Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:31:57

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
36.8 neutral
20d Trend
-3.6%
5d Trend
-5.4%
EMA20 Dist
-4.3%
ATR%
2.6%
Range Pos
26%
Bounce Ratio
0.3×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

29
Lifetime
Confidence: 89%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
8.6/35
Total Return
14.1/25
Win Rate
2.2/15
Profit Factor
2.5/15
Consistency
5.2/10
Raw Quality 32.6/100
× Confidence 0.89 = 28.8

30-Day Momentum

0
-3.1%
30d Return
33%
Win Rate
3
Trades
0.9×
Profit Factor
Quality: 0.0 Conf: 0.61×
Declining (-29 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (89%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Year)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
20,988
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-09-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
259 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)

Market Closed (10 days)

2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Year)

Period Start Capital
$14,234.06
Current Value
$14,867.77
Period P&L
$633.71
Max Drawdown
-19.8%
Sharpe Ratio
0.07

Trade Statistics (Last Year)

Trades in Period
25
Winners / Losers
10 / 15
Best Trade
+8.84%
Worst Trade
-4.88%
Avg Trade Return
+0.34%
Avg Hold Time
14.6d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$683,479.75
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$633.71
Net P&L (after fees)
$633.71
Gross Return
+4.45%
Net Return (after fees)
+4.45%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 BLK Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 259 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Year - 25 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Victor Volume had $14,234.06 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Sep 8, 2025 11:20am ET $1,103.36 12 $13,240.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 29, 2025 11:20am ET $1,177.03 12 $14,124.36 $14,876.49 +$884.04
(+6.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
2 🟢 BUY Sep 30, 2025 12:20pm ET $1,164.16 12 $13,969.92 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 21, 2025 12:20pm ET $1,143.65 12 $13,723.80 $14,630.37 $-246.12
(-1.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
3 🟢 BUY Oct 22, 2025 3:50pm ET $1,128.81 12 $13,545.66 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 31, 2025 9:45am ET $1,083.60 12 $13,003.20 $14,087.91 $-542.46
(-4.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
8.7d held
4 🟢 BUY Nov 4, 2025 9:55am ET $1,063.10 13 $13,820.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 17, 2025 2:35pm ET $1,018.67 13 $13,242.71 $13,510.33 $-577.57
(-4.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
13.2d held
5 🟢 BUY Nov 18, 2025 2:35pm ET $1,024.03 13 $13,312.39 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 9, 2025 2:35pm ET $1,069.35 13 $13,901.49 $14,099.43 +$589.10
(+4.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
6 🟢 BUY Dec 10, 2025 2:35pm ET $1,085.55 12 $13,026.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 31, 2025 2:35pm ET $1,077.47 12 $12,929.58 $14,002.41 $-97.02
(-0.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
7 🟢 BUY Jan 2, 2026 3:50pm ET $1,083.43 12 $13,001.16 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 16, 2026 9:30am ET $1,176.00 12 $14,112.00 $15,113.25 +$1,110.84
(+8.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
13.7d held
8 🟢 BUY Jan 20, 2026 3:40pm ET $1,107.36 13 $14,395.65 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 3, 2026 12:50pm ET $1,061.95 13 $13,805.41 $14,523.01 $-590.24
(-4.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
13.9d held
9 🟢 BUY Feb 4, 2026 3:10pm ET $1,080.56 13 $14,047.22 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 12:30pm ET $1,101.08 13 $14,314.04 $14,789.83 +$266.82
(+1.9%)
📅 Sim Ended
5.9d held
10 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 9:30am ET $1,081.95 13 $14,065.35 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 2, 2026 9:30am ET $1,038.00 13 $13,494.00 $14,218.48 $-571.35
(-4.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
13d held
11 🟢 BUY Mar 5, 2026 11:30am ET $1,032.67 13 $13,424.71 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 6, 2026 9:35am ET $982.27 13 $12,769.45 $13,563.21 $-655.27
(-4.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22.1h held
12 🟢 BUY Mar 9, 2026 3:45pm ET $953.71 14 $13,351.97 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 30, 2026 3:45pm ET $933.20 14 $13,064.73 $13,275.97 $-287.24
(-2.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
13 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 11:35am ET $975.99 13 $12,687.87 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET $932.00 13 $12,116.00 $12,704.10 $-571.87
(-4.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
21.9h held
14 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 3:15pm ET $960.16 13 $12,482.14 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 9:30am ET $1,045.00 13 $13,585.00 $13,806.96 +$1,102.86
(+8.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
7.8d held
15 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 9:30am ET $1,052.26 13 $13,679.32 — — —
🔴 SELL May 18, 2026 9:30am ET $1,079.84 13 $14,037.93 $14,165.58 +$358.62
(+2.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
16 🟢 BUY May 20, 2026 3:10pm ET $1,041.71 13 $13,542.23 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 9:30am ET $998.02 13 $12,974.26 $13,597.61 $-567.97
(-4.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
13.8d held
17 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 10:20am ET $1,006.57 13 $13,085.41 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 25, 2026 10:20am ET $999.23 13 $12,989.99 $13,502.19 $-95.42
(-0.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
18 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 10:20am ET $1,006.57 13 $13,085.41 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 6, 2026 9:30am ET $999.32 13 $12,991.16 $13,407.94 $-94.25
(-0.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
32d held
19 🟢 BUY Jul 7, 2026 3:45pm ET $1,011.65 13 $13,151.45 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 15, 2026 9:30am ET $1,096.39 13 $14,253.07 $14,509.56 +$1,101.62
(+8.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
7.7d held
20 🟢 BUY Jul 16, 2026 3:30pm ET $1,083.05 13 $14,079.59 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 21, 2026 2:10pm ET $1,038.72 13 $13,503.36 $13,933.33 $-576.23
(-4.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.9d held
21 🟢 BUY Jul 7, 2026 3:45pm ET $1,011.65 13 $13,151.45 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 30, 2026 9:30am ET $1,073.55 13 $13,956.15 $14,738.03 +$804.70
(+6.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
22.7d held
22 🟢 BUY Aug 3, 2026 2:10pm ET $1,120.13 13 $14,561.63 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 24, 2026 2:10pm ET $1,167.24 13 $15,174.12 $15,350.52 +$612.49
(+4.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
23 🟢 BUY Aug 3, 2026 2:10pm ET $1,120.13 13 $14,561.63 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 26, 2026 9:30am ET $1,176.44 13 $15,293.72 $16,082.61 +$732.09
(+5.0%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
22.8d held
24 🟢 BUY Aug 31, 2026 11:35am ET $1,153.27 13 $14,992.45 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 8, 2026 10:10am ET $1,106.35 13 $14,382.55 $15,472.71 $-609.90
(-4.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
7.9d held
25 🟢 BUY Sep 9, 2026 3:45pm ET $1,074.31 14 $15,040.41 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 16, 2026 3:05pm ET $1,031.10 14 $14,435.47 $14,867.77 $-604.94
(-4.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
7d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $14,867.77
Net Profit/Loss: +$4,867.77
Total Return: +48.68%
Back to Victor Volume