
Max Drawdown
-42.3%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.08
Trade Statistics (Last Year)
Trades in Period
33
Winners / Losers
12 /
21
Best Trade
+9.03%
Worst Trade
-9.89%
Avg Trade Return
-0.44%
Avg Hold Time
8.7d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$568,423.38
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-2,018.26
Net P&L (after fees)
$-2,018.26
Gross Return
-19.43%
Net Return (after fees)
-19.43%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 ARKK Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 264 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last Year - 33 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Victor Volume had $10,387.30 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 18, 2025 2:05pm ET | $83.04 | 124 | $10,296.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 6, 2025 9:30am ET | $90.54 | 124 | $11,226.96 | $11,250.36 |
+$930.00 (+9.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
17.8d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 7, 2025 11:10am ET | $89.87 | 125 | $11,233.13 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 10, 2025 3:35pm ET | $86.27 | 125 | $10,783.75 | $10,800.98 |
$-449.38 (-4.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.2d held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 13, 2025 3:50pm ET | $87.80 | 123 | $10,799.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 22, 2025 1:20pm ET | $84.14 | 123 | $10,349.22 | $10,350.80 |
$-450.18 (-4.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
8.9d held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 23, 2025 3:55pm ET | $87.89 | 117 | $10,283.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 4, 2025 1:35pm ET | $84.23 | 117 | $9,854.33 | $9,922.01 |
$-428.79 (-4.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
11.9d held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 5, 2025 3:50pm ET | $85.07 | 116 | $9,867.54 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 6, 2025 11:15am ET | $81.58 | 116 | $9,463.28 | $9,517.75 |
$-404.26 (-4.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
19.4h held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 7, 2025 11:40am ET | $77.97 | 122 | $9,511.73 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 14, 2025 9:30am ET | $74.83 | 122 | $9,129.26 | $9,135.28 |
$-382.47 (-4.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6.9d held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 17, 2025 9:35am ET | $76.55 | 119 | $9,109.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 19, 2025 12:35pm ET | $73.43 | 119 | $8,738.17 | $8,764.00 |
$-371.28 (-4.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.1d held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 20, 2025 3:50pm ET | $71.74 | 122 | $8,752.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 26, 2025 9:30am ET | $77.81 | 122 | $9,492.21 | $9,503.93 |
+$739.93 (+8.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5.7d held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 28, 2025 12:55pm ET | $79.65 | 119 | $9,478.35 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 19, 2025 12:55pm ET | $80.05 | 119 | $9,525.95 | $9,551.53 |
+$47.60 (+0.5%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 22, 2025 2:05pm ET | $81.69 | 116 | $9,476.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 30, 2025 9:30am ET | $78.42 | 116 | $9,096.72 | $9,172.21 |
$-379.32 (-4.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
7.8d held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 31, 2025 9:40am ET | $77.72 | 118 | $9,170.37 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 21, 2026 9:40am ET | $79.43 | 118 | $9,372.74 | $9,374.58 |
+$202.37 (+2.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 22, 2026 12:30pm ET | $82.05 | 114 | $9,353.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $78.47 | 114 | $8,945.58 | $8,966.46 |
$-408.12 (-4.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6.9d held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 30, 2026 9:30am ET | $77.34 | 115 | $8,894.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 2, 2026 9:40am ET | $74.23 | 115 | $8,536.45 | $8,608.81 |
$-357.65 (-4.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 3, 2026 11:40am ET | $73.47 | 117 | $8,595.99 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 4, 2026 11:00am ET | $70.42 | 117 | $8,239.14 | $8,251.96 |
$-356.85 (-4.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.3h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 12:40pm ET | $68.13 | 121 | $8,243.73 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 10, 2026 12:30pm ET | $73.03 | 121 | $8,836.63 | $8,844.86 |
+$592.90 (+7.2%) |
📅 Sim Ended
