Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:36:38

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
18.8 oversold
20d Trend
-22.1%
5d Trend
-11.2%
EMA20 Dist
-13.2%
ATR%
4.2%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.2×
Green/Red 10d
2/8

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

5
Lifetime
Confidence: 95%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.9/10
Raw Quality 4.8/100
× Confidence 0.95 = 4.6

30-Day Momentum

0
-12.2%
30d Return
0%
Win Rate
3
Trades
0.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 0.0 Conf: 0.61×
Cooling (-5 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (95%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Year)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
23,983
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-09-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
265 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)

Market Closed (10 days)

2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Year)

Period Start Capital
$8,699.98
Current Value
$6,433.78
Period P&L
$-2,266.18
Max Drawdown
-49.1%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.14

Trade Statistics (Last Year)

Trades in Period
34
Winners / Losers
11 / 23
Best Trade
+9.32%
Worst Trade
-6.91%
Avg Trade Return
-0.74%
Avg Hold Time
8.2d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$479,529.60
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-2,266.18
Net P&L (after fees)
$-2,266.18
Gross Return
-26.05%
Net Return (after fees)
-26.05%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 CRM Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 265 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Year - 34 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Victor Volume had $8,699.98 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Sep 5, 2025 9:30am ET $246.40 35 $8,624.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 26, 2025 9:30am ET $241.54 35 $8,453.90 $8,545.25 $-170.10
(-2.0%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
2 🟢 BUY Sep 29, 2025 9:30am ET $244.86 34 $8,325.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 1, 2025 11:55am ET $234.85 34 $7,984.90 $8,204.91 $-340.34
(-4.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.1d held
3 🟢 BUY Oct 2, 2025 1:30pm ET $238.57 34 $8,111.38 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 21, 2025 9:35am ET $257.91 34 $8,768.94 $8,862.47 +$657.56
(+8.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
18.8d held
4 🟢 BUY Oct 22, 2025 2:05pm ET $257.59 34 $8,757.89 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 6, 2025 9:30am ET $246.23 34 $8,371.65 $8,476.23 $-386.24
(-4.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
14.9d held
5 🟢 BUY Nov 7, 2025 9:30am ET $237.74 35 $8,320.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 19, 2025 10:55am ET $227.68 35 $7,968.80 $8,124.13 $-352.10
(-4.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
12.1d held
6 🟢 BUY Nov 20, 2025 3:30pm ET $225.45 36 $8,116.02 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 4, 2025 10:25am ET $243.78 36 $8,776.08 $8,784.19 +$660.06
(+8.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
13.8d held
7 🟢 BUY Dec 5, 2025 3:50pm ET $260.79 33 $8,605.91 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 26, 2025 3:50pm ET $265.58 33 $8,763.98 $8,942.26 +$158.07
(+1.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
8 🟢 BUY Dec 30, 2025 3:55pm ET $266.02 33 $8,778.66 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 2, 2026 10:20am ET $254.13 33 $8,386.13 $8,549.72 $-392.53
(-4.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held
9 🟢 BUY Jan 5, 2026 3:55pm ET $256.27 33 $8,456.91 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 13, 2026 12:20pm ET $245.64 33 $8,106.12 $8,198.93 $-350.79
(-4.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
7.9d held
10 🟢 BUY Jan 14, 2026 3:45pm ET $239.37 34 $8,138.58 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 16, 2026 9:30am ET $228.89 34 $7,782.26 $7,842.61 $-356.32
(-4.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.7d held
11 🟢 BUY Jan 20, 2026 9:30am ET $227.70 34 $7,741.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 29, 2026 9:30am ET $215.08 34 $7,312.55 $7,413.36 $-429.25
(-5.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
9d held
12 🟢 BUY Jan 30, 2026 2:00pm ET $213.95 34 $7,274.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 3, 2026 9:30am ET $203.56 34 $6,921.04 $7,060.10 $-353.26
(-4.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8d held
13 🟢 BUY Feb 4, 2026 10:15am ET $195.58 36 $7,040.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2026 10:00am ET $187.32 36 $6,743.52 $6,762.74 $-297.36
(-4.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
14 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 3:05pm ET $194.25 34 $6,604.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 12:30pm ET $195.68 34 $6,653.29 $6,811.53 +$48.79