5d held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 26, 2026 9:40am ET | $73.43 | 120 | $8,811.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 3, 2026 10:20am ET | $70.29 | 120 | $8,434.80 | $8,468.06 |
$-376.80 (-4.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5d held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $74.86 | 113 | $8,459.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 9, 2026 10:05am ET | $71.72 | 113 | $8,104.36 | $8,113.24 |
$-354.82 (-4.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 10, 2026 10:50am ET | $74.16 | 109 | $8,083.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 12, 2026 10:30am ET | $71.11 | 109 | $7,750.99 | $7,780.79 |
$-332.45 (-4.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 13, 2026 3:55pm ET | $70.21 | 110 | $7,723.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 26, 2026 3:10pm ET | $67.39 | 110 | $7,413.45 | $7,471.14 |
$-309.65 (-4.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
13d held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 2, 2026 10:35am ET | $68.45 | 109 | $7,461.05 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 14, 2026 9:35am ET | $74.29 | 109 | $8,097.96 | $8,108.05 |
+$636.91 (+8.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
12d held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 15, 2026 2:50pm ET | $77.10 | 105 | $8,094.98 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 29, 2026 9:35am ET | $73.66 | 105 | $7,734.30 | $7,747.38 |
$-360.67 (-4.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
13.8d held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | May 7, 2026 11:50am ET | $78.57 | 98 | $7,699.86 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 15, 2026 9:45am ET | $75.39 | 98 | $7,388.22 | $7,435.74 |
$-311.64 (-4.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
7.9d held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | May 20, 2026 11:20am ET | $75.54 | 98 | $7,402.43 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 29, 2026 11:30am ET | $81.61 | 98 | $7,997.78 | $8,031.09 |
+$595.35 (+8.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
9d held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 1, 2026 2:15pm ET | $82.06 | 97 | $7,959.82 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 3, 2026 9:30am ET | $78.48 | 97 | $7,612.75 | $7,684.02 |
$-347.07 (-4.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8d held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $78.30 | 98 | $7,673.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 5, 2026 12:40pm ET | $74.88 | 98 | $7,338.24 | $7,348.86 |
$-335.16 (-4.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 11, 2026 1:30pm ET | $74.21 | 99 | $7,346.79 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 16, 2026 9:45am ET | $80.41 | 99 | $7,960.59 | $7,962.66 |
+$613.80 (+8.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.8d held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 23, 2026 1:10pm ET | $77.90 | 102 | $7,945.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 6, 2026 12:10pm ET | $84.19 | 102 | $8,587.52 | $8,604.38 |
+$641.72 (+8.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
13d held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 8, 2026 12:35pm ET | $79.28 | 108 | $8,562.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $74.50 | 108 | $8,046.00 | $8,088.14 |
$-516.24 (-6.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
8.9d held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 20, 2026 12:10pm ET | $75.99 | 106 | $8,054.41 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 24, 2026 9:40am ET | $72.82 | 106 | $7,718.92 | $7,752.65 |
$-335.49 (-4.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.9d held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 8, 2026 12:35pm ET | $79.28 | 108 | $8,562.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 30, 2026 9:35am ET | $71.44 | 108 | $7,715.52 | $6,905.93 |
$-846.72 (-9.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
21.9d held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 3, 2026 2:05pm ET | $73.66 | 93 | $6,850.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 10, 2026 9:35am ET | $79.72 | 93 | $7,414.42 | $7,469.97 |
+$564.04 (+8.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
6.8d held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 11, 2026 1:25pm ET | $80.47 | 92 | $7,403.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 27, 2026 9:40am ET | $86.99 | 92 | $8,003.08 | $8,069.81 |
+$599.84 (+8.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
15.8d held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 28, 2026 12:25pm ET | $84.50 | 95 | $8,027.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 18, 2026 12:25pm ET | $87.65 | 95 | $8,326.75 | $8,369.06 |
+$299.25 (+3.7%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$8,369.06
Net Profit/Loss:
$-1,630.94
Total Return:
-16.31%