(+0.7%)
📅 Sim Ended
21.4h held
15 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 9:30am ET $191.35 35 $6,697.08 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 17, 2026 10:25am ET $183.54 35 $6,423.73 $6,538.18 $-273.35
(-4.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
55m held
16 🟢 BUY Feb 20, 2026 9:30am ET $186.10 35 $6,513.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 23, 2026 9:40am ET $177.88 35 $6,225.71 $6,250.39 $-287.79
(-4.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
17 🟢 BUY Feb 26, 2026 9:35am ET $196.39 31 $6,088.14 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 19, 2026 10:35am ET $195.56 31 $6,062.36 $6,224.61 $-25.78
(-0.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
18 🟢 BUY Feb 26, 2026 9:35am ET $196.39 31 $6,088.14 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 23, 2026 9:30am ET $198.05 31 $6,139.55 $6,276.02 +$51.41
(+0.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
25d held
19 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 12:20pm ET $184.04 34 $6,257.36 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 3:25pm ET $176.57 34 $6,003.21 $6,021.87 $-254.15
(-4.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
20 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 9:35am ET $176.40 34 $5,997.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 9:55am ET $190.98 34 $6,493.15 $6,517.42 +$495.55
(+8.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
6d held
21 🟢 BUY May 4, 2026 1:15pm ET $186.20 35 $6,517.00 — — —
🔴 SELL May 8, 2026 9:35am ET $178.13 35 $6,234.55 $6,234.97 $-282.45
(-4.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8d held
22 🟢 BUY May 29, 2026 3:55pm ET $191.04 32 $6,113.44 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 1, 2026 10:10am ET $206.58 32 $6,610.56 $6,732.09 +$497.12
(+8.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.8d held
23 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 3:15pm ET $200.27 33 $6,609.07 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 9:45am ET $192.21 33 $6,342.93 $6,465.95 $-266.14
(-4.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18.5h held
24 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 1:00pm ET $189.67 34 $6,448.78 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 8, 2026 12:05pm ET $182.07 34 $6,190.21 $6,207.38 $-258.57
(-4.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
25 🟢 BUY Jun 16, 2026 9:30am ET $164.35 37 $6,080.77 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 2:05pm ET $157.10 37 $5,812.52 $5,939.13 $-268.25
(-4.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2d held
26 🟢 BUY Jun 22, 2026 9:30am ET $150.41 39 $5,865.99 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 1, 2026 9:30am ET $162.70 39 $6,345.11 $6,418.25 +$479.12
(+8.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
9d held
27 🟢 BUY Jun 22, 2026 9:30am ET $150.41 39 $5,865.99 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 6, 2026 9:30am ET $163.93 39 $6,393.08 $6,945.33 +$527.08
(+9.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
14d held
28 🟢 BUY Jul 7, 2026 3:45pm ET $169.64 40 $6,785.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 9, 2026 9:30am ET $157.91 40 $6,316.40 $6,476.13 $-469.20
(-6.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.7d held
29 🟢 BUY Jul 10, 2026 11:40am ET $163.05 39 $6,359.02 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 23, 2026 10:40am ET $156.27 39 $6,094.53 $6,211.64 $-264.49
(-4.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
13d held
30 🟢 BUY Jul 24, 2026 11:20am ET $163.86 37 $6,062.82 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 28, 2026 9:30am ET $179.13 37 $6,627.63 $6,776.45 +$564.80
(+9.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.9d held
31 🟢 BUY Jul 29, 2026 9:30am ET $183.12 37 $6,775.26 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 10, 2026 1:05pm ET $197.91 37 $7,322.67 $7,323.86 +$547.41
(+8.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
12.1d held
32 🟢 BUY Aug 21, 2026 3:40pm ET $209.19 35 $7,321.65 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 26, 2026 9:30am ET $199.45 35 $6,980.75 $6,982.96 $-340.90
(-4.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.7d held
33 🟢 BUY Aug 31, 2026 9:30am ET $255.96 27 $6,910.92 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 9, 2026 3:05pm ET $245.49 27 $6,628.36 $6,700.40 $-282.56
(-4.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
9.2d held
34 🟢 BUY Sep 11, 2026 9:30am ET $246.32 27 $6,650.51 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 22, 2026 9:45am ET $236.44 27 $6,383.88 $6,433.78 $-266.63
(-4.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
11d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $6,433.78
Net Profit/Loss: $-3,566.22
Total Return: -35.66%
Back to Victor Volume